2013 Agenda

Program Agenda
(Revised as of 11 October 2013)
National Weather Association
38th Annual Meeting
North Charleston Convention Center, North Charleston, SC
October 12-17, 2013
Theme: High Impact Weather Communications: Finding Calm in the Eye of the Storm

See the main meeting page http://www.nwas.org/meetings/nwa2013/ for information on the meeting hotel, exhibits, sponsorships, attendee registration requirements, social media connections and more.

This agenda is being updated with available presentation slides and posters.

Click on the blue title of the presentation/poster to view the abstract. Some abstracts are not available.

A link powerpoint is provided for each presentation that is available on-line. The files are compressed, so you will need a program, such as WinZip or Stuffit, to uncompress them. Some of the presentations are large and may take a while to download. Click on the PDF icon powerpoint to view the extended abstract.

The previous full agenda is filed for reference at http://www.nwas.org/meetings/nwa2013/agendafull/.


Saturday, October 12

10:00am Exhibit Room Setup: Ballroom B
11:00am NWA Eleventh Annual Scholarship Golf Outing, Legend Oaks Golf Course, Summerville, SC.
Sponsored by Baron Services
Contact Betsy Kling, betsykling@wkyc.com for information or to sign-up.12 PM BBQ lunch
1 PM Shotgun Start
1:00pm Registration and Information Desk Opens: Closes at 7pm

Sunday, October 13

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens: Closes at 6pm
8:30am Broadcast Meteorology Workshop: Ballroom A
9:00am Exhibits Open (until 6 PM): Ballroom B
12:00pm Sixth Annual Student Session: Ballroom B changing to C at 1:45

Broadcast Meteorology Workshop
Ballroom A
Sponsored by Baron Services

8:30am B1.0 Welcoming Remarks
Bruce Thomas, NWA President, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO
8:35am B1.1 Opening Remarks
Miles Muzio NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair and KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA and Mike Goldberg, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop Chair and WTVR-TV, Richmond, VA
8:45am B1.2 Welcome to Charleston
Chad Watson, WCSC-TV, Charleston, SC
9:00am B1.3 Hurricane Hugo...24 Year Ago and Counting...
Bill Walsh, WCSC-TV Charleston, SC and Rob Fowler, WCBD-TV Charleston, SC
9:15am B1.4 Engaging the Viewer: LIVE Apple TV in a Weather Broadcast
Mike Favetta, News 12 The Bronx and News 12 Brooklyn, NY
9:30am B1.5 The State of the TV Business
Panel Discussion led by Bill Walsh, WCSC-TV Charleston, SC
10:00am Coffee Break and Exhibits Open in Ballroom B
10:30am powerpoint    B2.0 Gas Line Explosion and Dual Pol Radar - How Dual Polarity Products Can Detect Smoke Threats to Public Safety
Spencer Adkins, WOWK-TV, Charleston, WV
10:45am B2.1 The Waldo Canyon and Black Forest Fires: Communication Successes and Challenges
Matt Meister, KRDO-TV, Colorado Springs, CO
11:00am powerpoint    B2.2 Observations on Communication Challenges and a Mass Exodus during the May 2013 Central Oklahoma Tornadoes
Janice Bunting, NWA Councilor, Norman, OK
11:15am powerpoint    B2.3 Chased! The El Reno, Oklahoma Tornado
Mike Bettes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
11:45am B2.4 A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2013
Greg Carbin, NWA Councilor and Professional Development Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
12:15pm Lunch on your own. Exhibits open in Ballroom B.
1:30pm powerpoint    B3.0 Hurricane Workshop
Bryan Norcross, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
2:30pm B3.1 Low Level Flight Inside Category 5 Hurricane Isabel with the Hurricane Hunters
Jim Van Fleet, WTSP-TV, Tampa, FL
2:45pm B3.2 "and the Trees Come Tumblin' Down"
John Bernier, WRIC-TV, Richmond, VA
3:00pm Coffee Break and Exhibits Open in Ballroom B
3:45pm B4.2 Social Media Workshop
Kevin Wagner, NWA Social Media Committee and Member, International Association of Emergency Managers, Brad Panovich, NWA Social Media Committee and WCNC-TV, Charlotte, NC and David Fisher, NWA Social Media Committee and Meteorological Analyst, CyberData Technologies
4:45pm powerpoint    B4.3 A Digital Seal for Non-Traditional Weathercasting
Miles Muzio, KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair
5:15pm Announcements/Dinner on your own
7:00pm Annual DVD Swap
Miles Muzio, KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair, and Chris Dunn, KPHO-TV, Phoenix, AZ and NWA Broadcast Seal of Approval Committee Chair

Student Session
Ballroom B

12:00pm Welcoming Remarks
Bruce Thomas, NWA President, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO
Frank Alsheimer, 2013 Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair, Charleston, SC

Session U1: Careers

Session Co-Chairs:
Dr. Chad Gravelle: CIMSS/SSEC University of Wisc.-Madison / NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Dr. B. Lee Lindner: College of Charleston, Charleston, SC

12:15pm powerpoint    Careers in Academia
Lee Lindner, College of Charleston, Charleston, SC
12:30pm powerpoint    Careers in Broadcast Meteorology
Dave Williams, Chief Meteorologist, WCIV-TV, Mt. Pleasant, SC
12:50pm powerpoint    Career Opportunities as a Consultant and in the National Weather Service
Steve Harned, Executive Director of the NWA and NWA Past President (’92)
1:10pm powerpoint    Careers in Private Enterprise
Ken Carey, NWA Councilor, Earth Resources Technology, Inc., Laurel, MD
1:30pm Coffee Break and Exhibits Open in Ballroom B

Moved to Ballroom C

1:45pm Student Social Media Workshop
Kevin Wagner, NWA Social Media Committee, Member-International Association of Emergency Managers
Jonathan Belles, Member – North Florida AMS/NWA Chapter, Florida State University
David Fischer, NWA Social Media Committee, Meteorological Analyst, CyberData technologies
2:45pm Coffee Break and Exhibits Open in Ballroom B
3:00pm Speed Mentoring Session
Chad Gravelle, Speed mentoring Tiger Team
Ken Carey, Moderator
4:30pm Dinner on your own (student poster setup in Ballroom B)

Session U2: Undergraduate Student Presentations
Ballroom C

Session Co-Chairs:
Ron Morales: NOAA/NWS Charleston, SC Dr. B. Lee Lindner: College of Charleston, Charleston, SC

6:00pm powerpoint    Tested with Fire: Successes and Challenges of a Student-Run Forecasting Operation
Devin Boyer, Penn State University, University Park, PA
6:15pm powerpoint    Seasonal and Annual Validation of Satellite Precipitation Products
Meredith Nichols, Penn State University, University Park, PA
Scott D. Rudolsky and Ralph R. Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD
J. J. Wang, CICS-MD/ESSIC, College Park, MD
6:30pm powerpoint    An Updated Look at Tropical Cyclone Numbers From A Global Perspective
Matt Bolton, Pasco Hernando Community College, Port Richey, FL
H. Michael Mogil, How The Weatherworks, Naples, FL
6:45pm powerpoint    Investigation of radar-inferred rain accumulation variability
Joerael C. Harris, Katelyn O’Dell, Joshua B. Teves, and Michael L. Larsen
College of Charleston, Charleston, SC
7:00pm Student Poster Session Ballroom B
8:30pm Student DVD Critique Ballroom C
Mike Goldberg, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop Chair and WTVR-TV, Richmond, VA

