37th Annual Meeting
Monona Terrace Convention Center, Madison, Wisconsin
October 6-11, 2012
Weather Central, LP and WSI Corporation
See the main meeting page https://nwas.org/meetings/nwa2012/ for information on the meeting hotels, exhibits, sponsorships, registration and more
Presenters, please inform the Annual Meeting Program Committee at annualmeeting@nwas.org on any changes in your plans that might affect this agenda schedule. Instructions for forwarding your presentation PowerPoint slides, preprints/extended abstracts, poster summary slides and posters via FTP are at https://nwas.org/meetings/ftp_instructions.php Presentation tips are at: https://nwas.org/meetings/tips.php.
All activities will be held in the Monona Terrace Convention Center unless otherwise noted.
Click on the blue title of the presentation/poster to view the abstract. Some abstracts are not available.
A link is provided for each presentation that is available on-line. The files are compressed, so you will need a program, such as WinZip or Stuffit, to uncompress them. Some of the presentations are large and may take a while to download.
Click on the PDF icon to view the extended abstract.
Saturday, 6 October 2012
| 9:00am | WINGS Fly-In Seminar: Aviation Weather in the Upper Midwest The NWA Aviation Meteorology Committee invites all to attend this valuable seminar which is specifically designed for pilots who fly in the upper Midwest. Rich Mamrosh, NWS Forecast Office, Green Bay, WI will talk about how the Great Lakes affect the local weather. Marcia Cronce, NWS Forecast Office, Milwaukee, WI will present valuable information on interpreting weather radar and satellite imagery. And, noted author and retired FSS Specialist Terry Lankford, will discuss how to improve understanding of aviation weather forecasts. Special thanks to Wisconsin Aviation for hosting this seminar at the General Aviation Terminal, Madison, WI. Full details and online registration at Web site: http://www.faasafety.gov/SPANS/event_details.aspx?eid=46141&caller=/SPANS/events/EventList.aspx |
| 11:00am | NWA Tenth Annual Scholarship Golf Outing, Yahara Hills West Golf Course, Madison, WI. Tee times begin at 12:00noon. Presented by NWA Corporate Member Baron Services. Contact NWA Golf Pro Betsy Kling betsykling@wkyc.com for more information and to sign-up. More details at http://nwa2012.com/2012/07/31/golfers-its-time-to-bring-out-the-clubs/ and http://www.cityofmadison.com/golf/yaharahills/scoreCard.cfm. |
| 1:00pm | Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 7pm) [NWA Desk (counters 3 and 4) is located inside the Main Entrance to the Monona Terrace Convention Center level 4] |
| 1:00pm | Exhibit Room Setup: Hall of Ideas |
Sunday, 7 October 2012
| 7:00am | Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 6pm) |
| 8:30am | Broadcast Meteorology Workshop: Ballroom A |
| 9:00am | Exhibits Open: Hall of Ideas |
| 12:00pm | Fifth Annual Student Session: Ballroom C |
Broadcast Meteorology Workshop: Ballroom A
| 8:30am | R1.0 Welcoming Remarks Bruce Thomas, NWA President-Elect, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO |
| 8:35am | R1.1 Opening Remarks Nick Walker, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair and Mike Goldberg, WRIC-TV, Richmond, VA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop Chair |
| 8:45am | R1.2 Welcome to Madison Brian Olson, WKOW-TV Madison, WI |
| 9:00am | R1.3 Weathercaster Effectiveness: The Role of Gesturing in Forecast Attention and Retention Jay Trobec, Chief Meteorologist, KELO-TV Sioux Falls, SD |
| 9:15am | R1.4 Choose Your Words Alan Sealls, Chief Meteorologist, WKRG-TV Mobile, AL |
| 9:30am | R1.5 Connecting Warnings to Action: Preparing a More Informed Community Josh Johnson, WSFA-TV, Montgomery, AL |
| 9:45am | R1.6 Framing the Picture: Historical Context of Weather Events Michael Timlin, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, IL |
| 10:00am | Coffee Break. Exhibits Open in Hall of Ideas |
| 10:30am | R2.0 Severe Weather Workshop Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK |
| 11:30am | R2.1 A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2012 Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK |
| 12:00pm | Lunch on your own |
| 1:30pm | R3.0 Broadcaster Climate Change Education Project Update Edward W. Maibach, Director, Center for Climate Change Communication, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA |
| 1:45pm | R3.1 NOAA Weather Radio in the Digital Age Bruce T. Jones, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO |
| 2:00pm | R3.2 NEXRAD Data Dealiasing Problems Impacting Television Coverage of Severe Weather Kevin B. Laws, NOAA/National Weather Service, Birmingham, AL |
| 2:15pm | R3.3 Operational Use of NEXRAD Dual-Polarimetric Radar Data Dan Gallagher, Baron Services, Huntsville, AL |
| 2:30pm | R3.4 Enhancing Broadcaster's Severe Weather Presentations Using Dual-Polarization Radar Products, Part 1 Ray Hawthorne, Weather Central Inc., Madison, WI |
| 2:45pm | R3.5 Enhancing Broadcaster’s Severe Weather Presentations Using Dual-Polarization Radar Products, Part 2 Mike Massaro, Weather Services International, Andover, MA |
| 3:00pm | Coffee Break. Exhibits Open |
| 3:30pm | R4.0 Interactive Social Media Boot Camp - Sponsored by The Weather Channel Renee Willet, Senior Manager of Social Media, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA Tim Brice, Senior Meteorologist, NOAA/National Weather Service, El Paso, TX Tiffany Sunday, NWA Social Media Committee, Emerging Tech Strategist, Dallas, TX |
| 5:00pm | Announcements/Dinner on your own |
| 7:00pm | DVD Swap Nick Walker, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair Miles Muzio, KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA and NWA Broadcast Seal of Approval Committee Chair |
| 8:30pm | Student DVD Critique Mike Goldberg, WRIC-TV, Richmond, VA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop Chair |
Student Session: Ballroom C
| 12:00pm | S1.0 Opening Remarks Bruce Thomas, NWA President-Elect, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO Jordan Gerth, 2012 NWA Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair, NWA Student Ex-Officio, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI |
| 12:15pm | S2.0 Government Careers Timothy Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI |
| 12:45pm | S3.0 Grad School/Academic Careers Paul J. Roebber, Associate Dean for Academic Affairs, School of Freshwater Sciences, Director of Innovative Weather, UWM Distinguished Professor, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI |
| 1:15pm | S4.0 Private Sector Careers Kenneth F. Carey, Director of Strategic Solutions, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD |
| 1:45pm | S5.0 Weather Ready Nation Kenneth F. Carey, Director of Strategic Solutions, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD |
| 2:15pm | S6.0 Interactive Social Media Boot Camp - Sponsored by The Weather Channel Renee Willet, Senior Manager of Social Media, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA Tim Brice, Senior Meteorologist, NOAA/National Weather Service, El Paso, TX Tiffany Sunday, NWA Social Media Committee, Emerging Tech Strategist, Dallas, TX |
| 3:15pm | Student Poster Introductions (for poster session at 6:00pm) |
| 3:20pm | S7.0 Speed Mentoring Michael Page, Speed Mentoring Tiger Team, Broadcast Meteorology Student, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA Details and preregister via e-mail to ensure participation at: http://nwa2012.com/2012/09/05/the-2012-nwa-student-session-will-feature-speed-mentoring-event/ |
| 4:45pm | Dinner |
| 6:00pm | Student Poster Session: Hall of Ideas Chair: Matthew Lazzara, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Physical Science/Madison College, Madison, WI |
