2018 Annual Meeting Agenda

National Weather Association
Founded in 1975

Connecting Operational Meteorologists in Pursuit of Excellence in Weather Forecasting, Communication, and Service

National Weather Association's 43rd Annual Meeting
Marriott St. Louis Grand, St. Louis, MO
August 25-30, 2018


2018 Annual Meeting — Preliminary Agenda

"Diversity in People, Models, and Methods"


Click a Day to See That Day's Agenda

Saturday
August 25

Sunday
August 26

Monday
August 27

Tuesday
August 28

Wednesday
August 29

Thursday
August 30


Saturday, August 25

9:00 AM – 5:00 PM Weather Ready Fest
1:00 PM – 6:00 PM Registration Desk Open

Sunday, August 26

7:00 AM – 6:00 PM Registration Desk Open
8:30 AM – 8:45 PM Broadcaster Workshop
10:30 AM – 5:30 PM Student Conference
5:00 PM #WxTwitter Mixer
6:45 PM - 8:45 PM Master Class and Writing Class

Monday, August 27

7:00 AM – 5:00 PM Registration Desk Open
7:45 AM – 8:00 AM Opening Remarks
8:00 AM – 8:30 AM State of the NWAAlan Sealls, NWA President
8:30 AM – 9:00 AM Keynote: Diversity PanelHogan, Parker, Sealls, Hawkins
9:00 AM – 10:15 AM Session A: Science
10:15 AM – 10:45 AM Coffee Break
10:45 AM – 12:00 PM Concurrent Session B1: Severe 1  &  Concurrent Session B2: Forecast Technology
12:00 PM – 1:30 PM Lunch
1:30 PM – 1:45 PM Student Map Briefing
1:45 PM – 3:15 PM Concurrent Session C1: Comm-DSS  &  Concurrent Session C2: Diversity
3:15 PM – 3:45 PM Coffee Break
3:45 PM – 4:15 PM 25th Anniversary of the Mississippi Floods
4:15 PM – 5:15 PM 25th Anniversary of the Mississippi Floods Panel DiscussionUccellini, USGS, COE, EM, ...
5:15 PM – 6:45 PM Ice Breaker, including talk by Greg Carbin
6:30 PM – 9:00 PM 2018 Research Operations Nexus (RON) Meetup
6:45 PM – 9:00 PM Broadcaster's Dinner

Tuesday, August 28

7:00 AM – 5:00 PM Registration Desk Open
7:45 AM – 8:00 AM Student Map Briefing
8:00 AM – 9:00 AM Session D: Remote Sensing
9:00 AM – 10:30 AM Poster Session #1  &  Coffee Break
9:00 AM – 10:30 AM Concurrent Session E1: Weather & Forecasting  &  Concurrent Session E2: Tropical
12:00 PM – 1:30 PM Lunch
1:30 PM – 2:00 PM Keynote: Michelle Hawkins
2:00 PM – 3:00 PM Concurrent Session F1: Comm-DSS (10-minute Talks)  &  Concurrent Session F2: Fire
3:00 PM – 4:30 PM Poster Session #2  &  Coffee Break
4:30 PM – 5:30 PM Concurrent Session G1: Education  &  Concurrent Session G2: Social
5:30 PM – 9:30 PM NWA Committee Chairs Dinner

Wednesday, August 29

7:00 AM – 5:00 PM Registration Desk Open
7:45 AM – 8:00 AM Student Map Briefing
8:00 AM – 8:30 AM Keynote: Bill Parker
8:30 AM – 10:00 AM Session H: Severe 2
10:00 AM – 10:30 AM Coffee Break
10:30 AM – 12:00 PM Session I1: Case Studies/Climate  &  Session I2: Winter
12:00 PM – 1:30 PM Lunch  &  Awards Banquet
1:30 PM – 2:00 PM Special Presentation: When Weather Changed HistoryJoel Meyers
2:00 PM – 3:30 PM Session J1: Aviation  &  Session J2: Comm-DSS (10-minute Talks)
3:30 PM – 4:00 PM Coffee Break
4:00 PM – 5:30 PM Session K: Hydro
5:30 PM – 9:30 PM NWA Council Dinner

Thursday, August 30

7:00 AM – 3:00 PM Registration Desk Open
8:00 AM – 9:30 AM Session L: Weather & Forecasting
9:30 AM – 11:00 AM Poster Session #3  &  Coffee Break
11:00 AM – 12:00 PM Session M: Remote Sensing
12:00 PM – 1:30 PM Lunch
1:30 PM – 1:45 PM Student Map Briefing
1:45 PM – 3:30 PM Session N: Numerical Weather Prediction
3:30 PM – 4:00 PM Coffee Break
4:00 PM – 5:15 PM Session O: Looking Ahead
5:15 PM – 5:30 PM Concluding Remarks