Student Poster Session
Ballroom B

P0.1 GIS Radar Assessment of Vulnerability and Impacts: Timing, Infrastructure, and Convective Severity
Amy Wuestenberg, Richard Stockton College of New Jersey, Galloway, NJ
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past President ’04), Kean University
P0.2 Neighboring Upper Level Jet Streaks, Their Proximity, and the Synergistic Coupling of Divergent Regions
Joshua Kastman and Dr. Patrick Market (NWA Past President '11), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
P0.3 powerpoint    A CONUS-wide analysis of flash flooding: simulations, warnings, and observations
Robert Clark, University of Oklahoma-CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSL, Norman, OK;
JJ Gourley, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK;
Yang Hong and Zac Flamig, University of Oklahoma-CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
and Ed Clark, NOAA/NWS
P0.4 Composite Analysis of Heavy-Rain-Producing Elevated Thunderstorms in the Springfield, Missouri NWS County Warning Area
Laurel P. McCoy and Dr. Patrick Market (NWA Past President '11), University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, Missouri and Dr. Chad Gravelle, CIMSS/SSEC University of Wisconsin - Madison / NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
P0.5 Total Lightning Information in a 5-Year Thunderstorm Climatology
Benjamin S. Herzog, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK
Kristin M Calhoun, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma & NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
P0.6 powerpoint    Adjusted Tornado Probabilities
Holly M. Widen, James B. Elsner, Cameron Amrine, Rizalino Cruz, and Erik Fraza
Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
P0.7 Moved to P1.50
P0.8 A Calculated Risk: One Storm Chase Group's Experience with the El Reno and OKC Tornadoes
Jen Henderson, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA
P0.9 Mr. Tornado and His Scale: The Social Construction of an Imperfect Standard
Jen Henderson, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA
P0.10 Sandy 2012: The Perfect Surge
Christopher M. Zarzar and Robert Munroe, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
P0.11 Enhancing Flash Flood Warnings in Flood-Prone Areas of the Pittsburgh CWA
Jamie Melzer, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Alicia A. Smith, Rihaan Gangat, and Matthew R. Kramar, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA
P0.12 Gauge Correlations and Tidal Anomaly Indicators in the Chesapeake Bay and Tidal Potomac, Anacostia, and Patuxent Rivers
Julie Hayes, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN
Jason C. Elliott and Howard T. Silverman, NOAA/NWS Sterling, VA
P0.13 powerpoint    Analysis of winter probabilistic snowfall amount forecasts for use in decision support for users in the Mid-Atlantic Region
Chris Birchfield, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
Steven Zubrick and Kenneth Widelski, NOAA/NWS Sterling, VA
P0.14 Emergency Management and Social Media: A Case Study of Superstorm Sandy
Holly Lussenden and Christopher Zarzar, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
P0.15 Analysis of composite parameter skill in forecasting significant severe high shear, low CAPE convection
Keith D. Sherburn and Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
P0.16 A Look at Automated Watch, Warning, and Advisory Distribution on Twitter
Daniel B Goff, Department of Geography, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC
P0.17 Case Review July 11, 2006; Springfield MO County Warning Area: Elevated convection resulting in heavy rainfall and flash flooding due to upper and lower-level jet coupling
Joshua Kastman, Laurel McCoy, and Dr. Patrick Market (NWA Past President '11), Department of Soil, Environmental, and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO
P0.18 A Climatology of Tropical Cyclone Impacts across the NWS Newport/Morehead City County Warning Area
Zachary P. Sefcovic, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso IN
David A. Glenn, NOAA/NWS, Morehead City, NC
P0.19 Radar Climatology of Tornadic and Non-tornadic Vortices in High Shear, Low CAPE Environments in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast
Jason M. Davis and Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
P0.20 The Effects of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on Tornado Frequency in the United States
Laurel McCoy, Dr. Anthony Lupo, and Dr. Patrick Market (NWA Past President’11), Department of Soil, Environmental, and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO
P0.21 An Objective Validation Approach to GOES-R Based Convection Initiation Forecasting Algorithms
Jason Apke and Mark Anderson, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
Dan Nietfeld, NOAA/National Weather Service, Omaha, NE
P0.22 Common Meteorological Features of Mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley Synoptic High Wind Events
Brittany Kusniar, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
P0.23 Warm Season Heavy Precipitation Up- and Downwind of Lake Michigan
Sarah Trojniak and Charles Graves, St. Louis University, St. Louis, MO
P0.24 powerpoint    Development and Spatial Analysis of a Precipitation Organization Climatology for North Carolina
Christopher M. Zarzar, Thomas M. Rickenbach, Rosana and Nieto-Ferriera, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
Brian Nelson, Remote Sensing Applications Division, NOAA/National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, North Carolina
P0.25 Moved to P0.41
P0.26 Investigation of Vegetation Discontinuities and the Enhancement of Convection Related to the April 27 2011 Multiple EF4 and EF5 Tornado Scars
Barrett F. Gutter and Michael E. Brown, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS
P0.27 A Climatology of Precipitation Efficiency for the Central Appalachian Mountains Region
Nicholas Luchetti, James Morrow, and Dr. Drew Ellis
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA
P0.28 Mississippi State/ NWS Memphis Mobile Sounding Project
Matthew Reagan, Mike Brown, and Grady Dixon, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MI
P0.29 Withdrawn
P0.30 Withdrawn
P0.31 Withdrawn
P0.32 Moved to P0.42
P0.33 Assessing the Mortality Rate for Hypothermia Cases across Georgia from 1999-2008
Cynthia L. James, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
Trisha D. Palmer, NOAA/NWS Peachtree City, GA
P0.34 In harm's way: A study of pre and post evacuation responses during Hurricane Sandy
Bradrick McClam
P0.35 Investigating the Role of Two-Inch Soil Temperatures in Snowfall
Elizabeth Smith, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Rob Cox, NOAA/NWS Cheyenne, WY
P0.36 Usage of Color Scales on Weather Maps
Isaac Williams and Rachael Kroot, Lisa Stryjewski, Meaghan Thomas, Brittney Bryant, Matt Holiner, Dr. Kathy Sherman-Morris, and Bruce Smylie, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS
P0.37 Verification of the University of Washington's 12, 4, and 1-km WRF-gfs Mesoscale Models and Their Ability to Accurately Predict a Puget Sound Convergence Zone.
Bryan Burlingame, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI
P0.38 Withdrawn
P0.39 Withdrawn
P0.40 Blue Ridge Chapter of the AMS/NWA at Virginia Tech
James Morrow and Ashley Athey, Virginia Tech University, Blacksburg, VA.
P0.41 A Tornado Climatology by Synoptic and Mesoscale Parameter and Storm Type for the Northern Alabama/South Central Tennessee Region
Kevin Biernat, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI
Brian Carcione, NOAA/NWS Huntsville, AL
P0.42 Analysis of Wet and Dry Microburst Simulations and the Importance of the Elevated Dry Layer on Wet Microburst Formation and Strength
Kevin Biernat and Dr. Leigh Orf, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI

Monday, October 14

General Session
Ballroom A

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens: Closes at 4pm
9:00am Exhibits Open (until 6 PM): Ballroom B
6:00pm Icebreaker: Convention Center – Ballroom C
7:45am Welcoming Remarks
Steve Harned, NWA Executive Director and Past President ('92), Raleigh, NC
Frank Alsheimer, 2013 Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair, Charleston, SC

Session I: Tropical Weather/Sandy
Session Co-Chairs:
Ron Morales: 2013 NWA Local Program Committee, Charleston, SC
Michael Emlaw: 2013 NWA Local Program Committee, Charleston, SC

8:00am Keynote Address
Bill Read
Former Director of the NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center and NWA Past President (’03), League City, TX
8:45am powerpoint    Sandy 2012: The Perfect Surge
Christopher M. Zarzar and Robert Munroe, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
9:00am powerpoint    Latest developments on a hurricane surge visualization model to be used to assess public understanding of risks due to storm surge
Lee Lindner, Stephen Duke, and Janet Johnson, College of Charleston, Charleston, SC Frank Alsheimer (NWA 2013 Program Committee Chair) and Robert Bright, NOAA/NWS Charleston, SC
9:15am powerpoint    A New Method for Verifying Tropical Cyclone Forecast Wind Speed Probabilities
Derek Ortt, ImpactWeather, Houston, TX
9:30am Coffee Break; Exhibits and Student Posters Open in Ballroom B

Session II: Social Science I
Session Co-Chairs:
Janice Bunting, NWA Councilor, Norman, OK
Trisha Palmer, NWA Professional Development Committee, Atlanta, GA

10:00am powerpoint    Examining Tornado Risk Communication and the Public's Knowledge to Take Action in Huntsville, AL
Marita O'Brien and Elise V. Schultz, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL.
10:15am powerpoint    Flood Risk and Uncertainty: Assessing the Flood Forecast and Warning Tools of the National Weather Service
Burrell Montz, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
Rachel Hogan Carr, Nurture Nature Center, Easton, PA
10:30am powerpoint    The Social Implications of Social Media Use for NWS Operations
Susan Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Mark Fox, NOAA/National Weather Service, Fort Worth, TX
10:45am powerpoint    Social and Behavioral Influences on Weather-Driven Decisions of Emergency Managers
Burrell Montz, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
Ken Galluppi, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
Jessica Losego, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC
James Correia, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Rachel Riley, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
11:00am powerpoint    Utilizing Historical Weather Events for Education and Weather Preparedness
John Gordon, NWA Vice President and Membership and Marketing Committee Chair, NOAA/National Weather Service, Louisville, KY and
Alan E Gerard, NWA Past President ('07), NOAA/National Weather Service, Jackson, MS
Clifford Goff, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY
(Presented by John Scala, NWA Treasurer, NWA Past President (’08), WGAL-TV Meteorologist, Lancaster, PA)
11:15am Changes to NWA Operations and Introduction of the New Executive Director
Bruce Thomas, NWA President
11:30am Lunch on your own

Keynote Address

Session III: Tornadoes/Severe
Session Co-Chairs:
Dave Williams: Chief Meteorologist, WCIV-TV, Mt. Pleasant, SC
Christina Crowe: NWA Weather Analysis and Forecasting Committee Chair, Huntsville, AL

1:00pm Remembering Hurricane Hugo
Rob Fowler, Chief Meteorologist, WCBD-TV, Mt. Pleasant, SC
Bill Walsh, Chief Meteorologist, WCSC-TV
1:30pm powerpoint    Observations on Communication Challenges and a Mass Exodus during the May 2013 Central Oklahoma Tornadoes
Janice Bunting, NWA Councilor, Norman, OK
1:45pm powerpoint    Mr. Tornado and His Scale: The Social Construction of an Imperfect Standard
Jen Henderson, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA
2:00pm Adjusted Tornado Probabilities
Holly M. Widen, James B. Elsner, Cameron Amrine, Rizalino Cruz, and Erik Fraza Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
2:15pm A Statistical Model for Tornado Intensity
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
2:30pm Total Lightning Information in a 5-Year Thunderstorm Climatology
Benjamin S. Herzog, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK
Kristin M Calhoun, OU/CIMMS & NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
2:45pm powerpoint    Evaluating a Hail Size Discrimination Algorithm for dual-polarized WSR-88Ds using high-resolution reports and forecaster feedback
Kiel Ortega, Alexander Ryzhkov, Darrel Kingfield, Pengfei Zhang, and John Krause,
OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK Matthew Kumjian, NCAR Advanced Study Program, Boulder, CO
3:00pm Coffee Break; Exhibits open and Poster Session I Setup (for Tuesday) Ballroom B

Session IV: Special Societal Impacts Panel

3:30pm Moderator: Frank Alsheimer, 2013 Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair, Charleston, SC

Societal Impacts Panel
Susan Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Burrell Montz, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
John Scala: NWA Treasurer, NWA Past President (’08), WGAL-TV Meteorologist, Lancaster, PA
Amy Stevermer: UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
Kevin Wagner, NWA Social Media Committee, Member-International Association of Emergency Managers

5:00pm Session Ends
6:00pm Ice Breaker – Charleston Convention Center – Ballroom C
8:00pm Annual Broadcasters Dinner - Southend Brewery

Tuesday, October 15

General Session
Ballroom A

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens: Closes at 4pm
9:00am Exhibits Open (until 4 pm): Ballroom B
9:15am Poster Session I: Ballroom B
11:45am Women's Luncheon, Meeting Rooms 10 and 11
7:45am Weather Briefing and Announcements
8:00am Keynote Address - Weather Ready Nation
Ken Carey, NWA Councilor, Earth Resources Technology, Inc., Laurel, MD

Session V: Severe Weather
Session Co-Chairs:
Bruce Thomas, NWA President, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO
Bill Murray, NWA Councilor, President and CEO, The Weather Factory

8:30am Complex Supercell Mergers and Storm-Scale Interactions During Recent Significant Severe Weather Outbreaks
Ryan Wade, Todd A. Murphy, and Kevin Knupp, Severe Weather Institute - Radar & Lightning Laboratories, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
8:45am powerpoint    Environmental Characteristics Of Tornadic And Non-Tornadic QLCSs Over The Central United States
Sarah Grana, Brett Williams, and Neil I. Fox, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO
9:00am powerpoint    NCAA Football and Cloud to Ground Lightning: A Probability Analysis
Matthew Reagan, Mike Brown, Tory Farney, Rachael Kroot, Nathan Owen, Lance Watkins, Teri Watkins, and Bryce Williams, Mississippi State University, MS.
9:15am powerpoint    Implementation and Evaluation of a Real-Time Lightning Jump Algorithm for Operational Use
Kristin M Calhoun, D. M. Kingfield and K. L. Ortega, OU/CIMMS & NOAAOAR//NSSL, Norman, OK L.D. Carey, T. Chronis, C. J. Schultz, and E. Schultz, University of Alabama – Huntsville, Huntsville AL M.T. Filiaggi and G. J. Stumpf, NOAA/NWS/OST/MDL/DAB and OU/CIMMS, Norman, OK G. T. Stano, NASA/SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
9:30am Coffee Break; Exhibits and Poster Session 1 open in Ballroom B
9:30-10:45am Poster Session I Ballroom B
(see poster list below)