| P0.1 | A Study of Atmospheric Teleconnective Oscillation Interactivity and Coincidence with Air Mass Type for Pittsburgh, PA Ryan E. Adams, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA Dr. Chad Kauffman |
| P0.2 | A Warm Month: A Comparison of March 2012 to December 1889 Jordan R. Bell, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO Anthony R. Lupo |
| P0.3 | A Case Study of Rare Long Track Tornadoes in Eastern Kentucky Quentin Walker, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY Tyler Binkley, Ryan Difani, Andrew Dockery, Michael Flanigan, John Thomas, and Dr. Joshua Durkee |
| P0.4 | Fog Archive Verification for Operational and Real-time Forecasting Jennifer Closson, Kean University, Union, NJ |
| P0.5 | Forecast Assessment of Two Challenging Lake-Effect Snow Events in the Eastern Great Lakes Region Brian Crow, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO Neil Laird and David Zaff |
| P0.6 | The Effect of Topography on National Weather Service Cooperative Observer (COOP) Data David Fischer, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA Dr. Mario Majcen, and Dr. Chad Kauffman |
| P0.7 | Remote sensing for tornado impact assessment in a remote forest ecosystem Roberto Gomez, Kean University, Union, NJ Tom Giordano |
| P0.8 | Withdrawn Extreme Cold and Precipitation Impacts on Florida Citrus Crop from 1979-2009 Michael Joshua Hackenberg, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA |
| P0.9 | What is a Comforting Climate for persons diagnosed with Multiple Sclerosis? An analysis of multiple atmospheric variables to identify an ideal setting. Donald Jellison Jr, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA Dr. Chad Kauffman |
| P0.10 | The Preparedness of University Students for a Potential Tornadic Event on Campus Donald Jellison Jr., California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA Dr. Mario Majcen, Dr. Chad Kauffman, and Dr. Susan Jasko |
| P0.12 | The Expansion of Lightning Toolkits to Outdoor Recreation Michael Kyle, Kean University, Union, NJ Charles Woodrum, Karen K. Oudeman, and Ellen Bryan |
| P0.13 | Safety Risks & Responses: Thunderstorm Hazards at the New Jersey Shore Michael Kyle, Kean University, Union, NJ |
| P0.14 | Prediction of Tropical Cyclogenesis using Operational, Statistical, and Dynamical Models Jonathan Labriola, RSMAS University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL Sharanya J Majumdar |
| P0.15 | Comparison of Two Forecasts for Tornadoes Associated with Cold Core 500-mb Lows: Surprise and Bust William A. LaForce, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI Dr. Martin A. Baxter |
| P0.16 | Cloud Observations and Morphology Physical & Operational Storm Environmental Chase Clues Michael Rizzo, Kean University, Union, NJ Nicole Peterson, Paul J. Croft, and Steven G. Decker |
| P0.17 | Anticipating the Winter Season and Understanding Meteorological Behaviors: NAO/PNA Renato Rodrigues, Kean University, Union, NJ Anthony Ingato, Joseph Toth, and Paul J. Croft |
| P0.18 | Analysis of Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction-Advanced (FFMP-A) Performance in Diagnosing Flash Flood Events in the Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office Area of Responsibility Anna Schneider, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA Stephen B. Konarik and Jason C. Elliott |
| P0.19 | Flooding Risk, Impact, Streamflow, and Atmospheric Patterns: The Unusual Seasons of 2011-12 Devon Sepe, Kean University, Union, NJ Paul J. Croft |
| P0.20 | The Effect of Topography on Precipitation Amounts in Missouri Christopher Soelle, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO Elizabeth Blizzard and Anthony Lupo |
| P0.21 | Evaluation of the Mount Pleasant, Michigan Urban Heat Plume Peter Woolcox, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI Dr. Daria Kluver |
| P0.22 | An Analysis of Numerical Weather Prediction Models used in Forecasting Hurricane Hugo Bradrick McClam, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, Lincoln, NE |
| P0.23 | A 20 Year Assessment of the Frequency and Intensity of McMurdo Area High Wind Events Nicholas J. Weber, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI David M. Rasmussen Jr., Linda M. Keller, and Matthew A. Lazzara |
| P0.24 | Antarctic Climatology using Automatic Weather Stations Carol Costanza, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI Linda Keller, Matthew Lazzara, Jonathon Thom, and Lee Welhouse |
| P0.25 | Cloud Mass Transport from the Southern Ocean into Antarctica Joey Snarski, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI Linda Keller, Elena Willmot, Carol Costanza, and Matthew Lazzara |
| P0.26 | Characteristics of Large, Long-Lived Convective Systems over Subtropical South America Derived from Geostationary Satellite Imagery Kyle Mattingly, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY |
Session S8 Student Presentations: Ballroom C
Chair: Matthew Lazzara, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Physical Science/Madison College, Madison, WI
| 7:00pm | S8.1 Cloud Observations and Morphology: Physical & Operational Storm Environment Chase Clues Michael Rizzo, Kean University, Union, NJ Nicole Peterson |
| 7:15pm | S8.2 An Analysis of Numerical Weather Prediction Models used in Forecasting Hurricane Hugo Bradrick McClam, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE |
| 7:30pm | S8.3 Antarctic Climatology using Automatic Weather Stations Carol Costanza, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI |
| 7:45pm | S8.4 Characteristics of Large, Long-Live Convective Systems over Subtropical South America Kyle Mattingly, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY |
| 8:00pm | S8.5 Forecast Assessment of Two Challenging Lake-Effect Snow Events in the Eastern Great Lakes Region Brian Crow, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO Neil Laird and David Zaff |
| 8:30pm | Student DVD Critique Mike Goldberg, WRIC-TV, Richmond, VA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop Chair |
Monday, 8 October 2012
| 7:00am | Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4pm) |
| 7:45am | General Session: Ballroom AB |
| 9:00am | Exhibits Open: Hall of Ideas |
| 6:00pm | Icebreaker: Grand Terrace |
General Session: Ballroom AB
| 7:00am | Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4pm) |
| 7:45am | Welcome Bruce Thomas, NWA President-Elect, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO Jordan Gerth, 2012 NWA Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair, NWA Student Ex-Officio, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI |
| 8:00am | A1.0 Keynote Speaker: Reflections on one forecaster's journey through meteorology's most extraordinary 45 years--and some thoughts on where we go from here Tom Skilling, Chief Meteorologist, WGN Radio & TV and The Chicago Tribune, Chicago, IL |
Session A1: Weather Analysis and Forecasting-NWP
Co-Chairs: Jacob Beitlich, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN
Robert Aune, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI
| 8:45am | A1.1 The Chicago Aviation Initiative: More Than Meets the Eye Mike Bardou, NOAA/NWS, Chicago/Romeoville, IL |
| 9:00am | A1.2 Analysis of Satellite Signatures, Pattern Recognition, and Eddy Dissipation Rate In Determining Potential Areas of Convectively Induced Turbulence Rick Di Maio, Instructor Lewis University, Romeoville, IL |
| 9:15am | A1.3 Using Historical Analogs as Medium-Range Guidance for Severe Weather Episodes Chad M. Gravelle, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO Charles E. Graves, Jeffrey P. Craven, Alan E. Gerard, and John P. Gagan |
