NWA's 2015 Annual Meeting
Preliminary Agenda
NWA 40th Anniversary
Power of the Past; Force of the Future
Saturday, 17 October 2015
Sunday, 18 October 2015
Monday, 19 October 2015
Tuesday, 20 October 2015
Wednesday, 21 October 2015
Thursday, 22 October 2015
Saturday, 17 October 2015
• Climate Workshop (Click Here for more information)
• Teacher & Public Safety Workshop: Weather Safe Schools
Agenda | Poster
• Scholarship Golf Outing
Time Event
11:30 – 1:00 PM Lunch
1:00 PM Tee Time
Sunday, 18 October 2015
• Broadcast Meteorology Workshop
Time Presentation & Presenter
8:30 – 8:35 AM Welcoming Remarks
Elizabeth Page
8:35 – 8:45 AM Opening Remarks
Miles Muzio & Mike Goldberg
8:45 – 9:00 AM Welcome to Oklahoma City
Damon Lane
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:00 – 9:15 AM Probability of Precipitation: What is the Chance That People Get it?
Alan Sealls
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:15 – 9:30 AM Forecast Uncertainty: Giving A Great Weather Forecast Even When It's Unclear
Mike S Rawlins
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:30 – 9:45 AM Investigating Potential Relationships between Television Ratings and Weather
Garett Lewis
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:45 – 10:00 AM Changing Weather and Changing Climate -- Where (If?) The Two Shall Meet
Bud Ward
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
10:00 – 10:30 AM Coffee Break; Exhibits Open
10:30 – 10:45 AM "Do What I Say!...and What I Do": The role of weathercasts in modeling preparedness
Tyra L Brown
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
10:45 – 11:00 AM Building agility and resonance in the communication of short-term, high-impact weather information
Tom Bradshaw
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:00 – 11:15 AM The Internet Audience: Dealing With Viewer Feedback & Erroneous Social Media Weather Posts In The Digital Age
Amy Sweezey
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:15 – 11:55 PM Social Media Panel Discussion and Workshop
11:55 – 12:00 PM Sponsor Presentation: Baron
12:00 – 1:30 PM Lunch On Your Own
1:30 – 1:45 PM Saying What We, As Meteorologists, Really Mean
H. Michael Mogil
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
1:45 – 2:00 PM Miami: Ten Years Without A Hurricane
Ryan M Phillips
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:00 – 2:15 PM GOES-R: The New Generation Begins with Himawari-8
Jordan J Gerth
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:15 – 2:30 PM National Weather Service Hazard Message Simplification: A Roadmap for Change
Andy H Horvitz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:30 – 2:45 PM 674 Days: A Tale of Two Tornadoes in the Oklahoma City-Moore Area
Richard Smith
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:45 – 3:00 PM New Innovations in Severe Weather Detection and Communication Methods Utilized in the March 25, 2015 Oklahoma Tornadoes
Daniel R Gallagher
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
3:00 – 3:30 PM Coffee Break; Exhibits Open
3:30 – 3:45 PM The Color Conundrum: The Many Variations of One Watch or Warning
Lynnette E Grant
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
3:45 – 4:00 PM Back to the Future: Using Past Events to Anticipate Behavior During Severe Storms
Mark A Fox
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
4:00 – 5:15 PM Combined: Evaluating the Storm Prediction Center's new 5-category risk system for severe weather outlooks & Severe Weather Workshop
Greg Carbin
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
5:15 – 7:00 PM Announcements; Dinner On Your Own
5:00 – 6:00 PM Reception with Cash Bar
7:00 – 8:30 PM DVD Swap
8:30 – Student DVD Critique
• Student Workshop
Time Presentation & Presenter
10:25 – 10:30 AM Welcoming Remarks
Student Program Committee
10:30 – 11:00 AM Making Connections and Building Relationships
Christina Crowe; NWS HQ
11:00 – 11:30 AM Broadcast Media Careers
Pending: Brad Sowder; KOCO, Oklahoma City
11:30 – 12:00 PM Private Sector Meteorology Careers
Ken Carey; ERT, Inc
12:00 – 1:30 PM Lunch On Your Own
1:30 – 2:00 PM Graduate School and Academic Careers
Pat Market; University of Missouri
2:00 – 2:30 PM Responsible Social Media
Pending: Morgan Barry; NWA Social Media Committee
2:30 – 3:00PM Building Leadership
Paul Schlatter; NWS HQ
3:00 – 3:30 PM Coffee Break; Exhibits Open
3:30 – 5:15 PM Speed Mentoring
Facilitated by Ken Carey, ERT, Inc.
5:15 – 6:00 PM Speed Mentoring Dinner
6:00 – 6:30 PM Break
6:30 – 8:30 PM Master Class
Prior Registration Required
8:30 – Student DVD Critique
• Research Operations Nexus (RON)
Time Presentation & Presenter
5:00 – 6:00 PM Reception & Cash Bar
5:30 – 7:30 PM Research Operations Nexus
Monday, 19 October 2015
• Plenary I: 8:00 – 10:00 AM
Time Presentation & Presenter
8:00 – 8:30 AM Opening Remarks
NWA Annual Meeting Program Committee
8:30 – 9:00 AM Keynote: Building a Weather-Ready Nation: A National Weather Service Update
Louis Uccelini; NWS Director
9:00 – 9:15 AM The quality-value paradox: What irrational and imaginary users and forecasters can tell us about the so-called "real" world
Harold E Brooks
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:15 – 9:30 AM On Social Science and Operational Forecasting
Charles A Doswell III
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:30 – 9:45 AM A Tale of Two Blizzards: Communicating Risk and Forecast Uncertainty During Two Significant Northeast Storms and the Public Response That Followed.
Melissa M Di Spigna
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:45 – 10:00 AM Supporting High Impact Events with Supplemental Upper Air Observations
Lance T Wood
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Coffee Break: 10:00 – 10:30 AM
• Plenary II: 10:30 – 11:45 AM
Time Presentation & Presenter
10:30 – 10:45 AM GOES-R: The New Generation Begins with Himawari-8
Jordan J Gerth
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
10:45 – 11:00 AM The HRRR model: Current status and future upgrades
Edward J Szoke
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:00 – 11:15 AM After Dual Pol - What's Next for the WSR-88D?
Jessica A Schultz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:15 – 11:30 AM SHARPpy:
Kelton T Halbert
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:30 – 11:45 AM Student Weather Briefing, Sponsor Presentations, & Announcements
• Lunch On Your Own: 11:45 – 1:30 PM
• Concurrent I: Severe Weather & General Topics I: 1:30 – 3:00 PM
Time Severe Weather: Presentation & Presenter General Topics I: Presentation & Presenter
1:30 – 1:45 PM A System for Objectively Assessing Severe Thunderstorm Probabilities
Ariel E Cohen
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
MetEd Satellite Training Resources at the Ready: Are You?