Session VI: Winter Weather/Sandy
Session Co-Chairs:
Troy Kimmel: NWA Councilor, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Texas, Austin, TX
Ken Carey, NWA Councilor, Earth Resources Technology, Inc., Laurel, MD

10:45am powerpoint    [PDF file]  Northwest Flow Snow Aspects of Sandy. Part I: A General Overview of NWFS in the Southern Appalachians
Steven Keighton, NOAA/National Weather Service, Blacksburg, VA
Laurence G. Lee, NOAA/National Weather Service, Greer, SC
11:00m powerpoint    [PDF file]  Northwest Flow Snow Aspects of Sandy. Part II: A unique synoptic setting for the production of northwest flow snow
Douglas Miller, University of North Carolina at Asheville, Asheville, NC
Steven Keighton, NOAA/National Weather Service, Blacksburg, VA
Steven M. Zubrick, NWA Past President (’10), NOAA/National Weather Service, Sterling, VA
11:15am powerpoint    [PDF file]  Northwest Flow Snow Aspects of Sandy. Part III: Moisture Anomalies and Trajectory Analysis
David Hotz, NOAA/National Weather Service, Morristown, TN
L. Baker Perry, Appalachian State University, Boone, NC
Steven Keighton, NOAA/National Weather Service, Blacksburg, VA
11:30am [PDF file]  Northwest Flow Snow Aspects of Sandy. Part IV: Radar and Satellite Observations
Patrick D. Moore and Laurence G. Lee, NOAA/National Weather Service, Greer, SC
Steven M. Zubrick, NWA Past President (’10), NOAA/National Weather Service, Sterling, VA
L. Baker Perry, Appalachian State University, Boone, NC
11:45am Lunch on your own; Women’s Luncheon - meeting rooms 10 and 11

Session VII: Weather Analysis/Radar/Lightning
Session Co-Chairs:
Bill Murray, NWA Councilor, President and CEO, The Weather Factory Jeffrey Tongue (NWA Education Committee Co-Chair), Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY

1:15pm powerpoint    Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): A Next-Generation Warning Concept
Lans Rothfusz, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Greg Stumpf, NOAA/NWS/OST/MDL/DAB and OU/CIMMS, Norman, OK and Travis M. Smith,
NOAA/OAR/NSSL/CIMMS, Norman, OK
1:30pm powerpoint    A Next-Generation Warning Concept of Threats-In-Motion (TIM): Highlighting the Benefits via New Verification Techniques
Greg Stumpf, NOAA/NWS/OST/MDL/DAB and OU/CIMMS, Norman, OK
Lans Rothfusz, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
1:45pm powerpoint    The Intense Arctic Cyclone of Early August 2012: A Dynamically Driven Cyclogenesis Event
Lance F. Bosart, Adam H. Turchioe and Eric M. Adamchick,
The University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
2:00pm powerpoint    A New Method for Calculating Total Vertical Motion in Isentropic Space
Dr. Patrick Market (NWA Past President ’11) and Michael Simpson, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO
2:15pm powerpoint    An Analysis of Environmental Differences between Tornadic and Non-Tornadic Quasi-Linear Convective Systems
Bradley Workman, University of Missouri – Columbia, Columbia, MO
2:30pm powerpoint    The June 4th radar mystery blob in Huntsville, Alabama. Was it aliens? That's classified.
Matthew Havin, Baron Services, Inc., Huntsville, AL
2:45pm powerpoint    Improving the Accuracy of Radar Derived Rainfall Amounts in Central Missouri
Quinn Pallardy, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO
3:00pm Observations and Analysis of Atmospheric Waves during the Historic April 27, 2011 Tornado Outbreak
Todd A. Murphy, Timothy A. Coleman, and Kevin Knupp, Severe Weather Institute and Radar & Lightning Laboratories (SWIRLL) / Dept. of Atmospheric Science / University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
3:15pm Coffee Break; Exhibits and Poster Session I Open in Ballroom B. Exhibits Close 4:00pm

Session VIII: Remote Sensing - Satellite
Session Co-Chairs:
Dr. Chad Gravelle: CIMSS/SSEC University of Wisc.-Madison / NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Cathy Zapotocny: NWA Councilor, Omaha, NE

3:45pm powerpoint    Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground Program
Mitch Goldberg, and Kathryn Shontz, NOAA/NESDIS JPSS, Lanham, MD
Bill Sjoberg contractor with Global Science & Technology, Inc. and NOAA/NESDIS JPSS, Lanham, MD
Ingrid Guch and Ralph Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD
4:00pm powerpoint    NOAA's Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground and Risk Reduction Program: Responding to Real-World Severe Weather Events!
Bill Sjoberg contractor with Global Science & Technology, Inc. and NOAA/NESDIS JPSS, Lanham, MD
Mitch Goldberg, NOAA/NESDIS JPSS, Lanham, MD
4:15pm The 2013 Satellite Proving Ground at the National Hurricane Center
Michael Folmer, UMD/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD
John L. Beven, and Michael Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL
Hugh Cobb , NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC/TAFB, Miami, FL
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR
4:30pm powerpoint    Environmental Analysis of GOES-R Convection Initiation Forecasting Algorithms
Jason Apke and Mark Anderson, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
Dan Nietfeld, NOAA/National Weather Service, Omaha, NE
4:45pm powerpoint    Sky Cover: Shining Light on a Gloomy Problem
Jordan Gerth, University of Wisconsin-Madison SSEC/CIMSS, Madison, WI
5:00pm The 2013 GOES-R Convective Product Demonstrations for Marine and Precipitation Applications
Michael J. Folmer, UMD/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD
Joseph Sienkiewicz, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/OPC, College Park, MD
Hugh Cobb, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL
David Novak and Andrew Orrison, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/WPC, College Park, MD
5:30pm Session Ends; Dinner on your own

Poster Session I
Ballroom B

(many of these from NOAA and other federal government employees may not be available)