| 9:30am | A1.4 Using Anomalies to Forecast High-Impact Events David L. Beachler, NOAA/NWS, Chicago/Romeoville, IL Richard H. Grumm |
| 9:45am | Morning Break; exhibits open |
Session A2: Remote Sensing-Satellite
Gary S. Wade, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI
Anthony Schreiner, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 10:15am | Keynote Speaker A2.0 Vision and Strategies for a Weather-Ready Nation Kathryn Sullivan, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation & Prediction / Deputy Administrator of NOAA and Acting Chief Scientist |
| 10:45am | A2.1 NOAA Operational Satellites, Products, & Services: Current Status & Updates from SPSD User Services Matthew Seybold, NOAA / NESDIS, College Park, MD Natalia Donoho and Thomas Renkevens |
| 11:00am | A2.2 Operational uses of the ABI (Advanced Baseline Imager) on the GOES-R series Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI Mathew M. Gunshor, Kaba Bah, James J. Gurka, and Jason Otkin |
| 11:15am | A2.3 The GOES-R Proving Ground: User Input from the 2012 Demonstrations and Future Plans James Gurka, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R, Greenbelt, MD Steve Goodman, Timothy Schmit, Mark De Maria and Anthony Mostek |
| 11:30am | A2.5 VIIRS data in AWIPS: Supporting Operational Forecasters Kathleen Strabala, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Ray Garcia, David Hoese, Eva Schiffer, Jordan Gerth, Scott Bachmeier, Liam Gumley and Dayne Broderson |
| 11:45am | Lunch Break |
| 1:30pm | Keynote Speaker A3.0 NCEP Overview: Recent Advances in the Numerical Models and Service Centers Louis Uccellini, Director of the National Weather Service's National Centers for Environmental Prediction and American Meteorological Society President, College Park, MD |
Session A3: Remote Sensing-Radar
Co-Chairs: Dan Miller, NOAA/NWS, Duluth, MN
John Cintineo, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 2:00pm | A3.1 NEXRAD Data Dealiasing Problems Impacting Television Coverage of Severe Weather Kevin B. Laws, NOAA/NWS, Alabama |
| 2:15pm | A3.2 Radar Applications for Nowcasting Lightning Cessation Elise V. Schultz, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL Geoffrey T. Stano, Lawrence D. Carey, and Walter A. Petersen |
| 2:30pm | A3.3 Developing a Winter Surface Hydrometeor Classification Algorithm for the WSR-88D Polarimetric Upgrade Kimberly L. Elmore, OU-CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK Heather D. Reeves, Alexander Ryzhkov, Terry Schuur, Kiel Ortega, Matthew Kumjian and John Krause |
| 2:45pm | Afternoon Break |
Concurrent Session I: Ballroom A
Session B4: Tropical and Marine Weather
Co-Chairs: Diane Cooper, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN Tim Olander, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 3:15pm | B4.1 CIMSS Tropical Cyclones Web Page Dave Stettner, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Chris Velden and Tim Olander |
| 3:30pm | B4.2 The June 30, 2011 Lake Michigan Supercell - An Overview and the Role of Terminal Doppler Radar Data in Identifying Storm Scale Features J. J. Wood, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI Ricky Castro, NOAA/National Wether Service, Chicago/Romeoville, Illinois |
| 3:45pm | B4.3 Environmental Water Vapor and Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting Derek Ortt, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX |
| 4:00pm | B4.4 Examining Trends in Satellite-Detected Overshooting Tops as a Potential Predictor of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Sarah Monette, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Christopher Velden, Kyle Griffin, and Christopher Rozoff |
Session B5: Hydrology-Heavy Rain-Flooding
Co-Chairs: Diane Cooper, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN
Tim Olander, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Concurrent Session II: Ballroom B
Session C6: Winter Weather
Co-Chairs: Michael Fowle, NOAA/NWS, Aberdeen, SD
Jeffrey Craven, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
| 3:15pm | C6.1 Environments Favorable for Extreme Snow Ratios across the Upper Mississippi River Valley Region Andrew Just, NOAA/NWS, La Crosse, WI Dan Baumgardt and Dave Schmidt |
| 3:30pm | C6.2 Boundary Layer Destabilization of Non-Typical Blizzard Events in the Central Plains Jacob Beitlich, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN Karl Jungbluth and Ken Podrazik |
| 3:45pm | C6.3 Climatology and Conceptual Models of Snowfall Distribution in Cold-Season Central United States Cyclones Marty Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI Phil Schumacher |
| 4:00pm | C6.4 Environments Favorable for Heavy Snow Across the Upper Mississippi River Valley Region Dan A. Baumgardt, NOAA/NWS, La Crosse, WI Dan Jones, Dr. Charles Graves, Chad Gravelle, and Jayson Gosselin |
| 4:15pm | C6.5 Development of a Winter Impact Index for the Twin Cities Shawn DeVinny, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN Tom Hultquist |
Session C7: Fire Weather
Co-Chairs: Michael Fowle, NOAA/NWS, Aberdeen, SD
Jeffrey Craven, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
| 4:30pm | C7.1 The Buildup and Operational Response to the Extreme New Mexico Wildfire Season of 2011: From Climate Variability and Synoptic Regimes to Decision Support and Customer Interactions Deirdre Kann, NOAA/NWS, Albuquerque, NM J. Brent Wachter |
| 4:45pm | C7.2 Large Fire Growth Influenced by Dry Slots: Case for More Consistent and Accurate Wildland Fire Nowcasting and Forecasting Utilizing Satellite Water Vapor Imagery Fred J. Schoeffler, U.S. Forest Service Coconino N.F., AZ |
| 5:00pm | C7.3 Synthesizing Weather Information for Wildland Fire Decision Making in the Great Lakes Region John Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT Judy Pechmann and Chris Galli |
| 5:15pm | C7.4 Weather Conditions Associated with the Great Peshtigo Fire of 8 October 1871 Tom Hultquist, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN |
| 6:00pm | Icebreaker sponsored by Baron Services: Grand Terrace |
| 7:00pm | Broadcasters Dinner (This year it's a buffet with two main dishes, salad, sides and dessert, all from a celebrated chef. Buses will transport Broadcasters to the Institutes of Discovery on the U-W Madison campus. Those who like, may tour the facility before dinner. This is going to be a real treat, but seating is limited. So make sure you get your ticket(s) when you check in at the NWA Registration/Information desk. Check out the restaurant here: http://www.steenbocksonorchard.com ) |
Tuesday, 9 October 2012
| 7:00am | Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4pm) |
| 7:45am | Weather Briefing |
| 8:00am | General Session: Ballroom AB |
| 9:00am | Exhibits Open: Hall of Ideas (final day of exhibits; closes at 4pm) |
| 9:30am | Poster Session P1: Grand Terrace East |
| 11:45am | 1st NWA Women's Luncheon sponsored by ENSCO, Inc. and WISC-TV: Capital Club, Hilton-Madison Monona Terrace Hotel |
| 4:00pm | Town Hall Meeting sponsored by Midland Radio: Decision Maker's Perspective – Assessing Weather Impacts. For full details see http://nwa2012.com/town-hall/. |
General Session: Ballroom AB
| 8:00am | Keynote Speaker D8.0 Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today’s Weather, Water, and Climate Forecasting and Projections Louis Uccellini, Director of the National Weather Service's National Centers for Environmental Prediction and American Meteorological Society President, College Park, MD |
Session D8: Severe Storms-Tornadoes-Lightning
Co-Chairs: Morgan Brooks, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK
| 8:30am | D8.1 Severe Wind-Driven Hail Events: An Update on Preferred Convective Morphologies and Operational Predictability Michael A. Fowle, NOAA/NWS/Aberdeen, SD William A. Gallus Jr., Nicholas D. Carletta, and Daniel J. Miller |