Wendy Abshire
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
1:45 – 2:00 PM The Summer Tornado Forecasting Dilemma
John A Hart
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Utilizing Existing Meteorological Networks to Estimate Wet Bulb Globe Temperature as an Operational Tool for Heat Related Activities
Bradley G Illston
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:00 – 2:15 PM Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornado Warnings: Prospects for False Alarm Reduction
John P Gagan
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Totable Weather Engagement and Enhancement Technology (T.W.E.E.T.)
April R Vogt
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:15 – 2:30 PM Developmental Work at the Storm Prediction Center in Pursuit of Tornadic Supercell Probability and Tornado Intensity Estimation Using a Severe Supercell Dataset
Bryan T Smith
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Castles in the Air: Meteorological Case Studies and Policy Implications of Bounce House Accidents
John A Knox
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:30 – 2:45 PM An Investigation of Environmental Factors to Determine Potential Non-Supercell Vortex Strength
Kenneth R Cook
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Toward Improved Consistency of Flash Flood Product Issuance in the Southwestern United States
Andrew A Taylor
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:45 – 3:00 PM An Observational Examination of Supercell and Squall Line Thunderstorm Interactions
Kevin M Wagner
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Learning Disorders and the Meteorological Community: Implications for Communication and Education
Matthew J Bolton
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Posters & Refreshments I: 3:00 – 4:30 PM
Poster ID Presentation & Presenter
AP-1 Increasing Situational Awareness of River Flooding by Applying a GIS Extent Mapping Approach
Jared S Allen
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-2 National Weather Service Decision Support Tools: Communicating Impacts Effectively
Holly M Allen
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-3 WITHDRAWN
Nocturnal Tornado Climatology in Ohio
Adam X Andresen
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-4 Metamorphosis: The Evolution of Graphical Forecasts at Two Southern Plains Weather Forecast Offices
Ryan Barnes
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-5 Forecasting Economic Loss and Fatalities due to Natural Disasters
Scott E Baker
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-6 VISIT and SHyMet training in preparing forecasters for GOES-R
Dan Bikos
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-7 An Analysis of Severe Weather Reporting Sources
Scott F Blair
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-8 Operational uses of Spectrum Width to Improve Warnings for Quasi-Linear Convection in the Western Great Lakes
Brett Borchardt
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-9 Using NDVI Satellite Data to Identify and Document Destructive Hail Swaths
Joshua M Boustead
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-10 Real-time Suomi-NPP Green Vegetation Fraction for Improving Numerical Weather Prediction and Situational Awareness
Jonathan L Case
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-11 Lower Mississippi River Valley Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornado Environments and Radar Signatures
Ariel E Cohen
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-12 An Investigation of Convection During the North American Monsoon Across Central and Southern Arizona, Part 1
Ariel E Cohen
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-13 An Investigation of Convection During the North American Monsoon Across Central and Southern Arizona, Part 2
Jaret W Rogers
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-14 Preparing for the Future: Recommendations for NWS Training on GOES-R 1-Minute Satellite Imagery
Katie L Crandall
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-15 The Polar Vortex: A Climatic Feature Always Present, Once Ignored: A Comparison Study between the 2014 Events and Past Occurrences
Craig D Croskery
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-16 Geo-Targeted Tornado Warning Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA)
Dan Gonzales
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-17 Historical Dense Fog Event Impacts Phoenix Arizona and Sky Harbor International Airport, on 29 January - 1 February 2015 Surrounding Super Bowl Sunday
Charlotte L Dewey
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-18 Vertical profiles of radar parameters in heavy rain events resulting from elevated and surface based convection
Ryan J Difani
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-19 Applying Lessons Learned From the Joplin Tornado and Analyzing Response to Severe Weather Warnings
Matthew P Dross
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-20 Radar Trends of Significant Tornadoes Associated with Tornado Debris Signatures and Implication for Impact Based Warnings
Chad Entremont
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-21 Heatwaves in the Upper Red River Valley of the Southern Great Plains
Todd Lindley
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-22 A Realtime Weather-Adaptive Hybrid ensemble 3DVAR Analysis System with Automatic Storm Positioning and On-demand Capability
Jidong Gao
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-23 Pathfinder Road-Weather Collaboration Project: Providing Consistent Messaging Through Successful Partnerships in the Wyoming Weather Enterprise
Jeffrey F Garmon
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-24 Evaluation of Normalized Rotation (NROT) Associated With Tornadoes in the National Weather Service St. Louis County Warning Area
Fred H Glass
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-25 The Color Conundrum: The Many Variations of One Watch or Warning
Lynnette E Grant
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-26 Tornadoes Associated with an Absence of Cloud-to-Ground Lightning
Jared L Guyer
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-27 A Synoptic Climatology of Philadelphia/Mt. Holly National Weather Service Office County Warning Area Winter Storms
Aaron N Haegele
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-28 NWS Forecaster Confidence and the Warning Decision Making Process
Jen Henderson
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-29 ENSO and PDO Climate Variabilities and Their Impacts on Regional Missouri Crop Yields
Chasity B Henson
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-30 Niche Agricultural Forecasting - Maple Sugaring
Roger R Hill
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-31 Objective probabilistic guidance for severe weather outbreaks
Michelle A Elmore
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-32 This poster has been moved to an oral presentation. It can be found in the Concurrent Session I: General Topics I session at 1:45 PM.