Broadcaster Workshop — Detailed Agenda

Sunday, August 26: 8:30 AM – 9:30 PM
8:30 AM – 8:35 AM Welcoming Remarks
Alan Sealls, NWA President & WKRG-TV, Mobile, AL
8:35 AM – 8:45 AM Opening Remarks
Nate Johnson, NWA Councilor, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair, & NBC Universal;
Mike Goldberg, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop Chair & WTVR-TV, Richmond, VA
8:45 AM – 9:00 AM Welcome to St. Louis!
Meghan Danahey, KMOV-TV, St. Louis, MO
9:00 AM – 9:15 AM Show, Tell, and Engage. Immersing Users With Location-based Augmented Reality (AR) During Live, 2-way Interactive, Outdoor Broadcasts Maintains Attention For Education Purposes and Induces Precautionary Action When Needed
Camden Walker, Camunications (AR) LLC, Washington, DC
Abstract | Presentation
9:15 AM – 9:30 AM What the 2017 Great American Eclipse Taught Us About Effective Science Communication
Tony Rice, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Cary, NC
Abstract | Presentation
9:30 AM – 9:45 AM I Wish I Could Have A Job Where I Was Always Wrong!
H. Michael Mogil, How the Weatherworks, Naples, FL
Abstract | Presentation
9:45 AM – 10:00 AM Educational Backgrounds of TV Weathercasters
Thomas A. Green, NOAA/NWS Pittsburgh, Moon Township, PA
Abstract | Presentation
10:00 AM – 10:30 AM Coffee Break & Exhibits Open
10:30 AM – 10:45 AM Harvey Success Story: Utilizing NWS Partnerships to Maximize an Effective Public Response
Andrew Patrick, NOAA/NWS Lake Charles, LA
Abstract | Presentation
10:45 AM – 11:00 AM Measure Up! Partnering with Emergency Managers for Precipitation Observations
Jeffrey Jumper, PA Emergency Management Agency, Harrisburg, PA
Abstract | Presentation
11:00 AM – 12:00 PM Warming World: Tools to Help Broadcasters Discuss a Changing Climate
Sean Sublette, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ
Abstract | Presentation
12:00 PM – 1:30 PM Lunch
1:30 PM – 1:45 PM A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2018
Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
1:45 PM – 2:00 PM The Overuse of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings—Is There a Better Way?
Joe Lauria, WDAF-TV, Kansas City, MO
Abstract | Presentation
2:00 PM – 2:15 PM Alternative Broadcast and Dissemination Technologies for the Weather Warning Process
Laura Myers, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL
Abstract | Presentation
2:15 PM – 3:00 PM Workshop: Severe Weather Forecast Examples
Patrick Marsh, NOAA/SPC, Norman, OK, and Greg Carbin, NOAA/WPC, Silver Spring, MD
3:00 PM – 3:30 PM Coffee Break & Exhibits Open
3:30 PM – 3:45 PM An Update on Storm Prediction Center Risk Communication Strategies and Developments
Bill Bunting, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
3:45 PM – 4:00 PM Broadcast Meteorologist Decision Making with Probabilistic Hazard Information in the 2017 Hazardous Weather Testbed
Holly Obermeier, CU CIRES/ESRL, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
4:00 PM – 4:15 PM Leveraging Partnerships for Safer Georgia Highways during Winter Storms
Keith Stellman, NOAA/NWS Atlanta/Peachtree, GA
Abstract | Presentation
4:15 PM – 5:00 PM Presentation and Discussion—Manufactured Housing Institute
Moderated by Lisa Spencer, WSMV-TV, Nashville, TN
5:00 PM Announcements/Dinner on your own
7:00 PM Broadcast Reel Swap
Nate Johnson, NWA Councilor, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair, & NBC Universal
8:45 PM Student DVD Critique
Mike Goldberg, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop Chair & WTVR-TV, Richmond, VA

Student Conference — Detailed Agenda

Sunday, August 26: 10:30 AM – 7:00 PM
10:30 AM – 10:35 AM Opening Remarks
10:35 AM – 11:00 AM Keynote
Dr. John Scala
11:00 AM – 11:15 AM Early Career Talk (Title: TBD)
11:15 AM – 12:00 PM Changing Sectors Within Meteorology Panel
Moderator: Amber Liggett
12:00 PM – 1:30 PM Lunch
1:30 PM – 1:45 PM Resume Writing/Interview Talk
Becca Mazur, NWS & NWA Professional Development Committee
1:45 PM – 2:00 PM Overcoming Hurdles
Speaker TBD
2:00 PM – 2:15 PM Work/Life Balance
Speaker TBD
2:15 PM – 3:00 PM Leadership Panel
Moderator: John Banghoff
3:00 PM – 3:30 PM Break
3:30 PM – 5:30 PM Speed Mentoring
5:30 PM – 7:00 PM Speed Mentoring Dinner
6:45 PM – 8:45 PM Master Class and Writing Class

Session A: Science — Detailed Agenda

Monday, August 27: 9:00 AM – 10:15 AM
9:00 AM – 9:15 AM FACETs: Final Results from Initial R2O Projects and New Initiatives
Alan Gerard, OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
9:15 AM – 9:30 AM National Blend of Models performance during extreme/high impact events
Jeffrey Craven, NOAA/NWS/OSTI/MDL/SMB, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
9:30 AM – 9:45 AM Findings from the 2018 Mesoanalysis Think Tank at the NWS Operations Proving Ground
Matthew Foster, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Abstract | Presentation
9:45 AM – 10:00 AM Diverse Approaches to Inquiry: Evaluating 10 Years of National Service Assessments for Significant Weather-Related Events
Leticia Williams, NOAA Center for Atmospheric Science and Meteorology (NCAS), Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
10:00 AM – 10:15 AM Hurricane Harvey- A messaging nightmare for the weather enterprise
Jeffry Evans, NWS Houston/Galveston, Dickinson, Texas
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session B1: Severe 1 — Detailed Agenda

Monday, August 27: 10:45 AM – 12:00 PM
10:45 AM – 11:00 AM Upon Further Review: The May 18, 1995 Ohio Valley Severe Weather Outbreak
John Gordon, National Weather Service, Louisville, KY
Abstract | Presentation
11:00 AM – 11:15 AM A Systematic Approach to Improve Tornado Warnings
Kevin Laws, National Weather Service, Birmingham, AL
Abstract | Presentation
11:15 AM – 11:30 AM The NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center's Integrated Machine-based Predictive Analytics for Convective Threats to Society (IMPACTS) Statistical Model
Patrick Marsh, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
11:30 AM – 11:45 AM Preliminary Damage Patterns from Drone footage over a Heavily Forested Areas in Southern Illinois from an EF4 Tornado
Patrick Spoden, National Weather Service, Paducah, Kentucky
Abstract | Presentation
11:45 AM – 12:00 PM Applications and Examples of a Behavior-Based Tornadic Debris Signature Identification Technique
Kevin Skow, NOAA/NWS Topeka, KS, Topeka, Kansas
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session B2: Forecast Technology — Detailed Agenda

Monday, August 27: 10:45 AM – 12:00 PM
10:45 AM – 11:00 AM From Short Fuse Warnings to Long Range Forecasts: The Role of the Meteorologist in America's Weather Industry
Marshall Moss, AccuWeather, State College, PA
Abstract | Presentation
11:00 AM – 11:15 AM NWS Jackson Mississippi Week Two Hazardous Weather Impact Assessments
Brad Bryant, NWS, Jackson, MS
Abstract | Presentation
11:15 AM – 11:30 AM The Muzio Discomfort Index
Miles Muzio, KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA
Abstract | Presentation
11:30 AM – 11:45 AM Making Sense of Snowfall Accumulations in NCEP Models
Geoffrey Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
11:45 AM – 12:00 PM NWS Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting: Lessons Learned and Pathways Forward
Jeff Waldstreicher, NOAA/NWS Eastern Region HQ, Bohemia, NY
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session C1: Comm-DSS — Detailed Agenda