P1.1 Changing the Channel on GFE-TV: Utilizing Consensus Model Techniques to Support NOAA/National Weather Service Weather-Ready Nation Goals
Paul Iniguez, NOAA/NWS, Hanford, CA
Jeffrey P Craven, NWA President Elect, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
William M Rasch, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA
David T Myrick, NOAA/NWS, Reno, NV
Marc J Singer, NOAA/NWS, Billings, MT
John J Brost, NOAA/NWS, Tucson, AZ
P1.2 An Examination of the CWASP Severe Weather Index Using the North American Regional Reanalysis Dataset
Marcus Hustedde and Alexander Elmore, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO
Jeffrey P Craven (NWA President Elect) and Jerry Wiedenfeld, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Chad Gravelle, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin - Madison, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Charles Graves, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO
P1.3 Automated detection of tornado debris signature paths
Travis M. Smith, Darrel Kingfield, and Kiel Ortega, OU / CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL Norman, OK
P1.4 Temporal Superiority of the St. Louis Terminal Doppler Weather Radar in Identifying Tornadic Mesovortices
Jim Sieveking, NOAA/NWS, St. Louis, MO
P1.5 Development of a site to investigate rainfall accumulation and drop size distribution variability on small spatio-temporal scales
Michael L. Larsen, Joerael C. Harris, Robert Lemasters, Katelyn O'Dell, and Joshua Teves, College of Charleston, Charleston, SC
P1.6 An Unusual Tornado during the 1 June 2012 Tornado Outbreak in the WFO Baltimore/Washington Forecast Area
Matthew R. Kramar, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA
P1.7 A Comparison of Ground Based Lightning Networks: Earth Networks Total Lightning, National Lightning Detection Network, and Lightning Mapping Arrays
Tiffany Meyer, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Matthew Elliott, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Jonathan Kurtz, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK
Kristin Calhoun, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
P1.8 Floods, Superstorms, Volcanoes, Tsunamis, and More: Using High Impact Events as Tools for Training
Amy Stevermer, Alan Bol, Bill Bua, Matt Kelsch, Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, Tsvetomir Ross-Lazarov, and Greg Byrd, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
P1.9 Hurricane Sandy: An Eastern United States Superstorm
Richard Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA
P1.10 Evaluation of Dual Polarization and Conventional Doppler Radar Products across the WFO Columbia SC County Warning Area during the 1 July 2012 Severe Hail Event.
Anthony W. Petrolito and Louvenia Morrison, NOAA/NWS, Columbia, SC
P1.11 A Climatology of Cold Air Damming and Tropical Cyclones in the Southeast U.S.
Barrett Smith, NOAA/NWS Raleigh, NC
José Garcia, North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University, Greensboro, NC
Jordan Dale, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
P1.12 Investigation of Extreme Lightning Days in North Carolina
Gail Hartfield and Jonathan Blaes, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Gary Lackmann, Michael Graves, and Lindsey Anderson, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
P1.13 Developing a Dataset of Wind Gust Factors to Improve Forecasts of Wind Gusts in Tropical Cyclones
Jonathan Blaes, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
David Glenn, NOAA/NWS, Morehead City, NC
Donald Hawkins, NOAA/NWS, Wilmington, NC
P1.14 Application of the TAOS/TARU tropical cyclone numerical weather prediction model platform to predict and analyze Hurricane Sandy.
Sean Miller, Kinetic Analysis Corporation, Silver Spring, MD
P1.15 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Verification of a historical-analog-based severe weather checklist for central New York and northeast Pennsylvania
Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr., NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY
P1.16 The Utility of Considering Dual-Polarization Radar Signatures in the Tornado Warning Process
Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr. and Christopher Gitro, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY
P1.17 Storm Prediction Center Risk Communication Strategies and Planned Enhancements
Bill Bunting, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
P1.18 powerpoint    Super Storm Sandy – Uncertainty in the Storm Tide Prediction
Jeffrey Tongue, NWA Education Committee Co-chair, Suffolk County Community College, Brentwood, NY
P1.19 powerpoint    Use of Total Lightning Data at Chattanooga, Tennessee Emergency Management for Public Safety and Decision Making
David Hotz and Anthony Cavallucci, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN
Geoffrey Stano, NASA SPoRT/ENSCO Inc., Huntsville, AL
Tony Reavley, Director of Emergency Service and Homeland Security, Hamilton County Government, Chattanooga, TN
P1.20 powerpoint    The Dramatic Improvements in the Short-Fuse Warning Program Associated with the Threats-In-Motion (TIM) Concept: A Multi-Office Collaborative Study
Pete Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Jacksonville FL
P1.21 powerpoint    The Influence of Gravity Waves and Boundaries on an Unexpected Tornado in East Tennessee
Sam Roberts, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN
P1.22 NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group Weather Support in the Post Space Shuttle Era
Frank Brody, NWA Councilor, NOAA/NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX
P1.23 Comparing the 29 June 2012 Derecho to other Appalachian-crossing Severe QLCSs
Steve Keighton, NOAA/NWS, Blacksburg, VA
P1.24 Flood Forecast Challenges in the Middle Atlantic Region During Hurricane Irene and Tropical Storm Lee
William J. Marosi, NOAA/NWS/MARFC, State College, PA
P1.25 Weather-Ready Nation Ambassadors Initiative
Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
P1.26 Analysis of the 30 January 2013 Adairsville, Georgia EF-3 Tornado
Keith Stellman and Steve Nelson, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
P1.27 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Utility of Objective Verification Metrics during the 2013 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment
Christopher Melick, Israel Jirak, James Correia, Jr., Andrew Dean, and Steven Weiss (NWA Past President '05), NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
P1.28 [PDF file]  An Updated Version of the V-R Shear Technique for Issuing Tornado Warnings Using 8-Bit High Resolution Radar Data
Brian Frugis and Tom Wasula, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY
P1.29 powerpoint    Identifying Key Features to Predict Significant Severe Weather Events in the Northeastern U.S.
Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY
P1.30 powerpoint    A Storm-Scale Analysis of the 29 May 2012 Null Tornado Watch across Eastern New York and Western New England
Thomas A. Wasula and Brian J. Frugis, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY
P1.31 The June 1, 2011 Hail Monster Event across Eastern New York and Western New England
Thomas A. Wasula and Brian J. Furgis, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY
P1.32 A High Resolution Lightning Map of the State of Colorado
Steve Hodanish, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO
Brandon Vogt, University of Colorado/Colorado Springs, Colorado Springs, CO
P1.33 Utility of North Alabama Lightning Mapping Array Data and Implementation Strategies in AWIPS II
Kristopher D. White, NOAA/NWS and NASA SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
Geoffrey T. Stano, NASA SPoRT/ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL
Brian Carcione, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL
P1.34 High Impact Decision Support Services Training For NWS Meteorologists
Rick Davis and Charlie Paxton, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL
P1.35 Flood Risk and Uncertainty: Assessing the Flood Forecast and Warning Tools of the National Weather Service
Burrell Montz, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
Rachel Hogan Carr, Nurture Nature Center, Easton, PA
P1.36 What Meteorologists Should Know About Disaster Relief
John T. Ferree, NWA Councilor, NOAA/NWS/OCWWS, Norman, OK
Janice Bunting, NWA Councilor, Norman, OK
P1.37 Moved to Session XVII at 5:00pm
P1.38 powerpoint    The NSSL Multiple-Radar / Multiple-Sensor (MRMS) Algorithm System: Status of Operational Implementation
Gregory J. Stumpf(1,2), Travis M. Smith(1,3), V. Lakshmanan(1,3), Kenneth Howard(3), Jian Zhang(3), Carrie Langston(1,3), Karen Cooper(1,4), James G. LaDue(5), Michael
P1.39 powerpoint    A High-shear/Low-CAPE QLCS Tornado Playbook: Addressing the Need to Improve Tornado Warnings
Patrick J. Spoden (NWA Specialized Operational Services Committee Chair), Daniel Spaeth, Christine
Wielgos, Mike York, Robin Smith, Gregory Meffert, and Ryan J. Presley, NOAA/NWS, Paducah, KY
P1.40 Quantitative Evaluation of AutoNowCaster over a Large Domain
Mamoudou Ba, Lingyan Xin, John Crockett, Kenneth Sperow, Tatiana Gonzalez, and Stephan Smith
NOAA/NWS Meteorological Development Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD
P1.41 Characteristics of non-tornadic and tornadic multi-radar rotation tracks
Kiel Ortega and Christopher Riedel, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
P1.42 Marine Forecasting Verification Challenges - Hazardous Weather Outside the RADAR Arc
Michelle Stewart and Stephanie Melton, ImpactWeather, Inc. Houston, TX
P1.43 Weather Factors Influencing the Behavior of the Waldo Canyon Fire
Julia Ruthford, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, WV
Lisa Kriederman, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO
P1.44 A Statistical Model for Tornado Intensity
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
P1.45 powerpoint    Communicating Better: Changes to Warn the Public Better post-derecho 2012
Dean D. Davison, Storm Surge LLC, Roanoke, VA
P1.46 The Weather-Ready Nation: Life From the Other Side
Kevin Wagner, Member-International Association of Emergency Managers
P1.47 Heeding Our Own Advice. Are WE Ready?
Kevin Wagner, Member-International Association of Emergency Managers
P1.48 Improving Convective Warning Strategies for the National Weather Service in Radar Characteristics of Severe Downburst Wind Events in Southeast Arizona During the North American Monsoon
John J. Brost, NOAA/NWS, Tucson, AZ
Megan E. Jares and Arelis Rivera, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
P1.49 Lots of Ways To Really LEARN About Weather
H. Michael Mogil, How The Weatherworks, Naples, FL
Dr. Ken Dewey, School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
Matt Bolton, Pasco Hernando Community College, Brooksville, FL
P1.50 Polarimetric Radar and Profiling Measurements of Convective Snowbands and Atmospheric Waves during PLOWS
Ryan A. Wade and Kevin R. Knupp, Severe Weather Institute - Radar & Lightning Laboratories, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
P1.51 Determining Skill in Maximum and Minimum Temperature Forecasts
Philip Schumacher, Kyle Weisser, and Jeffrey Chapman, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD
P1.52 Examining Verification of Precipitation Forecasts
Philip Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD
P1.53 Societal Impacts, Driver Awareness, and Behavior Modification: Driver Surveys and Societal Response to Two Significant Winter Storms in Northern Utah
Randy Graham1, Carol Werner2, Jeff Williams3, Kevin Barjenbruch1, Glen Blackwelder3, Glen Merrill1, Justin Connelly4, Scott Jensen4
1National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT
2The University of Utah. Salt Lake City, UT
3Utah Department of Transportation, Traffic Operations Center, Salt Lake City, UT
4NorthWest Weathernet, Salt Lake City, UT