Utilizing Existing Meteorological Networks to Estimate Wet Bulb Globe Temperature as an Operational Tool for Heat Related ActivitiesBradley G Illston
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-33 WITHDRAWN
The Phoenix Rainfall Index - Update
Paul Iniguez
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-34 Measuring The California Drought
Paul, Iniguez
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-35 Comparison of 36-60 Hour Precipitation Forecasts from Convection-Allowing and Convection-Parameterizing Ensembles
Eswar R Iyer
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-36 Comparison of Convection-Allowing Ensembles during the 2015 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Israel L Jirak
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-37 Routine Weather With High Impact Results - Assessing the Message for an East Idaho Snowfall Event: March 3, 2015
John E Keyes
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-38 WITHDRAWN
NWS Severe Warning Verification and Evaluation Using MYRORSS Severe Weather Products
Darrel M Kingfield
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-39 Marine Decision Support Services for the Texas City Y Oil Spill
Brian Kyle
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-40 An Analysis of Tornadogenesis in Moore, Oklahoma, on 25 March 2015
Vivek N Mahale
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-41 Deterministic and Ensemble Storm-scale Lightning Data Assimilation
Edward R Mansell
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-42 WITHDRAWN
Improving MRMS Precipitation Estimation in the Western United States: Developing the Q3 Merged Product
Steven M Martinaitis
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-43 Effectiveness of the Pilot Project on Weather Communication in the Southeast US
Damon E Matson
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-44 WITHDRAWN
Atmospheric Contributors to Heavy Rainfall Events in the Arkansas-Red River Basin
Taylor A McCorkle
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-45 Using Social Media to Empower the Public's Decision Making
Stephen R Mullens
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-46 The Multi-Year Reanalysis of Remotely Sensed Storms: Data Processing and Severe Weather-related Projects
Kiel L Ortega
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-47 WITHDRAWN
A Radar Reflectivity and Echo Top Climatology for the CONUS (2000-2011)
Kiel L Ortega
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-48 Evaluation of a Hail Size Discrimination Algorithm for the Polarimetric WSR-88D
Kiel L Ortega
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-49 Weather Impact Upon the Sales of a Local Mexican Restaurant
Justin D Pata
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-50 Using Total Lightning Data at the Aviation Weather Center/Aviation Weather Testbed
Brian Pettegrew
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-51 A case for gap-filling radars: the 29 September 2014 Severe Weather Event over southwest Colorado
Dennis D Phillips
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-52 Hail Reports on Social Media: A Spatiotemporal Comparison of Geo-tagged Twitter Reports, Local Storm Reports, and MESH data
Riely B Pickos
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-53 The NWS Louisville Flash Flood Hotspot Program
Erin E Rau
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-54 How Important are Pilot Reports to NWS Aviation Support?
Mike Richards
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-55 A Three Ingredients Approach to Anticipating Mesovortex Genesis
Jason S Schaumann
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-56 Everything You Always Wanted to Know about WPC Medium-range Forecasting
Michael L Schichtel
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-57 WITHDRAWN
A Radar-Based Hail Climatology for the CONUS (2000-2011)
Travis M Smith
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-58 Building a Database of Flash Flood Observations Using Twitter
Brandon R Smith
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-59 An Investigation of Thundersnow Events from Phoenix, AZ and Columbia, MO from 20-21 February 2013 from an Analytical and Modeling Perspective
Peter A Speck
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-60 An Index to Measure the Impact of Winter Weather In Support of the National Weather Service Weather-Ready Nation Initiative
Kyle C Struckmann
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-61 GNARRpy: A Python Module for Visualization of Archived Model Data
Benjamin A Toms
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-62 A Case Study of Polarimetric Radar Implementation Within Mountainous Regions: Rio Grande National Forest
Benjamin A Toms
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-63 PECAN Field Campaign: Analysis of Student Activities and Perception
Benjamin A Toms
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-64 Near-Surface Lapse Rate Variations Determined from Mobile Observations
Loren D White
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-65 Expanded Application of Surface Mobile Observing Techniques to Non-Severe Weather Environments
Loren D White
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-66 Translational Speed Effects on QLCS Tornado Debris Signature Heights
Brittney Whitehead
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-67 Threats-In-Motion (TIM): What If Tornado Warning Polygons Could Translate With The Hazard?
Peter L Wolf
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-68 A Preliminary Look at Multiple Potential Applications of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) for the National Weather Service and Partner Agencies.
Peter L Wolf
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-69 A Customer-driven Winter Weather Operations Plan
Raymond A Wolf
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-70 Addressing Land-Surface Model Uncertainty in Convective-Scale Ensemble Forecasts
Jeff Duda
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
AP-71 High Temporal Resolution Ground-based Thermodynamic Profiling from Infrared Spectrometers
Dave Turner
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Concurrent II: Social Science & General Topics II: 4:30 – 5:30 PM
Time Social Science: Presentation & Presenter General Topics II: Presentation & Presenter
4:30 – 4:45 PM Eye-tracking during the Forecaster Warning Decision Process: A Pilot Experiment
Katie A Bowden
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Vertical Sidelobe Contamination of WSR-88D Velocity resulting in Tornado Warning False Alarms: Examples from the High Plains
Barry R Bowers
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
4:45 – 5:00 PM Reducing Losses from Less Significant Tornadoes: A Look at Homeowner Willingness to Pay for Structural Risk Mitigation and Support for the Adoption of Building Codes in Oklahoma
Joseph T Ripberger
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
The Value of High Resolution Damage Surveys
James G LaDue
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
5:00 – 5:15 PM Emergency Manager Severe Weather Information Needs and Use of Experimental Warning Information
Daphne S LaDue
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Tornadogenesis on 19 May 2013 in central Oklahoma as Seen by Nearby Radars
Donald W Burgess
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
5:15 – 5:30 PM Advocating Utilization of Communication Theory and Persuasion Empirical Studies as a Catalyst for Public Behavioral Response Relevant to Vehicle Operation in Severe Weather
G L Brookover
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
With Great Weather Comes Great Responsibility
Steven Kruckenberg
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Broadcaster Dinner: 7:30 PM
Information
Time Approximately 7:30 PM
Cost $25 (This additional payment is due upon meeting arrival.)
Location Abuelo's Mexican Restaurant
• Evening Ice Breaker in Norman, OK: 6:00 – 9:30 PM
Time Activity
6:00 – 6:30 PM Leave for Norman, OK
6:30 – 9:00 PM Walking Tour of NWA HQ, National Weather Center, & OU Research Campus
9:00 – 9:30 PM Return to Oklahoma City, OK
Tuesday, 20 October 2015
• Plenary III: 8:00 AM – 10:00 AM
Time Presentation & Presenter
8:00 – 8:30 AM Keynote: The Intersection of Science, Communication, and Compassion
James Spann
8:30 – 8:45 AM Redefining the Weather Ready University
Kevin Kloesel
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
8:45 – 9:00 AM Virtual Operations Support (VOS): A Working Model Within the National Weather Service The Supplemental Assistance Volunteer Initiative (SAVI) Team
Trevor M Boucher
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:00 – 9:15 AM Case Study: How atmospheric and computer science have created Forecast On Demand
Peter P Neilley
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:15 – 9:30 AM Using Video Chat for Weather Education
Jason Laney
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:30 – 9:45 AM Evolving Outdoor Safety through Preparedness Programs
Charlie Woodrum
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:45 – 10:00 AM Forecaster Decision-Making with Automated Probabilistic Guidance in the 2015 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment
Christopher D Karstens
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Coffee Break: 10:00 – 10:30 AM
• Concurrent III: Satellite & Drought/Fire: 10:30 – 12:00 PM
Time Satellite: Presentation & Presenter Drought/Fire: Presentation & Presenter
10:30 – 10:45 AM Himawari-8: Where We are and What's Ahead
Bill Ward
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
An Overview of the 2015 Fire Season
Heath Hockenberry
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
10:45 – 11:00 AM On the Use of 1-Minute Satellite Imagery in the Storm Prediction Center
William E Line
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
The Importance of Collaboration with the Current California Drought
Chris Stachelski
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:00 – 11:15 AM Using High-Temporal-Resolution Satellite Imagery in the Warning Decision-Making Process: A Forecaster's Perspective
Rebecca J Mazur
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Communicating CA Drought: A Case Study in NWS Weather Ready Nation & Decision Support Services
Brooke Bingaman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:15 – 11:30 AM Closing in on Launch: How are GOES-R and JPSS convective proxy products changing the forecast process at the Proving Ground for Marine, Precipitation, and Satellite Analysis?