Monday, August 27: 1:45 PM – 3:15 PM
1:45 PM – 2:00 PM Communicating Road Weather Impacts to the Traveling Public
Brenda Boyce, Booz Allen Hamilton, Overland Park, KS
Abstract | Presentation
2:00 PM – 2:15 PM National Weather Service IDSS Geoportal
Pamela Pietrycha, National Weather Service, Tulsa, Oklahoma
Abstract | Presentation
2:15 PM – 2:30 PM The Winter Storm Severity Index at the Weather Prediction Center
Joshua Kastman, CIRES/WPC, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
2:30 PM – 2:45 PM Utilizing Diversity to Create a More Dynamic Communication Paradigm for Internal and External Customers of the National Weather Service
Delyne Kirkham, National Weather Service, Elko, Nevada
Abstract | Presentation
2:45 PM – 3:00 PM When Thunder Roars: A Quantitative Assessment of Argument Strength, Risk Efficacy, and Cognitive Elaboration in Severe Weather Threat Messaging.
Robert MacDonald, University of Oklahoma / Oklahoma Mesonet, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
3:00 PM – 3:15 PM Forecast Decision Support Assistance Utilizing the CIPS Extended Analog Threat Guidance
John Gagan, National Weather Service, Milwaukee/Sullivan, Milwaukee, WI
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session C2: Diversity — Detailed Agenda

Monday, August 27: 1:45 PM – 3:15 PM
1:45 PM – 2:00 PM Unspoken Truths: The Impacts of Disasters on Meteorologists
Christina Crowe, NWS Training Center - Leadership Academy, Kansas City, MO
Abstract | Presentation
2:00 PM – 2:15 PM How to Deal with Impostor Syndrome Or, How to Know When Your Inner Monologue is Lying to You
Matthew Bolton, School of Arts and Sciences, Saint Leo University, Saint Leo, FL
Abstract | Presentation
2:15 PM – 2:30 PM Diversity in the Spotlight: Turning the camera on ourselves
Brooke Bingaman, National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO
Abstract | Presentation
2:30 PM – 2:45 PM How Diversity Affects Feedback: Navigating the Gender Gap from Viewer Comments to Workplace Discussions
Hannah Strong, WDRB-TV, Louisville, KY
Abstract | Presentation
2:45 PM – 3:00 PM Social Biases and the Importance of Intellectual Diversity in the Weather Enterprise
Matthew Bolton, School of Arts and Sciences, Saint Leo University, Saint Leo, FL
Abstract | Presentation
3:00 PM – 3:15 PM Tornado warning communication needs among the Blind/Low-vision community
Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS
Abstract | Presentation

Session D: Remote Sensing — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 8:00 AM – 9:00 AM
8:00 AM – 8:15 AM Operational Utilization of Advected Layered Precipitable Water and other Emerging Datasets to Detect Flash Floods in the Greater Kansas City Metropolitan Area: A Review of the 2016 and 2017 Flash Flood Seasons
Jonathan Welsh, National Weather Service, Pleasant Hill, MO
Abstract | Presentation
8:15 AM – 8:30 AM Using GOES-16 Imagery and Derived Products in NWS Operations to Assess the Pre-Convective Environment
Bill Line, NOAA/NWS Pueblo, CO, Pueblo, CO
Abstract | Presentation
8:30 AM – 8:45 AM Characteristics of Thundersnow Associated with Heavy-Snowfall Observed with Next-Generation Satellite Sensors
Sebastian S. Harkema, University of Alabama in Huntsville / NASA SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
8:45 AM – 9:00 AM GOES-R Series: Now Twice as Exciting!
Kathryn Mozer, NOAA/NESDIS/OSPO, Greenbelt, MD
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session E1: Weather & Forecasting — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 10:30 AM – 12:00 PM
10:30 AM – 10:45 AM Using Local-Scale Time-Lagged Ensemble Visualization Tools to Extract Forecast Signals in Medium-Range Model Guidance
Matthew Stalley, NWS - WFO Dallas/Fort Worth, Fort Worth, TX
Abstract | Presentation
10:45 AM – 11:00 AM Analysis of High Temperature Forecast Accuracy of Consumer Weather Forecasts from 2005-2016
Eric Floehr, ForecastWatch, Dublin, OH
Abstract | Presentation
11:00 AM – 11:15 AM An Update on the 2018 HRRR Upgrade at NCEP and a Look at Future Plans
Ed Szoke, CIRA & NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
11:15 AM – 11:30 AM Analyzing Significant Precipitation Events Using GOES-R and JPSS Products
Michael Folmer, UMD/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
11:30 AM – 11:45 AM Improvements in Freezing Rain Prediction by Incorporating Droplet Temperature Characteristics
Brian Barjenbruch, National Weather Service Valley, NE, Elkhorn, NE
Abstract | Presentation
11:45 AM – 12:00 PM Forecasting Extreme Rainfall and Flooding Threats at WPC
Alex Lamers, NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session E2: Tropical — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 10:30 AM – 12:00 PM
10:30 AM – 10:45 AM Multispectral Imagery Usage during the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Michael Folmer, UMD/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
10:45 AM – 11:00 AM An Overview of NCEP Model Guidance for Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria
Logan Dawson, I.M. Systems Group, Inc. and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
11:00 AM – 11:15 AM Communication Strategies and Awareness for Hurricane Maria
Amaryllis Cotto, NOAA National Weather Service, San Juan, PR
Abstract | Presentation
11:15 AM – 11:30 AM Hurricane Harvey, a Post Event Review Utilizing the ArcGIS Online Story Map
Derek Giardino, National Weather Service West Gulf River Forecast Center, Fort Worth, Texas
Abstract | Presentation
11:30 AM – 11:45 AM Forecasting and Communicating Record Rainfall Amounts: “What's another 5 inches?”
Jennifer McNatt, NWS Southern Region Regional Operations Center, Fort Worth, TX
Abstract | Presentation
11:45 AM – 12:00 PM Hurricane Harvey: Utilizing Social Media During a Catastrophic Event
Nikki Hathaway, NWS Houston/Galveston, Dickinson, Texas
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session F1: Comm-DSS — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 2:00 PM – 3:00 PM
2:00 PM – 2:10 PM Enhanced Impact-Based Decision Support Services at WFO Corpus Christi: Hurricane Harvey and Beyond
Todd Beal, National Weather Service, Corpus Christi, TX
Abstract | Presentation
2:10 PM – 2:20 PM The Importance of Partner Relationships to Effective IDSS: How Established Connections and Developed Protocols Can Alter News Headlines
Kevin Deitsch, NOAA/NWS St. Louis, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
2:20 PM – 2:30 PM Comparing Planned and Unplanned IDSS Provided by WFO Greenville-Spartanburg: the 2018 World Equestrian Games and the Rev. Billy Graham Funeral
Trisha Palmer, NOAA/NWS Greenville-Spartanburg SC, Greer, SC
Abstract | Presentation
2:30 PM – 2:40 PM NWS At Full Tilt: Supporting Operations for Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria
Katie LaBelle Edwards, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
2:40 PM – 2:50 PM Looking Farther: Medium To Long Range IDSS At NWS Bismarck
Patrick Ayd, NOAA/NWS, Bismarck, ND
Abstract | Presentation
2:50 PM – 3:00 PM Onsite and Remote Decision Support Services for Emergency Management Centered around the 2017 Wildfires in California
Matt Solum, NOAA/NWS Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session F2: Fire — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 2:00 PM – 3:00 PM
2:00 PM – 2:15 PM Fire Detection and Monitoring with GOES-16
Chris Schmidt, CIMSS/SSEC, Madison, WI
Abstract | Presentation
2:15 PM – 2:30 PM Examining Behavior of the 2017 Thomas Fire Using Polarimetric Radar
Sean Luchs, NWS Houston/Galveston, Dickinson, TX
Abstract | Presentation
2:30 PM – 2:45 PM From the Largest California Wildfire to Major Post-Fire Debris Flows in One Month; Communicating the Unique Threats for Back-to-Back Disasters
Eric Boldt, NOAA/National Weather Service, Oxnard, CA
Abstract | Presentation
2:45 PM – 3:00 PM Fire-Effective Return Flow Regimes: A Critical Fire Weather Pattern on the Southern Great Plains
Barry R. Bowers, National Weather Service, Norman, Oklahoma
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session G1: Education — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 4:30 PM – 5:30 PM
4:30 PM – 4:45 PM Serving the Special Needs Population through Diversity in Partnerships
Jason Wright, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Nashville, TN
Abstract | Presentation
4:45 PM – 5:00 PM An Examination of Weather Anxiety in Autistic and Non-autistic Individuals
Matthew Bolton, School of Arts and Sciences, Saint Leo University, Saint Leo, FL
Abstract | Presentation
5:00 PM – 5:15 PM Building Mentoring Relationships Between Alumni and Students of Jackson State University
John Moore, NWS, Jackson, MS
Abstract | Presentation
5:15 PM – 5:30 PM Educating from the Sun to the Ocean Floor - All about the NOAA Education Council
Faith Borden, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Nashville, TN
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session G2: Social — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 4:30 PM – 5:30 PM
4:30 PM – 4:45 PM
4:45 PM – 5:00 PM Human Factors Affecting Tornado Warning Decisions in National Weather Service Forecast Offices
Frank Alsheimer, NOAA/NWS Columbia, SC, West Columbia, SC
Abstract | Presentation
5:00 PM – 5:15 PM Using Video To Communicate Weather Hazards
Connor Dennhardt, National Weather Service, Santa Teresa, NM
Abstract | Presentation
5:15 PM – 5:30 PM Show, tell, and engage. Immersing users with location-based augmented reality (AR) during live, 2-way interactive, outdoor broadcasts maintains attention for education purposes and induces precautionary action when needed
A. Camden Walker, Camunications (AR) LLC, Washington, D.C.
Abstract | Presentation