| 8:45am | D8.2 A Multivariable Aggregate Severe Parameter for Severe/Tornado Prediction: CWASP Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS Sullivan WI Jerry Wiedenfeld |
| 9:00am | D8.3 An Examination of Tornado Outbreak Environments and Their Societal Impacts with an Emphasis on Major 2011 & 2012 Events Russell Schneider, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Director, Norman, OK Andy R. Dean |
| 9:15am | D8.4 An Evaluation Of Convective Warning Utilization By The General Public Dawn P. Wedig, University of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC Christopher M. Godfrey, P. Wolf, M. K. Goldsbury, and J. A. Caudill |
Session P1: Poster Session
Chair: Timothy Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI
| 9:30am | Poster Introductions |
| 9:45am | Poster Session P1: Grand Terrace East |
| P1.1 | The GOES-R Tropopause Folding Turbulence Product: Finding Clear-air Turbulence in GOES Water Vapor Imagery Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Calgary, AB Wayne Feltz and Sarah Monette |
| P1.2 | Morphing Polar-Orbiter Imagery of Cloud Products for Improved Visualization and Forecasting Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Calgary, AB Andrew Heidinger |
| P1.3 | MIMIC-TPW: Seamless Advective Blending of Total Precipitable Water Retrievals from Polar Orbiting Satellites Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Calgary, AB Chris Velden |
| P1.4 | Data Fusion with the GOES-R Proving Ground Convective Initiation Products in the Plains Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWS Valley/Omaha, NE Mark R. Anderson, Jason Apke, Casey Griffin, and Adam Taylor |
| P1.5 | Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) Data Product Requirement Prioritization: Defining the JPSS Program's Roadmap for Future Collaboration Kathryn Shontz, NOAA/JPSS Lanham, MD Bill Sjoberg NOAA/JPSS, Lanham, MD Kathryn Shontz |
| P1.6 | The Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) Proving Ground Program: Maximizing the Impacts of Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) and JPSS Satellite Products in Operational Environments. Bill Sjoberg, NOAA JPSS Program kathryn.shontz@noaa.gov |
| P1.7 | Evaluation of the GOES-R Proving Ground Convective Initiation Nowcasting Products in the Plains Jason Apke, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, Lincoln, NE Mark R. Anderson, Dan Nietfeld, Casey Griffin, and Adam Taylor |
| P1.8 | UW-CIMSS Satellite Products to the NWS Forecast Offices via AWIPS Kaba Bah, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Jordan Gerth, Wayne Feltz, and Tim Schmit |
| P1.9 | Recent VISIT and SHyMet Training: Applications of Satellite Imagery and Products to Operational Forecasting Dan Bikos, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere / Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Jeff Braun, Bernie Connell, Scott Lindstrom, and Scott Bachmeier |
| P1.10 | GOES Objective Overshooting Top and Enhanced-V Signature Detection Products: Algorithm Description, Validation, and Applications Jason Brunner, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Kristopher Bedka, Richard Dworak, Wayne Feltz, and Cecilia Fleeger |
| P1.11 | GOES-R AWG Visibility Retrieval Jason Brunner, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI R. Bradley Pierce and Allen Lenzen |
| P1.12 | GOES R Proving Ground: CIMSS/NWS Sullivan 2012 Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS Sullivan WI Marcia R. Cronce, Steve Davis, Wayne F. Feltz, and Jordan J. Gerth |
| P1.13 | Moved to F17.4 The 2012 GOES-R Product Demonstrations for Marine and Precipitation Applications Michael J. Folmer, UMCP/ESSIC/CICS Steve Goodman, Andrew Orrison, Joseph Sienkiewicz, and David Novak |
| P1.14 | Synthetic GOES-R ABI Imagery of Hazardous Aerosols Lewis Grasso, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Don Hillger, Renate Brummer, and Robert DeMaria |
| P1.15 | GOES-R Fog and Low Cloud Product Demonstration Within the National Weather Service Central Region Chad M Gravelle, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO Michael J Pavolonis and Corey G Calvert |
| P1.16 | Assimilation of AIRS Radiances using GSI/WRF for Short Term Regional Forecasts Agnes Lim, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Jim Jung, Allen Huang, and Steve Ackerman |
| P1.17 | Future Improvements to Very-short-range Forecasts of the Pre-convective Environment Using Operational Geostationary Satellite Observations William Line, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Ralph Petersen, Robert Aune, and Richard Dworak |
| P1.18 | Current Usage and Future Prospects of Multispectral (RGB) Satellite Imagery in Support of NWS Forecast Offices and National Centers Andrew L. Molthan, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL Kevin K. Fuell, John Knaff, and Thomas Lee |
| P1.19 | SPoRT Products in AWIPS II Matt Smith, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL Jason Burks and Kevin McGrath |
| P1.20 | SPoRT Data in the JPSS Proving Ground Matt Smith, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL Gary Jedlovec |
| P1.21 | Preparing for GOES-R: The Pseudo Geostationary Lightning Mapper Geoffrey T. Stano, NASA SPoRT / ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL |
| P1.22 | Are Sounding Profiles from Geostationary Satellites Helping Us Yet? Gary S. Wade, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/Advanced Satellite Products Branch (ASPB), Madison WI James P. Nelson III, Timothy J. Schmit, Americo S. Allegrino, and Seth I. Gutman |
| P1.23 | Improve Tropical Cyclone Forecasts with Hyperspectral Infrared Sounder Data Pei Wang, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Jun Li, Tim Schmit and Jinlong Li |
| P1.24 | Demonstration of RGB Composite Imagery at NWS Forecast Offices in Preparation for GOES-R Kristopher White, NOAA/NWS NASA/SPoRT, Huntsville, AL Kevin Fuell |
| P1.25 | The use of the North Alabama Lightning Mapping Array in the real-time operational warning environment during the March 2nd, 2012 severe weather outbreak in northern Alabama Kristopher White, NOAA/NWS NASA/SPoRT, Huntsville, AL Geoffrey T. Stano and Brian Carcione |
| P1.26 | A Holistic Overview of NWS Severe Weather Warnings Patrick T. Marsh, University of Oklahoma/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| P1.27 | Impacts of Cyclone Aila on Heavy Rain and Flooding in Bangladesh, Bhutan, NE-India and Nepal Mohan Kumar Das, SAARC Meteorological Research Centre, Dhaka, Bangladesh Sujit K. Debsarma |
| P1.28 | A Preliminary Examination of The Elevation Dependence of Snowfall in Northeast Pennsylvania Michael Evans, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY Michael L. Jurewicz Jr., and Robert Ballentine |
| P1.29 | Lake Effect Snowfalls and Evaluation of the Cobb Method Seth Kutikoff, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, Lincoln, NE Mark Anderson |
| P1.30 | An Anomalous Anchorage Snowstorm James Nelson, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage AK |
| P1.31 | A Review of Traffic Accidents Compared with Observed Snowfall Todd J. Shea, NOAA/NWS, La Crosse, WI |
| P1.32 | Climatology of Tornado Outbreaks in the Eastern United States Chris Fuhrmann, Southeast Regional Climate Center (SERCC), University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC Chip Konrad, Jordan McLeod, Maggie Kovach, and Hillary Fox |
| P1.33 | Withdrawn Mapping Tornado Risk: The Scientization of Tornado Alley and Dixie Alley Jennifer Henderson, Virginia Tech |
| P1.34 | Unwarned Tornadoes within the National Weather Service St. Louis County Warning Area: 1995-2011 Kristopher Sanders, NOAA/National Weather Service Topeka, KS Fred H. Glass |