Michael J Folmer
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
An Evaluation of Meteorological and Antecedent Conditions Conducive to Southern Great Plains Wildfires
Todd Lindley
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:30 – 11:45 AM NOAA's Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground and Risk Reduction (PGRR) Program Initiatives - Responding to Real-World High-Impact Environmental Events!
Bill Sjoberg
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Using Ceilometer Data to Compare Mixing Height Calculations
Mark R Loeffelbein
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:45 – 12:00 PM Student Weather Briefing, Sponsor Presentations, & Announcements Student Weather Briefing, Sponsor Presentations, & Announcements
• Lunch: 12:00 – 1:30 PM
Supporting Women in Meteorology
Open to All; Additional Payment Required at Annual Meeting
Lunch On Your Own
Everyone Else
• Concurrent IV: NWP & Lightning: 1:30 – 3:00 PM
Time NWP: Presentation & Presenter Lightning: Presentation & Presenter
1:30 – 1:45 PM Impact of Assimilating MPEX Mobile Upsonde Observations on Short-Term Model Forecasts of Convection
Michael C Coniglio
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Lightning Characteristics and Relationship to Preliminary Local Storm Reports
Christopher J Melick
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
1:45 – 2:00 PM Storm-scale data assimilation and ensemble forecasting with the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for ensembles
Dustan M Wheatley
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Lightning Potential Index as a Real-time Decision Support Service over Public Lands
Paul R Frisbie
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:00 – 2:15 PM The Impact of Different Microphysics and Boundary Layer Parameterization on Storm-Scale Diagnostics
Joshua M Boustead
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Total Lightning R20 development and evaluation in the HWT and NWS
Kristin M Calhoun
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:15 – 2:30 PM Spatial Verification Methods for Ensemble Forecasts of Low-Level Rotation in Supercells
Patrick S Skinner
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Feedback on the Use of Earth Network's Total Lightning Data and Products in the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed
Tiffany C Meyer
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:30 – 2:45 PM Using the WRF to Evaluate the Non-Supercell Tornado Parameter for the Green Bay Area Tornado Event of August 6th, 2013
Adam T Hirsch
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Flash Location, Size, and Rates Relative to the Kinematics and Microphysics of the 29 May 2012 DC3 Supercell Storm
Don Macgorman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:45 – 3:00 PM Utilization of Hyper-Local Weather Prediction to Increase Grid Resiliency and Accelerate Renewable Integration in Vermont
Rob D'Arienzo
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Early History of Using "Total Lightning" Information in National Weather Service Operations
Stephen J Hodanish
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Poster & Refreshments II: 3:00 – 5:00 PM
ID Presentation & Presenter
BP-1 A Review of the January 2015 Chatham County, GA Tornado and Associated Warning Challenges
Frank W Alsheimer
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-2 WITHDRAWN
Warning Systems in Franklin County, OH: Toward a StormReady Community
John R Banghoff
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-3 Evolution of a NWS Weather Forecast Office to meet the call of a Weather Ready Nation
Jeffrey Barlow
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-4 Communicating CA Drought: A Case Study in NWS Weather Ready Nation & Decision Support Services
Brooke Bingaman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-5 Insights Regarding the Use of Ground-Based Spectral Infrared Thermodynamic Sounders in Forecasting Deep Convection
William G Blumberg
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-6 Virtual Operations Support (VOS): A Working Model Within the National Weather Service - The Supplemental Assistance Volunteer Initiative (SAVI) Team
Trevor M Boucher
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-7 Weather on Campus: Use of Social Media to Communicate Critical Weather Information
Ryan T Breton
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-8 "Do What I Say!...and What I Do": The role of weathercasts in modeling preparedness
Tyra L Brown
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-9 Curious Precipitation Curtains within the Inflow Region of a Supercell Thunderstorm
Rodger A Brown
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-10 GIS Products and Services at the National Weather Service in Corpus Christi, Texas
Michael Buchanan
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-11 Redefining the Excessive Rainfall Outlook at the Weather Prediction Center
Patrick C Burke
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-12 A Detailed Climatology of Central North Carolina Tornadoes
Raelene C Campbell
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-13 The Evolution of WSR-88D Dynamic Scanning
Joe N Chrisman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-14 Improving Decision Support Services, a rural area's perspective
Ray L Christensen
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-15 Overview of the 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Adam J Clark
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-16 Using the High-Resolution NSSL-WRF Ensemble to Provide Hazard Guidance
Burkely T Gallo
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-17 Towards Hazard Services Recommenders for Flash Flood Forecasting
Robert A Clark III
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-18 Exploring Weather Forecast Office-Level Probabilistic Services for the Future
Kenneth R Cook
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-19 Use of model time lags and CIPS Analogs to assess severe weather risk using CWASP
Jeffrey P Craven
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-20 Improving Dry Season Thunder Forecasts at the Miami Weather Forecast Office
Christopher C Duke
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-21 Collaborative Aviation Weather Statement (CAWS)
Michael T Eckert
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-22 NWS Aviation Decision Support for San Francisco Int'l Airport
Michael T Eckert
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-23 Prediction of Summer Stratus in San Francisco Bay Aided by Low-Level HYSPLIT Trajectories
Gary P Ellrod
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-24 Developing Interagency Partnerships to Improve the Red Flag Warning in Florida
Jeff Evans
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-25 The July 8, 2014 Significant Severe Weather Event in Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania Part 1: The Convective Environment, Pre-event Forecasting Challenges and Tools
Michael S Evans
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-26 The July 8, 2014 Significant Severe Weather Event in Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania Part 2: Examination of Legacy and Dual Polarization Radar Data
Michael S Evans
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-27 Explicit electrification and lightning forecast implemented within the WRF-ARW model.