Wednesday, October 16

General Session
Ballroom A

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens; Closes at 4pm
11:45am Awards Luncheon: Ballroom C
2:45pm Poster Sessions: Ballroom B
7:45am Weather Briefing and Announcements
8:00am Keynote Address
Ed Szoke, CIRA & NOAA/ESRL/GSD

Session IX: Multifarious/Radar
Session Co-Chairs:
Michael Lowry: The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
Trisha Palmer, NWA Professional Development Committee, Atlanta, GA

8:30am powerpoint    The Weather Enterprise System: A New Look at Responsibilities of the Partners in Managing Severe Weather Response Health
Laura Myers, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL
Susan Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Jennifer Henderson, Virginia Tech University, Blacksburg, VA
Vankita Brown, NOAA/National Weather Service
8:45am powerpoint    SECOORA’s Regional Coastal Ocean Observing System: Providing critical marine weather data and information products for weather forecasters and the marine community
Debra Hernandez and Vembu Subramanian, Southeast Coastal and Ocean Observing Regional Association
Jennifer Dorton, Univeristy of North Carolina at Wilmington, Wilmington, NC
Dwayne Porter, Jeremy Cothran, and Dam Ramage, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC
Charlton Galverino, Second Creek Consulting LLC, Columbia, SC
9:00am powerpoint    DREAMS - Doppler Radar for Education And Mesoscale Studies
Jeffrey Tongue (NWA Education Committee Co-Chair), Brian Colle, and Jon Mak, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY,
Lisa Bastiaans, Nassau Community College, Garden City, NY
9:15am powerpoint    Performance of WSR-88D Severe Storm Algorithms in Detecting Tornadoes Using the Operational Two-Dimensional Velocity Dealiasing Algorithm
Darrel M Kingfield, OU/CIMMS & NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
James G Ladue, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK
9:30am powerpoint    The Multiple-Radar / Multiple-Sensor (MRMS) Severe Weather Algorithm Experiment in the Hazardous Weather Testbed in 2013
James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS/OCWWS/TD/WDTB, Norman, OK
Greg Stumpf, NOAA/NWS/OST/MDL/DAB and OU/CIMMS, Norman, OK
Travis M. Smith and Kristin Calhoun, OU/CIMMS & NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Ashley Sears, NOAA/National Weather Service, Upton, NY
9:45am Coffee Break Ballroom B

Session X: Panel: Storm Chasing

10:15am Storm Chasing: Do the Rewards Outweigh the Risks?
Moderator: TBD
Panelists:
Mike Bettes – The Weather Channel, Atlanta GA
Jennifer Henderson – Virginia Tech University, Blacksburg, VA
Mark Suddath – Hurricane Intercept Research Team/HurricaneTrack.com
Jeff Piotrowski -- Regional Sales Manager, Baron Services, Inc.
11:45am NWA Annual Awards Luncheon Ballroom C

Session XI: Social Media Workshop

Session XII: NWA Professional Development Session

1:45pm Social Media Workshop
David Fischer, NWA Social Media Committee, Meteorological Analyst, CyberData technologies
Kevin Wagner, NWA Social Media Committee, Member-International Association of Emergency Managers
Jonathan Belles, Member – North Florida AMS/NWA Chapter, Florida State University
Brad Panovich, NWA Social Media Committee, Chief Meteorologist, WSNS-TV Charlotte, NC
2:45-4:00pm Poster Session II Ballroom B (see poster list below)
4:00pm Professional Development: Building Trust
Facilitator: Tracy Freeman
6:00pm Session Ends: Dinner on your own
6:30pm NWA Council and Committee Chairs Business Dinner Meeting

Poster Session 2
Ballroom B

(many of these from NOAA and other federal government employees may not be available)