| P1.35 | The Influence of Climate on the Location and Feasibility of Solar and Wind Production Richard Snow, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL Mary Snow |
| P1.36 | A User-Friendly Method for Accessing Climate Data the Central US Michael S. Timlin, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL |
| P1.37 | The Effects of Gap and Along-Valley Flow on Surface Winds during the Terrain-induced Rotor Experiment Brian J. Billings, Saint Cloud State University, Saint Cloud, MN James D. Doyle and Qingfang Jiang |
| P1.38 | Significant Ice Storms Affecting Corpus Christi, Texas Michael Buchanan, NOAA/NWS Corpus Christi, TX |
| P1.39 | New COMET NWP Training: Videos, NWP Matrix, Additions, and New NWP Course Gregory P. Byrd, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO William R. Bua |
| P1.40 | Recent Upgrades to NASA SPoRT Initialization Datasets for the Environmental Modeling System Jonathan L. Case, ENSCO, Inc./NASA SPoRT Center, Huntsville, AL Frank J. LaFontaine, Andrew L. Molthan, Bradley T. Zavodsky, and Robert A. Rozumalski |
| P1.41 | Mid-Latitude Cyclone Regime Identification for Severe Winter Storms in Missouri from 1960-2010 Katie Crandall, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO Patrick Market |
| P1.42 | Dynamic Lightning Forecasts Derived from High Resolution, Rapid Refresh Numerical Model Data Gary P. Ellrod, Ellrod Weather Consulting, Granby, CT Dr. Barry H. Lynn |
| P1.43 | The Pacific Coast Fog Project: A Multi-disciplinary Effort to Provide Web-based Climate Products for Ecologists Gary P. Ellrod, Ellrod Weather Consulting, Granby, CT Alicia Torregrosa, Cynthia Combs, and Ismail Gultepe |
| P1.44 | Performance of Gridded Maximum and Minimum Temperature Guidance and Forecasts at the National Weather Service’s Miami Forecast Office Jeral Estupinan, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL Eric Jenks and Andrew Kennedy |
| P1.45 | The National Weather Service Operations Center: Monitoring the Pulse of the Nation's Weather Katie Garrett, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| P1.46 | Exploring the Utility of Downscaled SREF Grids for Generating Probabilistic Snowfall Forecasts Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS Salt Lake City, UT Glen Merrill |
| P1.47 | 1 December 2011 Damaging Windstorm in Utah Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT Steve Rogowski |
| P1.48 | An Analysis of BUFKIT Methodologies to Forecast Wind and Wind Gust Speed for the Upper Ohio River Valley Thomas A. Green, Jr., NOAA/NWS Pittsburgh, PA Richard J. Poremba |
| P1.49 | Synoptic Probabilistic Forecasting Richard Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA |
| P1.50 | The Epic Eastern North American Heat-Wave of March 2012 Richard Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA Justin Arnott |
| P1.51 | The Structure and Life Cycle of Dry Airstreams in Mature Extratropical Cyclones Patrick Market, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO Ray Wolf, John Hasse, Anthony Lupo, and John Gagan |
| P1.52 | Real Time Objective Verification of Convective Forecasts: 2012 HWT Spring Forecast Experiment Christopher J. Melick, NOAA/NWS/SPC; University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK Israel L. Jirak, Steven J. Weiss, Andrew R. Dean, and James Correia |
| P1.53 | A Rotor Event in Anchorage, AK Emily Niebuhr, NOAA/NWS Anchorage, AK Gene Petrescu |
| P1.54 | Evaluation of Assimilating Simulated Radar and Satellite Observations During a Cool Season OSSE Jason Otkin, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Thomas Jones, Kent Knopfmeier, and David Stensrud |
| P1.55 | Determining Skill in Maximum and Minimum Temperature Forecasts Philip Schumacher, NOAA/NWS Sioux Falls, SD Kyle Weisser and Jeffrey Chapman |
| P1.56 | Challenging Forecasters Through Experiential Learning Christopher Spannagle, Warning Decision Training Branch/National Weather Service (NWS)/Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (CIMMS) University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, Veronica Holtz and James LaDue |
| P1.57 | NASA DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM: An Investigation of High-Impact Non-Convective Wind Events Associated with Intense Extratropical Cyclones Using NASA Data Products Sarah Trojniak, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO Mallory Cato, Nick Elmer, Michelle Hogenmiller, and Emily Berndt |
| P1.58 | Preliminary Results of a U.S. Deep South Modeling Experiment using NASA SPoRT Initialization Datasets for Operational National Weather Service Local Model Runs Lance Wood, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX Jeffrey M. Medlin, Bradley T. Zavodsky, Jonathan Case, and Andrew Molthan |
| P1.59 | Radar And Lightning Analyses Of Gigantic Jet-Producing Storms Tiffany Meyer, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK Timothy Lang, Steven Rutledge, Walt Lyons, Gaopeng Lu |
| P1.60 | Hurricane Ernesto (2006): Frontal Influence on Precipitation Distribution Barrett Smith, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC Jordan Dale and Gary Lackmann |
| P1.61 | NASA/SPoRT Products for the GOES-R Proving Grounds Kevin Fuell, University of Alabama-Huntsville, Huntsville, AL Gary Jedlovec, Andrew Molthan, and Matt Smith |
| P1.62 | Recent NWS Satellite Training Activities Brian Motta, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO |
| P1.63 | Boundary Layer Destabilization of Non-Typical Blizzard Events in the Central Plains Jacob Beitlich, NOAA/NWS, Minneapolis, MN Karl Jungbluth and Ken Podrazik |
| P1.64 | Operational Fog Forecasting: GOES-R and Archive Multimodal Approach Paul J. Croft, Kean University, Union, NJ Alan M. Cope |
| P1.65 | Weather Readiness across International Borders Richard Okulski, NOAA/NWS, Caribou, ME Noelle Runyan |
| P1.66 | An Update on CIRA's GOES-R Proving Ground Activities Ed Szoke, CIRA/NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO Renate Brummer, Hiro Gosden, Steve Miller, and Mark DeMaria |
Session D9: Emerging Technologies
Co-Chairs: Tim Brice, NOAA/NWS, El Paso, TX
Scott Lindstrom, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 11:00am | D9.1 Rapid Access to Real-Time and Forecast Products through a Web Map Service Russell Dengel, SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Sam Batzli, Dave Parker, Nick Bearson, and Dave Santek |
| 11:15am | D9.2 The Storm Damage Assessment Toolkit - Storm Damage Survey Data Collection using Smartphones and Tablets Keith Stellman, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City/Atlanta, GA Parks Camp |
| 11:30am | D9.3 Leveraging New Video Conferencing Technologies for National Weather Service Decision Support Timothy W. Troutman, NOAA/NWS Huntsville, Alabama Corey Pieper, Tim Brice, Tom Johnstone, and Kerry Jones |
| 11:45am | D9.4 The DOE perspective on supporting Wind Energy with NOAA partnerships a Continuation from 2011’s agreement Joel Cline, NOAA/NWS Liaison to DOE, Washington, D.C. |
| 11:45am | 1st NWA Women's Luncheon: Capital Club, Hilton-Madison Monona Terrace Hotel |
| 12:00pm | Lunch Break |
Session D10: Weather-Ready Nation
Co-Chairs: Kenneth F. Carey, Director of Strategic Solutions, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD
Paul Schlatter, NOAA/NWS, Washington, DC
| 1:30pm | Keynote Speaker D10.0 Building a Weather-Ready Nation: One Year In Laura Furgione, NOAA Acting Assistant Administrator for Weather Services, Acting Director of the National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD |
| 2:00pm | D10.1 National Weather Service Weather-Ready Nation Roadmap and Pilot Projects Chris Strager, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 2:15pm | D10.2 Early findings and results from the Central Region Impact Based Warnings Demonstration Michael J Hudson, NOAA/NWS Kansas City, MO Peter A. Browning, Kenneth Harding, Kenneth J. Galluppi, and Jessica L. Losego |
| 2:30pm | D10.3 NWS Operations Proving Ground Evaluating and Validating Science and Services Kim Runk, NOAA/NWS Central Region / NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO Chad M. Gravelle and Somer Erickson |
| 2:45pm | D10.4 Weather Ready Nation: WFO Sterling Pilot Project: Impact-Based Decision Support Services (IDSS) Kyle Struckmann, NOAA/NWS, Sterling, VA Steven Zubrick, Steve Goldstein, and Kenneth Widelski |
| 3:00pm | D10.5 Building a Weather Ready Nation with Regional Partners: The NWS Southern Region Headquarters Regional Operations Center Pilot Project Timothy Oram, Emergency Response Meteorologist, NOAA/NWS Southern Region Headquarters, Fort Worth, TX Jennifer McNatt, Mark Wiley, Brian Hoeth, and Kurt Van Speybroeck |
| 3:15pm | D10.6 Distributed and Collaborative Simulations as a Foundation for Weather-Ready Nation Success Dale Morris, Univ of Oklahoma/CIMMS/WDTB, Norman, OK |
| 3:30pm | Afternoon Break; exhibits close at 4:00pm |
| 4:00pm | Town Hall Meeting sponsored by Midland Radio: Decision Maker’s Perspective – Assessing Weather Impacts. See full details at: http://nwa2012.com/town-hall. |
Wednesday, 10 October 2012
| 7:00am | Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4pm) |
| 8:00am | Weather Briefing: Ballroom AB |
| 8:15am | General Session: Ballroom AB |
| 12:00pm | NWA Annual Awards Luncheon: Ballroom CD |
| 3:15pm | Poster Session P2: Grand Terrace East |
| 4:30pm | Social Media Boot Camp: Ballroom AB |
General Session: Ballroom AB
| 8:15am | Keynote Speaker E11.0 Meteorology in the Private Sector: Energy, Agriculture and Water Resources Jon Davis, Chief Meteorologist, Chesapeake Energy, Chicago, IL |
Session E11: Remote Sensing-Radar
Co-Chairs: Marcia Cronce, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
Chris Franks, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN
| 8:45am | E11.1 Enhancing Weather Training Through Continual Learning Solutions Chris Spannagle, CIMMS/WDTB Norman, OK Clark Payne |
| 9:00am | E11.2 Dual Polarization Radar Tornadic Vortex Signature Best Practices Paul Schlatter, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 9:15am | E11.3 Dual-Polarization Radar and Impact-Based Warnings: An Operational Perspective Examining the 14 April and 19 May 2012 Tornado Outbreaks Kenneth R. Cook, NOAA/NWS, Wichita, KS |
| 9:30am | Morning Break |
Session E12: Weather Review of 2012
Chair: Lee Cronce, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 10:00am | E12.1 A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2012 Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK |
Session E13: Severe Storms-Tornadoes-Lightning
Co-Chairs: Rusty Kapela, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
Lee Cronce, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 10:30am | E13.1 NWS Charleston, WV Pilot Project: Combining New Science and Forecasting Techniques in an Operational Environment Chris Leonardi, NOAA/NWS, Charleston WV Julia Ruthford, Jonathan Wolfe, and Jeffrey Hovis |
| 10:45am | E13.2 Using UW-Cloud Top Cooling Rates in Convective Storm Warning Experiments Justin Sieglaff, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Lee Cronce and Wayne Feltz |
| 11:00am | E13.3 Evaluation of the GOES-R Proving Ground Convective Initiation Products in the Plains: Evaluation through Case Studies Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWS, Omaha, NE Mark Anderson, Jason Apke, Casey Griffin, and Adam Taylor |
| 11:15am | E13.4 Analysis of Lightning Mapping Array Data during Severe Weather in the Mid-Atlantic Dan Proch, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield Virginia |
| 11:30am | E13.5 Lightning Jump Algorithm and Relation to Thunderstorm Cell Tracking, GLM Proxy and other Meteorological Measurements Christopher J. Schultz, Dept. of Atmospheric Science, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL Lawrence D. Carey, Daniel J. Cecil, and Monte Bateman |
| 11:45am | E13.6 National Lightning Safety Toolkit Updates Timothy W. Troutman, NOAA/NWS Huntsville, Alabama Charles Woodrum, Stephen Wilkinson, and Donna Franklin |
| 12:00pm | Awards Luncheon: Ballroom CD |
Session E14: Weather Analysis and Forecasting-NWP
Co-Chairs: Trisha Palmer, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
Alan Gerard, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS
| 2:00pm | E14.1 Near-Storm Scale Numerical Models for local WFO Operations A Unique Strategy for Frequent Assessments of the Evolving Convective Threat Peter F. Blottman, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne FL Matthew R. Volkmer, David W. Sharp, Amanda R. Bowen and Jonathan C. Guseman |
| 2:15pm | E14.2 Linear Optimization as a Solution to Improve the Sky Cover Guess, Forecast Jordan Gerth, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI |
| 2:30pm | E14.3 Sensitivity of Model Physics and Grid Resolution on Forecasts of Severe Convection in Convection Allowing Models Chris Franks, NOAA/National Weather Service, Chanhassen, MN Tom Hultquist |
| 2:45pm | Withdrawn E14.4 Examining Verification of Precipitation Forecasts Philip Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD |
Session P2: Poster Session
Chair: Justin Sieglaff, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 3:00pm | Poster Introductions: Ballroom AB |
| 3:15pm | Poster Session: Grand Terrace East |
| P2.1 | Effects of Wildfire Smoke on Air Quality in the Great Lakes Region Frank Dempsey, Ontario Ministry of Environment, Etobicoke, ON |
| P2.2 | CIMSS SATellite CONsensus Algorithm for Estimating the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Chris Velden and Jeff Hawkins |
| P2.3 | Using Historical Events to Evaluate a Flash Flood Potential Index and to Define Flood Threat Areas Amanda Martin, NOAA/NWS, Albuquerque, NM Deirdre Kann |
| P2.4 | Examining Trends in Satellite-Detected Overshooting Tops as a Potential Predictor of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Sarah A. Monette, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Christopher S. Velden |
| P2.5 | The UW-CIMSS Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Timothy Olander, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Christopher Velden |
| P2.7 | Providing Satellite Product Support for the Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) Field Program John Sears, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Chris Velden |
| P2.8 | Use of the SWAN model for wave height forecasting at the NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office Caroline Suffern, NOAA/NWS, Sterling, VA Brandon P. Peloquin, Steven A. Listemaa, and Steven M. Zubrick |
| P2.9 | Iowa Flood Center Tools for Forecasting and Communicating Flood Risk Nathan Young, Iowa Flood Center/IIHR-Hdyroscience & Engineering/University of Iowa/Iowa City, Iowa Witold Krajewski, and Larry Weber |
| P2.10 | Meteorological and Other Factors in Turbulence Injuries on Commercial Airlines Flights Brian J. Billings, Saint Cloud State University, Saint Cloud, MN |
| P2.11 | Analysis of Two Turbulence Forecast Indices Using Pattern Recognition and Eddy Dissipation Rate Rick Di Maio, Instructor Lewis University, Romeoville, IL |
| P2.12 | Moved to F18.5 Meteorological Decision Support Services at the FAA - Air Traffic Control System Command Center (ATCSCC) Michael Eckert, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center |
| P2.13 | The 4-Element Low Level Turbulence Algorithm at the Air Force Weather Agency James McCormick, UCAR, Offutt AFB, NE |