Alexandre O Fierro
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-28 Utilizing Gradients to Forecast Gap Winds at Bordeaux, Wyoming
Zach O Finch
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-29 BRIDGING GAPS IN COASTAL HAZARD COMMUNICATION: COLOR-INDEXED ELEVATION MAPS FOR FLOOD--VULNERABLE COASTAL COMMUNITIES IN WESTERN ALASKA
Aimee M Fish
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-30 National Prototype of the Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook (EHWO): A Graphical Display of Weather Hazard Risk
Andy Foster
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-31 Updated Radar-Based Techniques for Tornado Warning Guidance in the Northeastern United States
Brian J Frugis
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-32 Hail Track and Size Prediction with Statistical Learning and Storm-Scale Ensembles
David J Gagne
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-33 A climatology of high-wind observations for the Great Plains from 1973 - 2014
Joshua M Gilliland
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-34 Effective Hurricane Messaging Across Eastern North Carolina
David A Glenn
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-35 Results from Evaluating Different GOES-R Scanning Strategies at the Operations Proving Ground
Chad M Gravelle
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-36 When Rainfall Matters: Providing Context for Precipitation Forecasts
Richard H Grumm
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-37 Effective Use of High Resolution Rapidly Updating Models in Predicting Convective Weather
Elyse M Hagner
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-38 Relationships between Winter Precipitation Events and Vehicular Accidents in the Louisville, Kentucky Metro Area
Sarah J Hannan
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-39 Use of Aviation Model Guidance for Ceilings and Visibilities to produced Digital Aviation Services at the NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office
Seth H Garland
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-40 2014 Carlton Complex: NWS Hydrologists on a Private-Land BAER Team
Spencer K Higginson
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-41 Tropical Cyclone Odile: Historic Flooding within a Long-Term Drought
Rick M Hluchan
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-42 Mesoscale Environmental Factors During the Camp Creek, Tennessee EF3 Tornado Event of April 27th, 2011
David G Hotz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-43 WITHDRAWN
Feeling in the Dark: How Working With Social Science Illuminates R2O
Susan Jasko
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-44 Providing Forecasters with Mesoscale Domain Options of the WRF-EMS for Enhancing Local Decision Support, Continuity of Operations, and Service Backup
Da'Vel R Johnson
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-45 Using Layered Precipitable Water and Other Satellite Derived Datasets to Anticipate High Impact Weather Events. Part 1: Heavy Precipitation Applications
Michael L Jurewicz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-46 Using an Inland Extent Forecasting Tool to Support Future Experimentation with National Weather Service Lake-Effect Snow Warning/Advisory Polygons
Michael L Jurewicz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-47 Using Dual Polarization Radar to Determine Supercell and QLCS Characteristics Just Prior to Tornadogenesis and Tornado Dissipation
Michael L Jurewicz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-48 Reliability of Precipitation Forecasts and Gridded Temperature Verification using BOIVerify at the Miami National Weather Service
Andrew J Kennedy
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-49 Future Observing Strategies for Short-Range Prediction of Severe Convective Storms
Steve E Koch
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-50 Rapid-Scan, Dual-Polarization Radar Observations of Tornadic and Nontornadic Supercells in the Context of Forecaster Conceptual Models
Charles M Kuster
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-51 Can Climate Reanalysis Improve Understanding of Climate Change?
Evan J Kutta
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-52 Visualizing NOAA National Weather Service Forecasts and Services In Southern California Through The Use of Esri Story Maps
Jayme L Laber
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-53 Results from GOES-R Proving Ground Demonstrations at the 2015 HWT Spring Experiment
William E Line
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-54 Tornado Warning Communication and Response
Heather A Lorenzen
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-55 The Evolution of Information Distribution for Catastrophic Flooding: 1996, 2011, and the Near Future - 2016
William J Marosi
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-56 Using Partner-Specific Rooms in NWSChat to Maximize Communication
Jennifer Y McNatt
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-57 Use of Crop Phenology in the Development of an impact catalog
Jerald Meadows
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-58 Improving MRMS Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Probabilities
Tiffany C Meyer
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-59 GOES-R Training Plan for NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) Forecasters
Anthony Mostek
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-60 An objective model blending algorithm for temperature and dewpoint guidance
David T Myrick
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-61 The National Blend of Models Project: An update
David T Myrick
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-62 Approximating Wet-Bulb Temperature Using the One-Third Rule: Applications to High-Impact Winter Weather Events
David S Nevius
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-63 WITHDRAWN
An Examination of Significant Tornadoes Across the High Plains
Sam Ng
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-64 WITHDRAWN
Does storm chasing with trained professionals enhance students' classroom performance in other meteorological courses?
Sam Ng
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-65 Arizona H.E.A.T. Week: Heat Safety & Outreach Campaign for One of the "Hottest" Metropolitan Areas and Southwest States
Jessica M Nolte
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-66 New Approach on Decision Support Services for Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport
Jessica M Nolte
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-67 A Study of 12 Years of One-Minute Rain Rates Using a Geonor Vibrating-Wire Rain Gauge
Darrian M Noyes
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-68 Communicating Impact-Based Weather in Interior Northern California: A Look at NWS Sacramento's Innovations in Decision Support Services
Courtney E Obergfell
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-69 National Weather Service After Action Reviews: Who, What, When, and Why
Timothy Oram
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-70 The 8 September 2014 Devastating Flash Flood in Moapa Valley, Nevada
Dr. Michael Paddock
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-71 Decision Support Services and Impacts of the Flash Flood and Debris Flow in Mount Charleston, Nevada, 28 July 2014
Dr. Michael Paddock
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-72 An Investigation of IDF Curves for Rainfall across the Central Mississippi River Valley
Jordan L Rabinowitz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-73 Forecast Uncertainty: Giving A Great Weather Forecast Even When It's Unclear
Mike S Rawlins
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-74 Field Photo Weekends - Documenting Visual Impacts Over Time
Henry W Reges
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-75 Analysis of Observed Rainfall and Flooding Near the Schultz Fire Scar from 2010-2014
Robert J Rickey
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-76 Opportunities to Succeed with National Weather Service (NWS) Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) Program
Peter B Roohr
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-77 The correlation of El Nino-Southern Oscillation to Tornado Occurrence in the Mid-South
Thomas L Salem Jr.