Session H: Severe 2 — Detailed Agenda

Wednesday, August 29: 8:30 AM – 10:00 AM
8:30 AM – 8:45 AM The May 8, 2017 Metro Denver Hailstorm: One of the Costliest in U.S. History
Paul Schlatter, National Weather Service, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
8:45 AM – 9:00 AM Twenty Years of StormReady: A Retrospective of a National Weather Service Community Preparedness Program
Lans Rothfusz, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
9:00 AM – 9:15 AM Examination of the New Mesocyclone Detection Algorithm Proposed for the WSR-88D Radar Network
Brandon Smith, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies / National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
9:15 AM – 9:30 AM Three Years of Hazard Services – Probabilistic Hazard Information (HS-PHI) Experiments at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed
Greg Stumpf, Univ. Oklahoma / CIMMS and NWS/MDL, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
9:30 AM – 9:45 AM A Systematic Warning Approach for Quasi-Linear Convective System Mesovortices
Jason Schaumann, NOAA/NWS, Springfield, MO
Abstract | Presentation
9:45 AM – 10:00 AM Alternative Broadcast and Dissemination Technologies for the Weather Warning Process
Laura Myers, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session I1: Case Studies/Climate — Detailed Agenda

Wednesday, August 29: 10:30 AM – 12:00 PM
10:30 AM – 10:45 AM Low Predictability and Associated Forecast Challenges with the January 3-5, 2018 Nor'easter
Tracey Dorian, IMSG at NOAA/NCEP/EMC, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
10:45 AM – 11:00 AM A Modern Look at the Historical 1896 St. Louis Tornado
Jared Guyer, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
11:00 AM – 11:15 AM The Pi-Day Coastal Storm of 14 March 2017
Lance Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany,  NY
Abstract | Presentation
11:15 AM – 11:30 AM Forecasting Inundation and pre-event Mitigation: Can we expand our IDSS toolbox post Harvey?
Lance Wood, NWS Houston/Galveston, Dickinson, TX
Abstract | Presentation
11:30 AM – 11:45 AM Large-Scale Trends in Upper Air Sounding Data Across the United States
Jaret Rogers, NOAA/NWS, Phoenix, AZ
Abstract | Presentation
11:45 AM – 12:00 PM An Online Tool for Computing Historical Tornado Threat Assessments
John Hart, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session I2: Winter — Detailed Agenda

Wednesday, August 29: 10:30 AM – 12:00 PM
10:30 AM – 10:45 AM Dreaming of a White Christmas: A Review of the 25-26 December 2017 Lake Effect Snow Event in Erie, Pennsylvania
Zach Sefcovic, National Weather Service, Cleveland, OH
Abstract | Presentation
10:45 AM – 11:00 AM An Update on Verification Efforts for the NWS Probabilistic  Snow Forecasts
Philip Schumacher, NOAA/National Weather Service, Sioux Falls, SD
Abstract | Presentation
11:00 AM – 11:15 AM FACETs:  Applications for Winter Weather
Alan Gerard, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
11:15 AM – 11:30 AM Communicating Potential High-Impact/Sub-Advisory Winter Events
Christopher A Strong, NOAA/NWS/WFO, Sterling, VA
Abstract | Presentation
11:30 AM – 11:45 AM Leveraging Partnerships for Safer Georgia Highways during Winter Storms
Keith Stellman, National Weather Service, Atlanta/Peachtree City, GA
Abstract | Presentation
11:45 AM – 12:00 PM Vertical Temperature and Moisture Characteristics of Drizzle and Freezing Drizzle Environments
Dan Baumgardt, NOAA/National Weather Service, La Crosse, WI
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session J1: Aviation — Detailed Agenda