| P2.14 | Aviation Meteorology Professional Development Activities at COMET® Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, UCAR/COMET Boulder, CO Gregory Byrd and Patrick Parrish |
| P2.15 | WSR-88D Dual Polarimetric Tornadic Debris Signatures Associated with Four Weak Tornadoes in Georgia Laura E. Belanger, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA Steven E. Nelson |
| P2.16 | Enhancing Broadcaster's Severe Weather Presentations Using Dual-Polarization Radar Products Ray Hawthorne, Weather Central, LP, Madison, WI |
| P2.17 | Radar Observations of the 9 March 2011 U.S. Central Gulf Coast Distinctive Bow Echo and Attendant Tornado-Producing Mesovortices Jeffrey Medlin, NOAA/NWS Mobile, AL |
| P2.18 | Leap Day 2012 Tornadoes Across Southwestern Missouri Andy Boxell, NOAA/NWS Springfield, MO John P. Gagan |
| P2.19 | A Cloud-to-Ground (CG) Lightning Climatology for the Lake Superior Region Michael Dutter, NOAA/NWS Marquette, MI Steven Fleegel |
| P2.20 | The Gales of September? Analysis and Customer Impacts of the 03-04 September 2010 High-Wind Event across Lake Superior Michael Dutter, NOAA/NWS Marquette, MI |
| P2.21 | The Catastrophic St. Louis Metropolitan Hail Storms of April 28, 2012 Fred H. Glass, NOAA/National Weather Service St. Louis, MO |
| P2.22 | Pedagogical Challenges of Organizing a Storm Chasing Field-Trip Course Mario Majcen, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA |
| P2.23 | Withdrawn The Indianapolis Severe Wind Event of 13 August 2011 Daniel McCarthy, NWS Indianapolis, IN Sonia Mark-Flechtner |
| P2.24 | Verification of a Small, Large and Giant Hail Discrimination Algorithm for Dual-Polarized WSR-88D Radars Using High Resolution Reports Kiel Ortega, OU/CIMMS NOAA/OAR/NSSL Norman, OK Matthew Kumjian, Alexander Ryzhkov, and John Krause |
| P2.25 | An Update from the Severe Hazards Analysis and Verification Experiment (SHAVE) Kiel Ortega, OU/CIMMS NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| P2.26 | The Multi-Year Reanalysis of Remotely Sensed Storms (MYRORSS) Project Kiel Ortega, OU/CIMMS NOAA/OAR/NSSL Norman, OK Travis Smith, Jian Zhang, Carrie Langston, and Youcun Qi |
| P2.27 | The 2 March 2012 Tornado Outbreak: Where Tornadoes Did Not Form Across the Ohio Valley Michael Paddock, NOAA/NWS Louisville, KY Angela Lese |
| P2.28 | The 22 June 2011 Churchill Downs Tornado: A Science and Impact-Based Study Michael Paddock, NOAA/NWS Louisville, KY Angela Lese |
| P2.29 | Lightning has Fallen to Third Leading Source of Storm Deaths in the U.S. Behind Tornadoes William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL |
| P2.30 | Lightning Safety Applications Of NOAA's New Lightning Fatality Database William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL John Jensenius |
| P2.31 | NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group Weather Support in the Post Space Shuttle Era Frank C. Brody, NOAA/NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX |
| P2.32 | Climate Research Supporting Local Decision Support Services Christopher C. Buonanno, NOAA/NWS WFO Little Rock, AR John A. Lewis III, Brian D. Smith |
| P2.33 | An Examination of Decision Support Services Provided by the NWS during Major Winter Storms Dennis VanCleve, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI Marcia Cronce and Jamie Enderlen |
| P2.34 | The Collaborative Transition of Unique Satellite Observations into the Operational Forecasting Environment and the Impact on Planning and Decision Support Deirdre Kann, NOAA/NWS, Albuquerque, NM Brian Guyer |
| P2.35 | The Growing Role of NOAA within DHS Operations and Planning Peter B. Roohr, NOAA/NWS/OST/PPD/SPB (Silver Spring MD) and DHS National Operations Center NOAA Desk (Washington DC) Regis Walter, LT Matthew Glazewski, and LT Stephen Barry |
| P2.36 | NWS Evaluation of Earth Networks Incorporated Total Lightning Detection Network Peter B. Roohr, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring MD Jonathan Blaes and Alan Cope |
| P2.37 | Withdrawn Mobile Weather Technology for Decision Support David Sauter, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM Yasmina Raby |
| P2.38 | MetEd Resources for Weather and Natural Hazard Decision Support Amy Stevermer, UCAR/The COMET Program, Boulder, CO Victoria Johnson, Elizabeth Page, and Wendy Schreiber-Abshire |
| P2.39 | An Operational Strategy for Addressing the Dangers Posed by Peninsular Florida Landspouts Matthew Volkmer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL Peter Blottman and Jonathan Guseman |
| P2.40 | Central Region Impact Based Warnings Demonstration: a Weather-Ready Nation Initiative Michael J. Hudson, NOAA/National Weather Service Kansas City, MO Peter A. Browning, Kenneth Harding, Kenneth J. Galluppi, and Jessica L. Losego |
| P2.41 | A Local Initiative to Improve Warning Content Patrick J. Spoden, NOAA/NWS Paducah, KY Zachery A. Heern |
| P2.43 | Improving NWA Communications Janice Bunting, NWA Membership & Marketing Committee, Norman, OK Frank Brody, Diane Cooper, Brad Herold, and Winnie Crawford |
| P2.44 | Putting the Science to Work: A Collaborative Course for Taking Meteorology Beyond the Classroom and Into the World Christina C. Crowe, National Weather Service, Huntsville, AL Ryan Wade and Sundar Christopher |
| P2.45 | Above The Storm: A Broader Perspective in the Aftermath of Hurricane Irene Susan Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA Vankita Brown, John Kelley, and Wes Browning |
| P2.46 | Analysis of Tornado Debris During the April 27, 2011 Super Outbreak as Determined Using Social Media Data John A. Knox, University of Georgia, Athens, GA J.A. Rackley, A.W. Black, V.A. Gensini, M. Butler, M. Phan, C. Dunn, T. Gallo, M.R. Hunter, L. Lindsey, R. Scroggs, and S. Brustad |
| P2.47 | Engaging Storm Spotters and College Students in Regional Responses to Climate Change Margaret Mooney, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Steve Ackerman, Rusty Kapela, and Dave Parker |
| P2.48 | Severe Weather and Ham Radio Skywarn Activation and NWS Chat Room Vincent Papol, NOAA/NWS, Pendleton, Oregon |
| P2.50 | Withdrawn Communities Need Severe Weather Event Risk Data Stephen Szoke, Portland Cement Association, Skokie, IL Stephen S. Szoke |
| P2.51 | Adjusting a Spotter Program to the Modern Times Christine Wielgos, NOAA/NWS, Paduch, KY Rick Shanklin and Patrick Spoden |
| P2.52 | Foundation Principles for Tornado Safety Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/NWS, Austin/San Antonio, TX |
| P2.53 | Using NOAA Google Applications in High-Impact Event Support Jennifer Zeltwanger, NOAA/NWS Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO |
| P2.54 | Incorporating NASA SPoRT and Other Alternative Data Sets into an Operational AWIPS II Environment Brian C. Carcione, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL Jason Burks, Kristopher D. White, Matthew Smith, and Kevin McGrath |
| P2.55 | Persistent Daytime Superadiabatic Surface Layers Observed by a Microwave Temperature Profiler Alan C. Czarnetzki, University of Northern Iowa, Cedar Falls, Iowa |
| P2.56 | AWIPS II Deployment: The AWIPS of the Future Shevy Greene, Raytheon, Silver Spring, MD Kevin Johnson and Brad Scalio |
| P2.58 | The Development of a Next Generation Graphical Forecast at NWS Key West Christopher Rothwell, NOAA/NWS, Key West, FL William Ulrich, Fred Johnson, and Andrew Devanas |
| P2.59 | Weather Central, LP Wind Power Yield Forecast System Justin Traiteur, Weather Central LP - Madison, WI Rodney Runnheim, Sarah Reinke, Brett Wilt, and Andy Rice |
| P2.60 | Overview of the Antarctic Automatic Weather Station Network Lee Welhouse, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center, Space Science Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Matthew Lazzara, Jonathan Thom, George Weidner, and Linda Keller |