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-78 Exploring the Utility of Ultra-Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasts Using Non-Standardized Observations
Kristin Sherlock
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-79 COMAP 2015 – The SOO’s Evolving Role in Building a Weather Ready Nation
Marc J Singer
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-80 Automated Detection of the Polarimetric Tornado Debris Signature
Jeffrey C Snyder
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-81 Creating a Realistic Operational Environment for Whole Office Training in the National Weather Service
Derrick W Snyder
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-82 Impact-based Decision Support Services Status Update
Charlie Woodrum
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-83 National Weather Service Detailed Hazards - Effective Communication of High-Impact Weather
Michael T Stavish
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-84 Utilizing MODIS Data For Ice Thickness Retrieval
Lance E Steele
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-85 Target the warnings: Probabilistic flash flood casualties prediction
Galateia Terti
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-86 Applicability of AERI, LiDAR, and Surface Mesonet Observations to the Resolving of Bore-Soliton Evolution
Benjamin A Toms
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-87 Developing Partnerships for Effective Aviation Weather Support
Jeffrey S Tongue
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-88 Lightning Activity in 2014 Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Benjamin C Trabing
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-89 WITHDRAWN
The Effect of Western Michigan's Coastline on Heavy Rainfall
Sarah M Trojniak
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-90 Geospatial Analysis of Crime Rates in the Wake of Ivan
John A Troutman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-91 A GRIDDED SNOWFALL VERIFCATION METHOD USING ARCGIS
Joseph P Villani
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-92 Evaluating the WRF-EMS Performance During the 2015 Winter Weather Events across Northern Louisiana
Travis Washington
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-93 Throwing Caution to the Wind: A Weather Savvy Perspective on Wind Terminology and Wind-Related Damage
Castle A Williams
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-94 Residential Loss Costs in Relation to 2013 Moore EF-5 Tornado Path
Bryan H Wood
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-95 WITHDRAWN
24 Hours of Warnings: A Look into the Rare Long Duration May 10, 2012 Severe Weather Event in South Texas
Penny Zabel
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-96 Multiple Year Reanalysis of Remotely Sensed Storms - Precipitation (MYRORSS-P)
Jian Zhang
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
BP-97 Revere Tornado 2014: The Classic Massachusetts Tornado Setup
Danielle Vollmar
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Committee Chair Dinner & Meeting with Council: 6:00 PM
Wednesday, 21 October 2015
• Plenary IV: 8:00 – 10:00 AM
Time Presentation & Presenter
8:00 – 8:30 AM Keynote: Environmental Intelligence: A Foundation for America's Future
Manson Brown, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation and Prediction & Deputy Administrator for NOAA
8:30 – 8:45 AM NOAA's Warn on Forecast Project: Current Status and Future Plans
Louis J Wicker
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
8:45 – 9:00 AM Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): Overview, Plans and Early Impressions of a Proposed High-Impact Weather Forecasting Paradigm
Lans P Rothfusz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:00 – 9:15 AM The Evolving Role of the Operations Proving Ground in the National Weather Service Research-to-Operations Process
Kim J Runk
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:15 – 9:30 AM Recent Developments and Future Plans for Impact-based Research at the National Severe Storms Laboratory
Steve E Koch
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:30 – 9:45 AM The NOAA-NWS Storm Prediction Center: Future Plans and Challenges in Pursuit of a Weather Ready Nation
Russell S Schneider
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:45 – 10:00 AM Taking Weather-Ready Nation to the Next Level
Doug Hilderbrand on behalf of Laura K Furgione
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Coffee Break: 10:00 – 10:30 AM
• Concurrent V: DSS & Heavy Rain: 10:30 – 12:00 PM
Time DSS: Presentation & Presenter Heavy Rain: Presentation & Presenter
10:30 – 10:45 AM Warning, Response, and Risk Perception Issues Associated with Tornadoes in east-central Missouri and southwest Illinois on June 7, 2014
Fred H Glass
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Metwatch: The Weather Prediction Center's New Mesoscale Heavy Rainfall Desk
Patrick C Burke
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
10:45 – 11:00 AM Helping Public Safety Officials Manage Oklahoma's Hazardous Weather: the New OK-First Weather Briefing Webpage
James E Hocker
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
An Index for Anticipating Excessive Precipitation with Elevated Thunderstorms
Alzina L Foscato
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:00 – 11:15 AM An Overview and Lessons Learned from National Weather Service Decision Support Services for the 2015 Super Bowl XLIX
Todd Lericos
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Environmental Parameters Associated with Heavy Rain Episodes in the Central Plains
David J Pearson
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:15 – 11:30 AM EMSA - A Prototype Method for Maintaining Weather-Related Situational Awareness within Emergency Operations Centers
Peter F Blottman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Using the Combined Neighborhood Approach and QPF-PoP relationship to Generating PoP Forecasts
Michael C Kochasic
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:30 – 11:45 AM Using Public Briefings to Expand Decision Support Services to Schools and the General Public
Erik M Heden
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Spatial and Temporal Distribution of "Heaviest Precipitation each Day" Based on CoCoRaHS Data
Chris K Spears
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:45 – 12:00 PM Student Weather Briefing, Sponsor Presentations, & Announcements Student Weather Briefing, Sponsor Presentations, & Announcements
• Awards Luncheon: 12:00 – 2:30 PM
Time Presentation & Presenter
30 Minutes Special Awards Luncheon Keynote: A Charter Member's 40 year Journey with the NWA
Steve Harned
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Posters & Refreshments III: 2:30 – 4:00 PM
ID Presentation & Presenter
CP-1 Warning Decision-Making Training Takeaways from the 2014 Multiple-Radar / Multiple-Sensor (MRMS) Severe Weather Products Best Practices Experiment in the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed
Alyssa V Bates
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-2 Western Region Mountain Wave Support Project
Scott Birch
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-3 The NWS Center Weather Service Units (CWSU) Role in Aviation Hazard Communication via Social Media
Scott Birch
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-4 The Optimization of the Weather Research and Forecast - Environmental Modeling System for an Extreme Rainfall Event in Southeast Texas
Patrick G Blood
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-5 MRMS QPE Performance during the 2014 Warm Season
Stephen B Cocks
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-6 Conducting Site Visits to Facilitate the Operations to Research Process with MRMS QPE
Stephen B Cocks
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-7 Operational Application of Total Lightning in AWIPS-2
Alan M Cope
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-8 Retrospective and Overview of the Storm Prediction Center
Roger Edwards
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-9 mPING Three Years Later
Kimberly L Elmore
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-10 Severe weather proxies in a simulated supercell thunderstorm responding to environmental perturbations induced by a nearby squall line
Adam J French
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-11 New Innovations in Severe Weather Detection and Communication Methods Utilized in the March 25, 2015 Oklahoma Tornadoes
Daniel R Gallagher
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-12 The potential for unnecessary casualties in hazard response-related traffic jams: the 31 May 2013 tornadoes near Oklahoma City
Gabe Garfield
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-13 Hazardous Weather Decision Support for Events in the Day 8 to 14 Time Frame
Alan E Gerard
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-14 Using Layered Precipitable Water and Other Satellite-Derived Datasets to Anticipate High-Impact Weather Events. Part II: Severe Weather Applications
Christopher M Gitro
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-15 An Expanded Analysis of BUFKIT Methodologies to Forecast Wind and Wind Gust Speed for the Upper Ohio River Valley
Thomas A Green, Jr.