Wednesday, August 29: 2:00 PM – 3:30 PM
2:00 PM – 2:15 PM Integrating GOES-R Satellite into Convective Porosity Determination at CWSU Houston
Roland Nunez, NWS Center Weather Service Unit - Houston, Houston, Texas
Abstract | Presentation
2:15 PM – 2:30 PM Using GIS to Enhance Aviation Decision Support Services for the Federal Aviation Administration at the Memphis Center Weather Service Unit
Nick Uebelhor, National Weather Service - Center Weather Service Unit, Memphis, TN
Abstract | Presentation
2:30 PM – 2:45 PM Government - Industry Partnerships Transitioning Turbulence Research Into Aviation Operations
Tammy Farrar, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC
Abstract | Presentation
2:45 PM – 3:00 PM More Than Just Aviation Support during the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Roland Nunez, NWS Center Weather Service Unit - Houston, Houston, Texas
Abstract | Presentation
3:00 PM – 3:15 PM Implementing New Weather Satellite Data into Operational Aviation Products and Decisions
Randy Bass, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC
Abstract | Presentation
3:15 PM – 3:30 PM The Evolution of NWS Digital Aviation Services Part II: Creating User Displays Based on Partner Interaction
Jamie Enderlen, National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Chicago, IL, Romeoville, IL
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session J2: Comm-DSS — Detailed Agenda

Wednesday, August 29: 2:00 PM – 3:40 PM
2:00 PM – 2:10 PM IDSS Lessons Learned During Historic 2017 California Fires: A NWS Weather Forecast Office Perspective
Michelle Mead, NWS Sacramento Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Sacramento, CA
Abstract | Presentation
2:10 PM – 2:20 PM In Search of Improved Severe Weather Composite Parameters
John Hart, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
2:20 PM – 2:30 PM Moving from Treading Water to Catching the Wave: An Analysis of Urban Flash Flood Messaging and the Potential for Improvement
Melissa Huffman, NWS Houston/Galveston, Dickinson, Texas
Abstract | Presentation
2:30 PM – 2:40 PM Arizona Heat - Collaboratively Tackling America's Deadliest Weather Phenomenon
Paul Iniguez, NOAA/National Weather Service, Phoenix, AZ
Abstract | Presentation
2:40 PM – 2:50 PM NWS and USGS Collaboration to Monitor and Warn for Regional Shallow Landslide Initiation in the San Francisco Bay Area, California
Warren Blier, NOAA/NWS, Monterey, CA
Abstract | Presentation
2:50 PM – 3:00 PM An Online Tool for Computing Historical Tornado Threat Assessments
John Hart, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
3:00 PM – 3:10 PM National Weather Service Simulations with External Partners: How to Improve High Impact Weather Event Preparedness through Exercises
Stephen Bieda III, NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office Amarillo, Amarillo, TX
Abstract | Presentation
3:10 PM – 3:20 PM A Culture of Clouds: Translating Meteorology into the Navajo Language
Victoria Allen, National Weather Service, Flagstaff/Bellemont, AZ
Abstract | Presentation
3:20 PM – 3:30 PM Conditions Conducive to Accumulating Small Hail in Northwest California, its Impacts on Travel, and Methods of Communicating the Hazard
Matthew Kidwell, National Weather Service, Eureka, CA
Abstract | Presentation
3:30 PM – 3:40 PM NWS Products and Services as Criteria for EOC Activation
Trenton Pittman, Johnson County Emergency Management and Communications, Olathe, KS
Abstract | Presentation

Concurrent Session K: Hydro — Detailed Agenda

Wednesday, August 29: 4:00 PM – 5:30 PM
4:00 PM – 4:15 PM Improving Coverage and Accuracy of Precipitation Estimates for NOAA and NWS through a Multi-Sensor Precipitation Scheme
Steven Martinaitis, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma
Abstract | Presentation
4:15 PM – 4:30 PM Where Did the Water Go? Interbasin Water Transfer from the Extreme Flooding During Hurricane Harvey
Derek Giardino, National Weather Service West Gulf River Forecast Center, Fort Worth, Texas
Abstract | Presentation
4:30 PM – 4:45 PM Water, Water, Where Are You? Unique Hydrologic Decision Support Services during Hurricane Harvey
Katie Landry-Guyton, NWS Houston/Galveston, Dickinson, Texas
Abstract | Presentation
4:45 PM – 5:00 PM The 6th Annual Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall Experiment: Synthesizing Atmospheric and Hydrologic Guidance to Rapidly Assess Flash Flood Risk
Sarah Perfater, IM Systems Group, NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
5:00 PM – 5:15 PM Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts and Hydrologic Modeling for Improving Flash Flood Warnings: The 2018 HMT-Hydro Experiment
Steven Martinaitis, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma
Abstract | Presentation
5:15 PM – 5:30 PM A Specialized Flood Potential Index for Impact-Based Decision Support for the Texas Medical Center
Amanda Lyles, StormGeo, Houston, TX
Abstract | Presentation

Session L: Weather & Forecasting — Detailed Agenda

Thursday, August 30: 8:00 AM – 9:30 AM
8:00 AM – 8:15 AM Use of a GIS application to evaluate the accuracy of forecaster and model predictions of snowfall in eastern New York and western New England
Michael Evans, NOAA / NWS, Albany, NY
Abstract | Presentation
8:15 AM – 8:30 AM Emerging AWIPS Tools to Assist Today's NWS Forecasters
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
8:30 AM – 8:45 AM Investigating the Usefulness of GOES-16 Imagery for Decision Making with Sea Breeze Convection in the Southeastern United States
Cynthia Elsenheimer, NOAA/NWS Forecast Office Jacksonville, FL, Jacksonville, FL
Abstract | Presentation
8:45 AM – 9:00 AM GOES-16 Becomes Operational: Experiences Using the Advanced Baseline Imager for Short Term Forecasting and Decision Support Services at WFO Memphis
William Churchill, National Weather Service, Memphis, TN
Abstract | Presentation
9:00 AM – 9:15 AM NOAA's Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground and Risk Reduction (PGRR) Program – PGRR Initiatives as the Foundation for Assisting Decision Makers in responding to Severe Weather Events!
Bill Sjoberg, NOAA JPSS Program, Greenbelt, Maryland
Abstract | Presentation
9:15 AM – 9:30 AM The Development of a Snow-To-Liquid Ratio Technique for the National Blend of Models and for the National Weather Service's Graphical Forecast Editor
Andrew Just, National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO
Abstract | Presentation