P2.1 Meeting Aviation Forecaster Competencies through Distance Learning
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, Amy Stevermer and Tsvetomir Ross-Lazarov UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
P2.2 Verification of the GOES-R Fog and Low Stratus Products in Central California
Paul M Iniguez, NOAA/NWS, Hanford, CA
Chad Gravelle, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin - Madison, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas
P2.3 [PDF file]  A Modified Fog Detection Algorithm Developed at the Miami Weather Forecast Office
Jeral Estupinan, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL
Michael Fisher, Florida International University, Miami, FL
P2.4 Educating the Aspiring Meteorologist via Online Pedagogical Techniques
Chad Kauffman, NWA Councilor, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Jim Brey, American Meteorological Society (AMS) Education
P2.5 An Overview of the Tampa Bay, FL High-Impact Sea Fog and Low Stratus Event on 23-24 February 2013
Chad Gravelle, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin - Madison, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Mike Gittinger, Rick Davis, and Brian LaMarre, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL
P2.6 Withdrawn
P2.7 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Impact of the Assimilation of Hyperspectral Infrared Retrieved Profiles on Advanced Weather and Research Model Simulations of a Non-Convective Wind Event
Emily Berndt, Bradley Zavodsky and Gary Jedlovec, NASA MSFC/SPoRT Huntsville, AL and Nicholas Elmer, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
P2.8 [PDF file]  The Use of Red Green Blue Air Mass Imagery to Investigate the Role of Stratospheric Air in a Non-Convective Wind Event
Emily Berndt, Bradley Zavodsky, Andrew Molthan, and Gary Jedlovec, NASA MSFC/SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
P2.9 powerpoint    Use of the NOAA ARL HYSPLIT Trajectory Model for the Short Range Prediction of Stratus and Fog
Gary Ellrod, EWxC, LLC, Granby, CT
P2.10 Addressing the Operational Challenge of NWS Frost/Freeze Headlines
Rick Shanklin, NOAA/NWS Paducah, KY
Dr. Beth Hall, Midwest Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL
P2.11 powerpoint    Teaching Introductory Meteorology in the High School Classroom: Methods and Lessons Learned
Katie L Mercadante, Montour High School, McKees Rocks, PA
P2.12 A Marine Wind Gust Climatology for Eastern North Carolina
David A. Glenn, NOAA/NWS, Morehead City, NC
P2.13 Additional exploration of a neighborhood-based probability of precipitation forecasting technique
William A. Gallus, Jr. and Moti Segal, Iowa State University
Michael C. Kochasic and Christopher J. Schaffer, NOAA/NWS
P2.14 Meteorological Conditions Associated With The 29-30 June 2012 Extreme Maximum Temperatures Over South Carolina
Leonard Vaughan, NOAA/NWS, Columbia, SC
P2.15 Analysis of Extreme Negative Arctic Oscillation Values and their Relationship to Southeast U.S. Cold Air Outbreaks
Ivetta Abramyan, South Carolina State Climatology Office, Columbia, SC
Leonard Vaughan, NOAA/NWS, Columbia, SC
P2.16 Orographically Induced Cirrus Clouds East of the Southern Appalachian Mountains
Ryan Ellis, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
P2.17 An Update on the Central Region Impact-Based Warning Demonstration
Michael J Hudson, NOAA/NWS Kansas City, MO
Kenneth J. Galluppi, Decision Theater, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
Jessica L. Losego, Institute for the Environment, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Burrell E. Montz, Department of Geography, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
P2.18 SKYWARN for the Deaf and Hard of Hearing: An Example of Participation in Local Advocacy and Focus Groups to Provide Specialized Services to Underserved Communities.
Suzanne M. Fortin, NOAA/NWS Wichita, KS
Trevor Boucher, NOAA/NWS Nashville, TN
Jennifer Schuller, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL
Kristen Schuler, NOAA/NWS/CWSU Olathe, KS
P2.19 Increasing Forecaster Confidence Through Daily Guidance Rankings
Mark Loeffelbein, NOAA/NWS/WRHQ, Salt Lake City, UT
P2.20 NOAA'S Ecological Forecasting Roadmap
Allison Allen, NOAA/NOS, Silver Spring, MD
Paul Sandifer, NOAA/NOS, Charleston, SC
P2.21 Total Lightning Information in a 5-Year Thunderstorm Climatology
Benjamin S. Herzog, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK
Kristin M Calhoun, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma & NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
P2.22 Verification of precipitating weather type forecasts in the National Digital Forecast Database and National Digital Guidance Database
Tabitha L. Huntemann, Michael J. Schenk, and Paul Fajman, NOAA/NWS Meteorological Development Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD
P2.23 Increasing Your Social Reach on Facebook
Erik Heden, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY
P2.24 NWS "Think Social" Training
Tim Brice, NOAA/NWS, Santa Teresa, NM
P2.25 Withdrawn
P2.26 Normalization of Frequency Effects in NWS Aviation Forecast Verification Statistics
Matthew Lorentson, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
P2.27 powerpoint    Verification of Public and Aviation Forecasts Before, During, and After Transition to Enhanced Short Term and Aviation Grids at the NWS Atlanta Weather Forecast Office
Trisha Palmer and Patricia Atwell, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
P2.28 Climate Signals Associated with High Impact Weather Events in Arkansas
Christopher C. Buonanno, John Lewis, Brian D. Smith and Charles Dalton, NOAA/NWS, Little Rock, AR
P2.29 The NWS Operations Proving Ground: Year 1 Progress Report and Year 2 Plans
Kim Runk, NOAA/NWS/Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO
P2.30 The Applied Meteorology Program at DOE's Savannah River Site
Kelly Scott, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC
P2.31 Building a Weather-Ready Nation: National Weather Service (NWS) and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Collaborative Weather Impact Assessment and Risk Communication Training
Kelsey Angle, Mike Hudson, Kim Runk, and Jennifer Zeltwanger, NOAA/NWS/Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO
Somer Erickson, DHS/FEMA/Region VII Kansas City, MO
P2.32 Making Idaho Roads Safer: A Partnership between the NWS and the Idaho Transportation Department
Dean Hazen and Dan Valle, NOAA/NWS, Pocatello, ID
P2.33 Moved to P1.5
P2.34 Moved to P1.52
P2.35 From What Did Happen to What Could Happen: Using Root Cause Analysis to Construct a Failure Modes Events Analysis of a Missed Tornado in the Future
Liz M. Quoetone (NWA Past President ’12) and Jami B. Boettcher, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Angela Griffith, P.E., ThinkReliability
P2.36 A New Method for Calculating Total Vertical Motion in Isentropic Space
Dr. Patrick Market (NWA Past President ’11) and Michael Simpson, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO
P2.37 Improving Service through Proper Use of Convection Allowing Models
Jeffrey D. Fournier and Donald Van Dyke, NOAA/NWS, Tallahassee, FL
Bryan Mroczka, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL
P2.38 powerpoint    [PDF file]  The NWS Central Region Extended Forecast Process
Jeffrey P. Craven (NWA President Elect) and Jerry Wiedenfeld, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan WI
John Gagan, NOAA/NWS, Springfield, MO
Peter Browning, NOAA/NWS/CRH, Kansas City, MO
Andy Just, NOAA/NWS, La Crosse, WI
Charles Greif, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, KY
P2.39 Utilizing an Ensemble-based Situational Awareness Table to Anticipate Significant Weather Events: The mid-Atlantic Superstorm of March 1993 and the record-setting western U.S. Trough of July 1987
Randy Graham and Nanette Hosenfeld, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Trevor Alcott and Chad Kahler, NOAA/NWS/WRH, Salt Lake City, UT
P2.40 Snow Squalls: Environments, Forecasting and Hazard Mitigation
Andrew N. Loconto and Peter C. Banacos, NOAA/NWS, Burlington, VT
Gregory A. DeVoir, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA
P2.41 Forecasting the Inland Extent of Lake-Effect Snow Bands
Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr., NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY
Joe Villani, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY
P2.42 The Contribution of a Seeder-Feeder Mechanism to Heavy Snow in West Virginia Associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Sandy
Andy Roche, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, WV
P2.43 A Tale of Two Blizzards
Richard Okulski (NWA Commissioner of Committees) and Todd Foisy, NOAA/NWS, Caribou, ME
P2.44 The 2013 GOES-R Convective Product Demonstrations for Marine and Precipitation Applications
Michael J. Folmer, UMD/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD
Joseph Sienkiewicz, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/OPC, College Park, MD
Hugh Cobb, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL
David Novak and Andrew Orrison, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/WPC, College Park, MD
P2.45 Clearing the Path for the Next Generation NOAA Satellite Systems: GOES-R and JPSS
James Gurka and Steve Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R, Greenbelt, MD
Timothy Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Madison, WI
Anthony Mostek and Brian Motta, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO
Mitch Goldberg, NOAA/NESDIS/JPSS, Greenbelt MD
Wayne Feltz, CIMMS University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison WI
P2.46 GOES-R Proving Ground: Results from the 2013 Demonstrations and Future Plans
James Gurka and Steve Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R, Greenbelt, MD
Timothy Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Madison, WI
Anthony Mostek and Brian Motta, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO
Michael Folmer NOAA/ NWS/OPC/TAFB, College Park, MD
Amanda Terborg NOAA/ NWS/ AWC, Kansas City, MO
Chad Gravelle NOAA/ NWS/ NWSTC, Kansas City, MO
Kathryn Mozer/ ASRC Federal Space and Defense, Beltsville, MD
Wayne Feltz, CIMMS University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
P2.47 powerpoint    An overview of CIRA Proving Ground NWS interactions
Ed Szoke, CIRA & NOAA/ESRL/GSD
Dan Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO
Dan Bikos, Renate Brummer, Steve Miller, and Hiro Gosden, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO
Mark DeMaria and Deb Molenar, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Fort Collins, CO
P2.48 powerpoint    NOAA's Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground and Risk Reduction Program: Bringing New Capabilities to Operations!
Bill Sjoberg contractor with Global Science & Technology, Inc. and NOAA/NESDIS JPSS, Lanham, MD
Mitchell Goldberg, NOAA/NESDIS/JPSS, Greenbelt, MD
P2.49 SECOORA's Regional Coastal Ocean Observing System: Providing critical marine weather data and information products for weather forecasters and the marine community
Debra Hernandez, Southeast Coastal and Ocean Observing Regional Association, Charleston, SC
Jennifer Dorton, Univeristy of North Carolina at Wilmington, Wilmington, NC
Dwayne Porter, Jeremy Cothran, and Dan Ramage, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC
Charlton Galverino, Second Creek Consulting LLC, Columbia, SC
P2.50 Real Time Nuclear Fallout Prediction
Buddy McCloskey, Geo-Graphics, Pipersville, PA
Captain Robert Titus, USN Retired Meteorologist, NV
P2.51 Hurricane Cycle Prediction Modeling
David Dilley, Global Weather Oscillations Inc., Ocala, FL
P2.52 Engaging the public with meteorological data from NASA's Mars rovers
Tony Rice, NASA/JPL SSA, Cary, NC
P2.53 powerpoint    The SHyMet GOES-R Instruments and Products training course, and other related satellite training for operational forecasting.
Dan Bikos, Bernie Connell, and Ed Szoke, CIRA/Colorado State, Ft. Collins, CO
Scott Lindstrom and Scott Bachmeier, CIMMS/University of Wisconsin at Madison, Madison, WI