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-16 Downslope Windstorms: Improving Forecast Skill for Cheyenne, Wyoming
Christopher L Hammer
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-17 Environmental Conditions Conducive for South-Central Texas Heavy Rainfall Events
Nicholas L Hampshire
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-18 Communicating Forecast Uncertainty: Methods Used by National Weather Service Pleasant Hill, Missouri in the 2015 Winter and Convective Seasons.
Daniel Hawblitzel
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-19 Cultivating Our Future Leaders: Improving Summer Internship Experiences
Erik M Heden
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-20 How to Successfully Expand Your Spotter Network
Erik M Heden
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-21 METEOROLOGICAL CASE STUDIES OF LIGHTNING STRIKE VICTIMS IN COLORADO
Stephen J Hodanish
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-22 A HIGH RESOLUTION LIGHTNING STROKE MAP OF THE STATE OF COLORADO
Stephen J Hodanish
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-23 The West Texas Virtual Operations Support Team: Helping to Find a Social Media Needle in a Hazardous Weather Haystack
Melissa S Huffman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-24 Probabilistic Hazard Information Processing System (PHIPS): Rapid Generation and Blending of Probabilistic Forecasts for Severe Convective Hazards
Christopher D Karstens
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-25 Elevated Thunderstorms Impacts on Surface Frontal Boundaries During PRECIP
Joshua S Kastman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-26 The mechanisms and local effects of heavy snow in interior valleys of Northwest California
Matthew K Kidwell
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-27 Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Estimates with Ground-based Radar Networks
Pierre Kirstetter
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-28 Issues in weather risk communication: acceptable risks and calls-to-action
Kimberly E Klockow
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-29 A preliminary consistency assessment between reported nonconvective wind magnitudes in Storm Data and local station measurements
John Knox
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-30 Case Study of a Deadly Wake Low-Caused Windthrow Event
John A Knox
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-31 It's Not Snowing at My House, A Case Study in Communicating Impacts and Probability
Jonathan T Kurtz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-32A Select High-Impact Weather Events in Southeast Alaska in Summer 2015: An Assessment of a Late Season Hurricane-Force Low Striking Southeast Alaska
Richard C Lam
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-32B Select High-Impact Weather Events in Southeast Alaska in Summer 2015: An Evaluation of the Heavy Rain Event for Sitka, Alaska on August 18, 2015
Richard C Lam
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-33 Developmental Work at the Storm Prediction Center in Pursuit of Tornadic Supercell Probability and Tornado Intensity Estimation Using a Severe Supercell Dataset - A Social Science Perspective
Elizabeth M Leitman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-34 Stability Tendency during Elevated Convection Events with Heavy Rainfall
Patrick S Market
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-35 Application of the Three Ingredients Method to QLCS Tornado Warning Decisions at NWS Bismarck
James M Mathews
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-36 Using machine learning techniques to investigate tornadogenesis
Amy McGovern
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-37 Weather Camp and Meteorology Careers: Connecting Childhood Passion to Occupational Choices
Andrea Dawn Melvin
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-38 The Weather Warning Communication Network Process
Laura Myers
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-39 Heatstroke Deaths of Children in Vehicles
Jan Null
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-40 Assessing the significance of "mini tornado alleys" in the observational record
Corey K Potvin
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-41 Sensitivity of idealized supercell simulations to horizontal grid spacing: Implications for Warn-on-Forecast
Corey K Potvin
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-42 The Incredible Winter Weather in February 2015 across the Eastern Tennessee Valley and Southern Appalachians
Andrew M Pritchett
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-43 A real-time automated quality control of hourly rain gauge data based on multiple sensors in MRMS system
Youcun Qi
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-44 Storm Processes Depicted by the WSR-88D and KOUN Sector Scans during Severe Pulse Thunderstorms
Pamela Heinselman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-45 WITHDRAWN
A five year climatology of forecast errors of tornado tracks using manual extrapolation
Kevin A Scharfenberg
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-46 Southeast Montana's Rare EF3: Predicting and Warning for the Carter County Tornado
Chauncy J Schultz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-47 The Historic Cumberland Plateau Ice Storm of February 20-21, 2015
Samuel W Shamburger
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-48 The JPSS Proving Ground and Risk Reduction Program (PGRR) Initiatives - Making the Difference in Operations
Bill Sjoberg
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-49 What We've Learned in the Southeast US on When People Take Action During Hazardous Weather Events
Jim Stefkovich
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-50 The High Latitude Satellite Proving Ground: Generating Cutting-Edge Satellite Products to Meet Operational Needs in Alaska
Eric L Stevens
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-51 The NSSL Multiple-Radar / Multiple-Sensor (MRMS) Algorithm System: First Year of NWS Operations
Greg Stumpf
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-52 New Verification Techniques for FACETs: What Do False Alarm Area and Lead Time Really Mean in the Realm of Probabilistic Hazard Information?