Session M: Remote Sensing — Detailed Agenda

Thursday, August 30: 11:00 AM – 12:00 PM
11:00 AM – 11:15 AM Filling gaps in wintertime radar coverage using an X-band radar
Neil Fox, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
11:15 AM – 11:30 AM The Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI): from Imagery to Quantitative Products
Tim Schmit, NOAA NESDIS, Madison, WI
Abstract | Presentation
11:30 AM – 11:45 AM GOES-East Cloud Top Signatures of Weakly Forced Snow Events
Patrick Ayd, NOAA/NWS, Bismarck, ND
Abstract | Presentation
11:45 AM – 12:00 PM COMET's MetEd Education and Training Resources for GOES-16 and -17, and JPSS (NOAA-20) User Readiness
Patrick Dills, UCAR-COMET, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation

Session N: Numerical Weather Prediction — Detailed Agenda

Thursday, August 30: 1:45 PM – 3:30 PM
1:45 PM – 2:00 PM Demonstrating the Use of the National Blend of Models in National Weather Service Operations
Cammye Sims, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Maryland
Abstract | Presentation
2:00 PM – 2:15 PM Interpretations of Ensemble-Based Forecast Guidance from the 2017 Spring Forecast Experiment Survey
Pam Heinselman, NOAA NSSL, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
2:15 PM – 2:30 PM Current and Future Strategies for Verification and Post-Processing of Numerical Weather Prediction Model Data at the NOAA Environmental Modeling Center
Jason Levit, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
2:30 PM – 2:45 PM NWS' New Vetting Process to Prioritize Analysis and Nowcast (0-18 Hour Forecast) Tool Development for Meeting US Forecast Service Needs
Young-Joon Kim, NOAA/NWS/AFS, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
2:45 PM – 3:00 PM An Observational Study: Real-time Use of the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for Ensembles during NWS Severe Weather Operations
Katie Wilson, OU CIMMS/NOAA NSSL, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
3:00 PM – 3:15 PM RTMA/URMA Overview and Status Report
Steven Levine, Systems Research Group/NWS Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
3:15 PM – 3:30 PM Ongoing Refinements to the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast System
Matthew Pyle, NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation

Session M: Looking Ahead — Detailed Agenda

Thursday, August 30: 4:00 PM – 5:15 PM
4:00 PM – 4:15 PM A New Strategic Plan for the National Weather Service
Peyton Robertson, NWS Office of Organizational Excellence, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
4:15 PM – 4:30 PM The National Weather Service GOES-R Satellite Series Mesoscale Domain Sector Request Process
Eric Guillot, NWS Office of Observations / Integrity Applications Incorporated, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
4:30 PM – 4:45 PM Preparing for FACETs: The Need for Diverse National Weather Service Forecaster Training and Innovative Collaboration Tools
Alyssa Bates, OU CIMMS/NWS Warning Decision Training Division, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
4:45 PM – 5:00 PM Change That Lasts: A Grassroots Approach to Improving Organizational Culture in the Weather Service
Elyse Hagner, National Weather Service Office of Organizational Excellence, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
5:00 PM – 5:15 PM The Effect of Office Culture and Human Bias in the Tornado Warning Decision Process in the NWS Central Region
Theodore Funk, National Weather Service, Louisville, KY
Abstract | Presentation