Thursday, October 17

General Session
Ballroom A

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens; Closes at 3pm
7:45am Weather Briefing and NWA Announcements
8:00am A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2013
Greg Carbin, NWA Councilor and Professional Development Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK

Session XIII: Multifarious
Session Co-Chairs:
Ken Carey: NWA Councilor, Earth Resources Technology, Inc., Laurel, MD
Christina Crowe: NWA Weather Analysis and Forecasting Committee Chair, Huntsville, AL

8:30am powerpoint    Shock-Like Structures in the Tropical Cyclone Boundary Layer
Dr. Gabriel J. Williams, College of Charleston, Charleston, SC
Richard K Taft, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
Brian D McNoldy, University of Miami – Florida, Coral Gables, FL
Wayne Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
8:45am powerpoint    A Community Frost/Freeze Susceptibility Operational Guidance Tool
Allan Curtis, Beth Hall, Michael Timlin, Steven Hilberg, Mary Woloszyn, and Zoe Zaloudek,
Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL
Patrick Guinan, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO
Jeffrey Andresen and Mark Longstroth, Michigan State University, Lansing, MI
Ray Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, IA
9:00am powerpoint    Using COMET’s Conceptual Materials in Communicating High Impact Events
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, Amy Stevermer and Bruce Muller, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
9:15am powerpoint    Tornadic Debris Signature Usage in National Weather Service Warnings
Christopher Spannagle OU/CIMMS/NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Paul Schlatter, NWA Councilor, NOAA/NWS/OST Silver Spring, MD
9:30am powerpoint    Analysis of Extreme Negative Arctic Oscillation Values and their Relationship to Southeast U.S. Cold Air Outbreaks
Ivetta Abramyan, South Carolina State Climatology Office, Columbia, SC
Leonard Vaughan, NOAA/NWS, Columbia, SC
9:45am Coffee Break

Session XIV: Remote Sensing - Satellite
Sessions Co-Chairs:
Jordan Gerth: (NWA Council - Student Ex-Officio), University of Wisconsin-Madison SSEC/CIMSS, Madison, WI
Bill Sjoberg contractor with Global Science & Technology, Inc. and NOAA/NESDIS JPSS, Lanham, MD

10:15am powerpoint    An overview of CIRA Proving Ground NWS interactions
Ed Szoke, CIRA & NOAA/ESRL/GSD
Dan Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO
Dan Bikos, Renate Brummer, Steve Miller, and Hiro Gosden, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO
Mark DeMaria and Deb Molenar, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Fort Collins, CO
10:30am powerpoint    The Use of Correlation Coefficient NEXRAD Data in Diagnosing Weak and Low-End Tornadic Storms in the Southeast US - Some Examples and Caveats
John M. Trostel, Severe Storms Research Center, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Atlanta GA
Steven E. Nelson, NOAA/NWS Peachtree City, GA
Christopher T. Schultz, University of Alabama - Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
10:45am powerpoint    GOES-R Proving Ground Activities within the Storm Prediction Center
William Line, University of Oklahoma –CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK
11:00am powerpoint    The Use of Satellite Data in Forecasting High-Impact Aviation Weather Hazards
Amanda Terborg, University of Wisconsin – CIMSS and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO
11:15am powerpoint    Simulated Satellite Imagery: A New Tool for Cloud Cover Forecasting
Daniel T. Lindsey, NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research, Fort Collins, CO
Louie Grasso, Dan Bkios, and Ed Szoke, Cooperative Institute for Research of the Atmosphere, Fort Collins, CO
11:30am powerpoint    Development and future role of the GLM Lightning Jump Algorithm in the warning decision making framework
Elise V. Schultz, Christopher J. Schultz, and Lawrence D. Carey, University of Alabama – Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Daniel J. Cecil, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL
Geoffrey T. Stano, NASA SPoRT/ENSCO, Inc.,, Huntsville, AL Monte Bateman, USRA, Huntsville, AL
Steve Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office, Greenbelt, MD
11:45am Using GOES-R Demonstration Products to Bridge the Gap Between Severe Weather Watches and Warnings for the 20 May 2013 Moore, OK Tornado Outbreak

Chad Gravelle, CIMSS, SSEC, University of Wisconsin-Madison, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
John Mecikalski, ESSC, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Ralph Petersen and Justin Sieglaff, CIMSS, SSEC, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Geoffrey Stano, NASA SPoRT / ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL

12:00pm Closing Remarks
12:05pm 38th NWA Annual Meeting adjourns