Greg Stumpf
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-53 Accidents highlighting the importance of communicating and using Pilot Reports in the NAS
Paul Suffern
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-54 Case Study of the Atmospheric Vortices from the Eiler Fire
Pamela J Szatanek
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-55 CIRA's NWS Proving Ground activities as we approach the launch of GOES-R
Edward J Szoke
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-56 Improvement and Verification of Total Water Level Forecasting in the Maryland Chesapeake Bay and Tidal Potomac River
Katelyn Thomas
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-57 Best Practices for Communicating Risk and Uncertainty for High Impact Weather Events at the National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office
Kenneth R Widelski
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-58 Retrieving damaging vortex winds form radar observed tornadic mesocyclones for nowcast applications
Qin Xu
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
CP-59 Saying What We, As Meteorologists, Really Mean
H. Michael Mogil
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Concurrent VI: RADAR & Winter Weather: 4:00 – 5:30 PM
Time RADAR: Presentation & Presenter Winter Weather: Presentation & Presenter
4:00 – 4:15 PM Integrating High Resolution Ground Radar and Satellite Observations for Rapidly Updating Precipitation Estimates in Data Sparse Regions
Heather M Grams
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Convectively Assisted Explosive Extratropical Cyclogenesis: The Surprisingly Strong Southern New England Cyclone of 9 December 2005
Lance F Bosart
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
4:15 – 4:30 PM Monitoring severe thunderstorm environments from high temporal observations from GOES, radar and lightning sensors
Robert M Rabin
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Discrimination of surface hydrometeor type using spectral bin microphysics
Heather D Reeves
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
4:30 – 4:45 PM Advantages of Rapid-Scan Phased Array Radar Data During a Severe Hail and Wind Event from a Warning Forecaster's Perspective
Charles M Kuster
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Impact of Convection on Snowfall Evolution during a Winter Storm
Jeffrey A Chapman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
4:45 – 5:00 PM Dual-polarization radar analysis of flash flooding at Caprock Canyons State Park in northwest Texas
Mark R Conder
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
A Climatology of Southern Appalachian Cold Air Damming
Jared A Rackley
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
5:00 – 5:15 PM WSR-88D Radar Rainfall Estimation - Present and Near Future
Daniel S Berkowitz
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
When to Depart from Model Guidance - case study: The February 16-17, 2015 North Georgia Ice Storm
Keith M Stellman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
5:15 – 5:30 PM Automated ZDR Column Detection: Algorithm Description and Examples
Jeffrey C Snyder
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Maintaining Situational Awareness and Communicating Uncertainty Associated with Banded Snowfall
Matthew A Dux
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Special Evening Session I: 7:00 – 9:00 PM
Time Presentation & Presenter
6:30 – 8:00 PM Reception & Cash Bar
7:15 – 7:45 PM A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2015
Greg Carbin
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
7:45 – 8:00 PM The 1925 Tri-State Tornado: What if it happened today?
Patrick J Spoden
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
8:00 – 8:15 PM How Tornadoes and Severe Weather affected the North and South during the Civil War
Timothy W Troutman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
8:15 – 8:30 PM World Record 100.8" snowfall in 18 hours - Capracotta, Italy?
Ashton G Peyrefitte, Jr.
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
8:30 – 8:45 PM Anatomy of a Historical "Live Tweet" Event - The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald
Steven R Fleegel
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
8:45 – 9:00 PM Flood of a lifetime: Columbia, South Carolina and surrounding areas
Henry Rothenberg
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Council Dinner & Business Meeting: 5:30
Thursday, 22 October 2015
• Plenary V: 8:00 – 10:00 AM
Time Presentation & Presenter
8:00 – 8:30 AM Keynote: Title TBA
Elbert W (Joe) Friday, NWS Director (Ret.) & OU Professor Emeritus
8:30 – 8:45 AM Those Rare, Heavy Rainfall Events are not so Rare Anymore: The Impacts of Increasingly Common Heavy Rainfall Events in Iowa
Jeffrey A Zogg
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
8:45 – 9:00 AM A Retrospective Look at 40 Years of Severe Weather Forecasting Progress
Steven J Weiss
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:00 – 9:15 AM R2O and O2R between NSSL and the SPC: The benefits of collocation
Jack Kain
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:15 – 9:30 AM Reflections on 25 Years of Contributions to Operational Training by the COMET Program
Elizabeth M Page
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:30 – 9:45 AM The Tennessee Valley Historical Tornado Research Project
Tim Troutman
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
9:45 – 10:00 AM A Retrospective Look at the Great Armistice Day Storm of 1940: Using Numerical Modeling to Simulate Conditions on the Great Lakes during this Fateful Storm
Michael R Dutter
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Coffee Break: 10:00 – 10:30 AM
• Concurrent VII: Aviation & Social Science: 10:30 – 12:00 PM
Time Aviation: Presentation & Presenter Social Science: Presentation & Presenter
10:30 – 10:45 AM Providing Enhanced Decision Support Services to McCarran International Airport
Chris Outler
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Social Science Applications for Weather Enterprise Research
Laura Myers
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
10:45 – 11:00 AM NWS Decision Support at the FAA - Air Traffic Control System Command Center (ATCSCC)
Michael T Eckert
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Social Science Applications for Weather Enterprise Research
Vankita Brown
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:00 – 11:15 AM Icing Related General Aviation Accidents Located in Areas of Increased Differential Reflectivity
Paul Suffern
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Social Science Applications for Weather Enterprise Research
Susan Jasko
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:15 – 11:30 AM The LAMP/HRRR Meld For Aviation Forecasting
Bob Glahn
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Social Science Applications for Weather Enterprise Research
Jen Henderson
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:30 – 11:45 AM Digital Aviation Services
Cammye Sims
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
Social Science Applications for Weather Enterprise Research
Discussion & Questions
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
11:45 – 12:00 PM Student Weather Briefing, Sponsor Presentations, and Announcements Student Weather Briefing, Sponsor Presentations, and Announcements
• Lunch: 12:00 – 1:30 PM
• Plenary VI: 1:30 – 3:00 PM
Time Presentation & Presenter
1:30 – 1:45 PM Marine Meteorologist Role in Risk Reduction of Offshore Operations
Kristi Parrott
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
1:45 – 2:00 PM Preliminary Results from a Study on the Environments of Thunderstorms Over the Northeastern Pacific Ocean and Gulf of Alaska
Jonathan M Garner
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:00 – 2:15 PM Tropical Storm Arthur - The First Test of a Revised National Weather Service Post Tropical Transition Policy
Richard J Okulski
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:15 – 2:30 PM The 2014 Eastern Pacific Tropical Season: A look at the High Impacts on Arizona and the Challenges, Successes and Lessons Learned
Glenn Lader
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:30 – 2:45 PM Hurricane Arthur, July 2014: A case study in using disparate weather sources to reconstruct a weather event
Alicia Wasula
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
2:45 – 3:00 PM Improving Hurricane Impacts Messaging through Integrated Warning Team Workshops
Scott A Overpeck
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
• Refreshments: 3:00 – 3:30 PM
• Plenary VII: 3:30 – 5:00 PM
Time Presentation & Presenter
3:30 – 3:45 PM New Tools for Flash Flood Forecasting in the National Weather Service
Jonathan J Gourley
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
3:45 – 4:00 PM Application of Earth Remote Sensing Imagery in the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit
Kelsey T Angle
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
4:00 – 4:15 PM Preliminary Damage Path Tool for FEMA and First Responders
Jennifer Y Mcnatt
Abstract | Extended Abstract | Presentation/Poster
4:15 – 4:30 PM Concluding Remarks
4:30 PM Adjourn Until 10 September 2016 in Norfolk, VA
NWA Annual Meeting Program Committee
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