Poster Session #1 — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 9:00 AM – 10:30 AM
P1–0 Analog-Based Severe Probability Guidance
Alexander Elmore, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–1 The Role of Horizontal Shearing Instability in Mesovortexgenesis in the 04 January 2015 Quasi-Linear Convective System
Dustin Conrad, University of Alabama-Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P1–2 Composite Analysis of Cool-Season Florida Tornado Outbreaks
Jonathon Klepatzki, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, Fl
Abstract | Presentation
P1–3 Meteorologists and Workplace Wellbeing
Matthew Bolton, School of Arts and Sciences, Saint Leo University, Saint Leo, FL
Abstract | Presentation
P1–4 Utilizing the Daily Southern Oscillation Index Changes to Determine Severe Weather Potential on A Subseasonal Scale
Caleb Brown, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–5 “The Global Weather and Climate Center: Revolutionizing Weather/Climate Science Communication with Weather Broadcasters, Students, Education, and much more…"
Jordan Rabinowitz, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri
Abstract | Presentation
P1–6 DCAPE and DCIN in severe vs. non-severe elevated convection events
Kevin Grempler, University of MIssouri, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–7 Interannual variability of Severe Weather over the USA since 1991
Grace Ruhbeck, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–8 Planetary Boundary Layer Depth Estimation From Dual-Polarization Radar
John Banghoff, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
Abstract | Presentation
P1–9 A statistical approach for defining speed thresholds for upper jet streaks
Paula Sumrall, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–10 Case Study of a Tornado Event in Indiana and Ohio on 19 April 2011
Sam Ritter, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–11 ENSO and PDO related Variability in South Pacific Circulation Patterns and Seasonal Range Prediction For the Altiplano Region of Bolivia in South America.
Katherine Rojas, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–12 Use of a GIS application to evaluate the accuracy of forecaster and model predictions of snowfall in eastern New York and western New England
Michael Evans, NOAA / NWS, Albany, NY
Abstract | Presentation
P1–13 Incident Command System at the Weather Forecast Office
Karleisa Rogacheski, National Weather Service, Eureka, California
Abstract | Presentation
P1–14 Hazard Services Progress Report
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–15 New, Multi-Spectral Imagery Products from GOES-16 Usher in a new Era of Satellite Meteorology
Kevin Fuell, NASA SPoRT / University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P1–16 Varying Levels of Weather Support During Hurricane Harvey: Different Needs with Consistent Data
Jennifer McNatt, NWS Southern Region Regional Operations Center, Fort Worth, TX
Abstract | Presentation
P1–17 November 5, 2017 Ohio Tornado Outbreak
Zach Sefcovic, National Weather Service, Cleveland, Ohio
Abstract | Presentation
P1–18 Analysis of Unwarned Tornado Events from 2014-2015 across the National Weather Service Central Region
Fred Glass, NOAA/NWS, St. Charles, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–19 Taking WFO Forecasters Onsite-A Winning Situation
Mark Burchfield, NOAA/National Weather Service, Springfield, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–20 Can Varying Snow-Liquid Ratios Improve Probabilistic Snowfall Forecasts?
Philip Schumacher, NOAA/National Weather Service, Sioux Falls, South Dakota
Abstract | Presentation
P1–21 The Weather Archived and Visualization Environment (WAVE): Progress Report and Plans
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–22 I'm Dreaming of a Brown Christmas: The Great Alaska Chinook of December 1934
Eric Stevens, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK
Abstract | Presentation
P1–23 Recognizing the Potential for Dangerous Nocturnal Fire Growth and its Implications on Fire Weather Products and Services
Steven Pfaff, National Weather Service, Wilmington, NC
Abstract | Presentation
P1–24 Roads don't go there, but The Alaska Weather TV Show does: 40 Years of service to the Nation's most at-risk communities
David Snider, National Weather Service Anchorage Forecast Office, Anchorage, AK
Abstract | Presentation
P1–25 The Evolution of Gridded NUCAPS: An Overview of Research to Operations Activities
Emily Berndt, NASA MSFC / SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P1–26 RMK Satellites ALQDS
Jordan Gerth, Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin
Abstract | Presentation
P1–27 Analyzing the Environment and Tracks of the six May 24, 2017 Ohio Tornadoes
Andrew Hatzos, National Weather Service / Weather Forecast Office Wilmington Ohio, Wilmington, OH
Abstract | Presentation
P1–28 Operational Integration with FEMA's National-Incident Management Assistance Teams
Michael Paddock, Ph.D., NOAA/NWS Western Region Headquarters, McClellan Park, CA
Abstract | Presentation
P1–29 EditTWLSite - A Graphical Total Water Level Forecasting Tool
Michael Dutter, NOAA/NWS Wakefield, VA, Wakefield, VA
Abstract | Presentation
P1–30 Working in Partnership to Drive Global Awareness of Hazardous and Impactful Weather
Matthew Alto, AccuWeather, Akron, OH
Abstract | Presentation
P1–31 NWS At the Table and On the Ground: Impact-Based Decision Support Services in Support of Emergency Management Operations
Katie Edwards, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P1–32 Exploring AWIPS capabilities and methods at Center Weather Service Units
David Tomalak, NWS Boulder/Denver, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–33 Applications of IDSS event statistics in Central Region
Lewis Kanofsky, WFO St. Louis, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–34 GOES-16: A New Tool to Improve Situational Awareness for Operational Forecasters
Dan Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R, Fort Collins, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–35 The Use of Integrated Enstrophy in Blocking and Flow Regime Transition for Operational Forecasting
Joshua Kastman, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Science (CIRES) - University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–36 The Meteorological Conditions Leading to Two Historic Floods Along the Lower Meramec River Basin
Mark Britt, National Weather Service Forecast Office St. Louis, Missouri, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–37 Utilization of Radar Feature Catalogs as a Training Supplement
Jason Schaumann, NOAA/NWS, Springfield, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–38 Local applications of Twitter analytics
Lewis Kanofsky, WFO St. Louis, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–39 Becoming River Flood SAFER: Cross-Organization Growth of the Integrated Warning Team Paradigm
Jared Allen, NWS, New Braunfels, TX
Abstract | Presentation
P1–40 The Center Weather Service Unit: A Model of Impact-based Decision Support Services for 40 Years
Chelsea Kenyon, National Weather Service/ ZKC CWSU, Olathe, KS
Abstract | Presentation
P1–41 Making History: The First Recorded November Tornado in Idaho
Kurt Buffalo, National Weather Service, Pocatello, ID
Abstract | Presentation
P1–42 Enhancing Decision Support Services through Local Emergency Planning Committees
Mark Burchfield, NOAA/National Weather Service, Springfield, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–43 Analysis of Convective Parameters in South Florida
Larry Kelly, NOAA/National Weather Service, Miami, FL
Abstract | Presentation
P1–44 Near-Shore Wave Measurement with High-Frequency Radar
Al Cope, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Mount Holly, New Jersey
Abstract | Presentation
P1–45 Situational Awareness Forecast Advisor Tool
David Hotz, National Weather Service, Morristown, TN
Abstract | Presentation
P1–46 The Viability of the Froude Number as a Valuable Tool to Improve Forecast Messaging
Jeremy Michael, National Weather Service, Elko, NV
Abstract | Presentation
P1–47 Remote OBservation-Equipment System - Solutions for a Weather Ready Nation
Pilar Trevino, National Weather Service, Paducah, Kentucky
Abstract | Presentation
P1–48 CIRA's NOAA and NWS Proving Ground Products for GOES-16/17
Ed Szoke, CIRA & NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–49 Communicating Rip Current Hazards To The Public via Social Media
Morgan Barry, National Weather Service, Mobile, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P1–50 Impacts of Winter Storm Hazard Communication on Traffic Flow Patterns
Cory Mueller, NWS Sacramento Meteorologist Intern, Sacramento, CA
Abstract | Presentation
P1–51 A Revised Bourgouin Precipitation-Type Algorithm
Kevin Birk, National Weather Service Chicago, Romeoville, IL, IL
Abstract | Presentation
P1–52 Experimental Satellite Flood Inundation Imagery for Flood Forecasting at the North Central River Forecast Center
Michael DeWeese, National Weather Service, Chanhassen, MN
Abstract | Presentation
P1–53 175 Years of Weather Observations in the Newark, NJ Area
Chris Stachelski, NOAA/National Weather Service Eastern Region Headquarters Regional Observation Program Leader, Bohemia, NY
Abstract | Presentation
P1–54 Verification of QPF from NWP Models and WPC Associated with Tropical Cyclones
Mark Klein, National Weather Service/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P1–55 Regional and Seasonal Characteristics of Tornado Debris Signatures Associated with Significant Tornadoes from 2010-2017
Steven Nelson, National Weather Service, GA
Abstract | Presentation
P1–56 NWS-Central Region Impact-Based Decision Support Services Toolkit in Support of Services and Workforce Evolution
Andy Foster, National Weather Service, Springfield, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P1–57 Weak Tornadoes in the Ohio Valley: A Pre-Storm Environment Assessment
Kristen Cassady, NOAA / NWS, Wilmington, OH
Abstract | Presentation
P1–58 Port in a Storm – StormReady Partnership Makes All the Difference During Harvey
Thomas Johnstone, National Weather Service, Corpus Christi, TX
Abstract | Presentation