| P2.61 | Withdrawn Evolution of Data-Driven Weather Intelligence Ben Zimmerman, Weather Central, LP, Madison, WI Andy Rice and Steve Smedberg |
| P2.62 | Moved to P1.66 An Update on CIRA's GOES-R Proving Ground Activities Ed Szoke, CIRA/NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO Renate Brummer, Hiro Gosden, Steve Miller, and Mark DeMaria |
| P2.63 | MOS Probabilistic Winter Weather Guidance: Prototype Products for Weather-Ready Nation" Pilot Initiative" Phillip E. Shafer, NOAA/NWS/MDL, Silver Spring, MD Geoffrey Wagner and Kenneth Widelski |
| P2.64 | MOS Precipitation Forecasts Formatted for the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Tabitha L. Huntemann, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD Phillip E. Shafer, Kathryn K. Gilbert, and Matthew R. Peroutka |
| P2.65 | Preliminary Results of AutoNowCaster over a Large Domain Mamoudou Ba, NOAA/NWS/MDL, Silver Spring, MD Lingayan Xin, John Crockett, Kenneth Sperow, and Rita Roberts |
| P2.66 | Weather-Ready Nation: A Vital Conversation - Themes and Actions from the December 2011 Meeting in Norman, Oklahoma John Ferree, NOAA/NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services, Norman, OK |
| P2.67 | Building and Enhancing Decision Support Services across the National Weather Service Western Region Jeffery R. Zimmerman, NOAA/NWS Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT Todd Morris, Roger Lamoni. Leslie Wanek, and Matt Solum |
| P2.68 | CoCoRaHS - Volunteer Precipitation Observations: Providing Valuable Information in Heavy Rainfall Events Henry Reges, CoCoRaHS/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Nolan Doesken, Zach Swalbe, Julian Turner, and Noah Newman |
| P2.69 | Withdrawn 4D Weather Visualization Workbench (WxWb) Amanda O'Connor, Exelis Visual Information Solutions, Boulder, CO Kellie McNaron-Brown, Adam Edson, and Stephanie Dockstader |
| P2.70 | Meet EDD (Enhanced Data Display) Jonathan Wolfe, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, WV Julia Ruthford and Chris Leonardi |
Session E15: Social Media Boot Camp
| 4:30pm | E15.1 Interactive Social Media Boot Camp presented by the NWA Social Media Committee Tiffany Sunday, NWA Social Media Committee, Emerging Tech Strategist, Dallas, TX Tim Brice, Senior Meteorologist, NOAA/National Weather Service, El Paso, TX |
Thursday, 11 October 2012
| 7:00am | Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 3pm) |
| 8:00am | Weather Briefing: Ballroom A |
| 8:15am | General Session: Ballroom A |
General Session: Ballroom A
Session F16: AWIPS Migration
Chair: Jordan Gerth, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 8:15am | Keynote Speaker F16.0 AWIPS II – The AWIPS of the Future Shevy Greene, AWIPS II Deployment Manager, Raytheon Misson Operation Solutions, Silver Spring, MD |
| 8:45am | Withdrawn F16.1 Building the Framework for Severe Weather Warning Hazard Services in AWIPS2 Greg Stumpf, CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/MDL, Norman, OK Bryon Lawrence and Tracy Hansen |
| 9:00am | F16.2 WES-2 and WES-2 Bridge: Training Capabilities in AWIPS-2 Dale Morris, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS/WDTB, Norman, OK Iqbal Virani, Michael Magsig, and Nazir A. Mohamed Said |
| 9:15am | AWIPS2 Panel Discussion |
| 10:00am | Morning Break |
Session F17: Remote Sensing-Satellite
Co-Chairs: Wendy Schreiber-Abshire, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
Timothy Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI
| 10:30am | F17.1 Improving Forecasts of Clouds and Convection using Simulated Satellite Imagery Daniel T. Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/RAMMB, Fort Collins, CO Jason Otkin, Justin Sieglaff, Dan Bikos, and Louie Grasso |
| 10:45am | F17.2 Improving Very-Short-Range Forecasts of the Pre-Convective Environment Using Operational Geostationary Satellite Observations Ralph A. Petersen, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Robert Aune, William Line, and Richard Dworak |
| 11:00am | F17.3 A Quantitative Fog/Low Stratus Detection Algorithm for GOES-R Corey Calvert, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Michael Pavolonis |
| 11:15am | F17.4 The 2012 GOES-R Product Demonstrations for Marine and Precipitation Applications Michael J. Folmer, University of Maryland-College Park/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD Steve Goodman, Andrew Orrison, Joseph Sienkiewicz, and David Novak |
| 11:30am | F17.5 Methods for Detecting Turbulence within Satellite Mountain Wave Signatures Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Calgary, AB Wayne Feltz |
| 11:45am | F17.6 Leveraging the GOES-R Proving Ground Process and Forecaster Feedback to Improve GOES-R products and Training Material Scott Lindstrom, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI A. Scott Bachmeier, Wayne F. Feltz, Justin M. Sieglaff, and Mike Pavolonis |
| 12:00pm | Lunch Break |
Session 18.1 Decision Support Services
Co-Chairs: Mark Fox, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX
Kaba Bah, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
| 1:30pm | F18.1 Probabilistic Forecasting of Severe Convection John L. Cintineo, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI Michael J. Pavolonis and Justin M. Sieglaff |
| 1:45pm | F18.2 An Examination of Decision Support Services Provided by the NWS during Major Winter Storms Marcia Cronce, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI Dennis VanCleve and Jamie Enderlen |
| 2:00pm | F18.3 A Quantitative and Qualitative Examination of Tornado Related Statistics Across the United States Alan Gerard, NOAA/NWS Jackson, MS |
| 2:15pm | F18.4 Communication Revolution: Using Twitter to Exchange Situational Awareness Information during Two Significant Weather Events Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT Monica Traphagan |
| 2:30pm | F18.5 Meteorological Decision Support Services at the FAA - Air Traffic Control System Command Center (ATCSCC) Michael Eckert, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO |
| 2:45pm | Afternoon Break |
Session F19: Warning Operations
Co-Chairs: Stephen Brueske, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
| 3:15pm | F19.1 Polygonology: A Realistic Look at the National Weather Service Polygon Warning System Kevin B. Laws, NOAA/NWS, Birmingham, AL |
| 3:30pm | F19.2 Evolving to Impact Decision Support Services - An Overview of Deployment Boot Camp for Emergency Response Jennifer Zeltwanger, NOAA/NWS Central Region Headquarters - Kansas City, MO Kelsey Angle |
| 3:45pm | Withdrawn F19.3 Warning Frequency Variations among National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices Kevin Barrett, Texas State University, Department of Geography, San Marcos, Texas Richard Dixon |
| 4:00pm | F19.4 A Prototype Emergency Response Meteorologist Taskbook Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX Rick Davis |
| 4:15pm | F19.5 The 2012 Experimental Warning Progarm Spring Experiment at NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Testbed Darrel Kingfield, OU/CIMMS & NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK Aaron Anderson, David Andra, Kristin Calhoun, and Gabriel Garfield |
| 4:30pm | F19.6 Severe Weather Simulations: Immersion Training with Partners Mark A. Fox, NOAA/NWS, Dallas/Fort Worth. TX Melissa S. Huffman |
| 4:45pm | F19.7 Implementation of Enhanced Short Term and Aviation Grids at the NWS Atlanta Weather Forecast Office Trisha D. Palmer, NOAA/NWS, Atlanta/Peachtree City, GA Patricia A. Atwell, Steven E. Nelson, Jason T. Deese, Brian D. Lynn, Matthew Sena, Lans P. Rothfusz, Charles A. West, and Randy Skov |
| 5:00pm | Closing Remarks; 37th NWA Annual Meeting adjourns |