Poster Session #2 — Detailed Agenda

Tuesday, August 28: 3:00 PM – 4:30 PM
P2–59 Analysis of the Top Significant Fields in Analog-Based Severe Probability Guidance
Kyle Perez, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P2–60 Obtaining a Climatology of Extratropical Transition Tornado Events Associated with Atlantic Basin US Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Alec Mau, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS
Abstract | Presentation
P2–61 An Evaluation of Significant Wind-Driven Hail Events across the United States
Zachary Hiris, SUNY Oswego, Oswego, New York
Abstract | Presentation
P2–62 Thermodynamic and Kinematic Properties of Isolated Convective Cells in the Rainband Region of Atlantic Hurricanes
Peyton Barlow, University of South Alabama, Department of Earth Sciences, Mobile, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P2–63 A Daily Vulnerability in America: Tornadoes on our Highways
Craig Croskery, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, Mississippi
Abstract | Presentation
P2–64 Cold Air Damming in the Appalachians
Mark Dellandre, Millersville University, Millersville, PA
Abstract | Presentation
P2–65 Communicating Weather Risk and High School Athletics
Matt Rice, Apex High School, Apex, NC
Abstract | Presentation
P2–66 Quantifying Evaporation at Low Levels of the Atmosphere using a Vertically Pointing Radar
Jon Bongard, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P2–67 Detection of Gust Fronts Using the Doppler-Velocity Derived Divergence Product
Russell Clemins, University of Missouri - Columbia, Columbia, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P2–68 A Synoptic Review of Tropical Storm Cindy and the Impacts to the North Central Gulf Coast
Dillon Blount, Department of Earth Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, Alabama
Abstract | Presentation
P2–69 Examination of Tornadic Radar Signatures within the St. Louis, MO National Weather Service Forecast Area from 1992-2017
Alexander Elmore, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P2–70 The Final Undocumented Tornado of the 3 April 1974, Super Tornado Outbreak: F2 Tornado in Williamson & Davidson counties, TN
Timothy W. Troutman, National Weather Service, Weather Forecast Office, Riverton, Wyoming
Abstract | Presentation
P2–71 Forecasting and Monitoring Intense Thunderstorms in the Hindu Kush Himalayan Region: Preliminary Results from Spring 2018 Demonstration
Jonathan L. Case, ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P2–72 Investigations of Hail Damage Swaths using Various Satellite Remote Sensing Platforms
Jordan Bell, University of Alabama in Huntsville Earth System Science Center/NASA SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P2–73 The Ohio Valley Tornado Outbreak of 2017Nov05: An Examination of the Long Track EF2 Tornado Across Eastern Indiana/Western Ohio
Jeff Logsdon, National Weather Service Northern Indiana, Syracuse, Indiana
Abstract | Presentation
P2–74 Freezing Rain Event 19-21 February 2018
Kris Sanders, NOAA/National Weather Service Topeka Kansas, Topeka, KS
Abstract | Presentation
P2–75 NWS Tucson Weather Support to U.S. Customs and Border Patrol
Glenn Lader, NOAA/NWS Tucson, Tucson, AZ
Abstract | Presentation
P2–76 The SPoRT Land Information System as a Tool for Assessing Areal/River Flooding Threat
Kristopher D. White, NOAA/National Weather Service/NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center, Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P2–77 You Want A Cloud Forecast THAT Far Out?!? The 2017 Total Solar Eclipse
John Keyes, National Weather Service, Pocatello, ID
Abstract | Presentation
P2–79 Stressors Associated with a First Time Tornado Warning Decision for the June 8, 2017 Supercell in the Panhandle of Texas
Melissa Beat, NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office Amarillo, Amarillo, TX
Abstract | Presentation
P2–80 The Experimental Use of Multispectral and GPM Data in Hydrologic Applications in Alaska
Aaron Jacobs, National Weather Service Forecast Office-Juneau, AK, Juneau, AK
Abstract | Presentation
P2–81 Estimating and Communicating Hydrologic Ensembles in the Mid Atlantic
Robert Shedd, NOAA/NWS/Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center, State College, PA
Abstract | Presentation
P2–82 Implementation of the Central Region Weather Ready Nation Roadmap
James Sieveking, National Weather Service Forecast Office St. Louis, Missouri, St. Louis, Missouri
Abstract | Presentation
P2–83 Pine Bluffs, Wyoming Severe Storm July 27, 2016
Rob Cox, National Weather Service, Cheyenne, WY
Abstract | Presentation
P2–84 Evaluating the Quality & Utility of the National Blend of Models in Alaska
Rebecca Mazur, Arctic Testbed and Proving Ground, National Weather Service Alaska Region, Anchorage, AK
Abstract | Presentation
P2–85 The Impact-based Decision Support Services Professional Development Series: Unique Training to Improve Support to a Diverse Set of Partners
Megan Taylor, University of Oklahoma-CIMMS/NWS Training Center, Kansas City, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P2–86 Building the Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador Initiative in U.S. Territories
Marcus Landon Aydlett, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam
Abstract | Presentation
P2–87 Shadow TAFs: The Road to Point-and-Click TAFs
Grant Hicks, National Weather Service, Glasgow, MT
Abstract | Presentation
P2–88 Rural Conversations: Discovering Ways to Diversify Weather Forecasts for Alaska
Louise Fode, National Weather Service Anchorage Forecast Office, Anchorage, AK
Abstract | Presentation
P2–89 National Weather Service Support for Decision Making on Subseasonal to Seasonal Timescales
Viviane Silva, NOAA NWS Climate Services Branch, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P2–90 Enhancing Collaboration and the Prediction of Tule Fog Impacts Between the California Department of Transportation, California Highway Patrol and NWS Hanford
Kris Mattarochia, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Hanford, Hanford, CA
Abstract | Presentation
P2–91 Analysis of and Ways to Improve Tornado Warning False Alarms at NWS Louisville
Ryan Sharp, National Weather Service, Louisville, KY
Abstract | Presentation
P2–92 Wind Microclimates and Their Impact On Weather Analysis, Forecasting and Decision Support
Chris Stachelski, NOAA/NWS Eastern Region Headquarters Regional Observation Program Leader, Bohemia, NY
Abstract | Presentation
P2–93 An Attempt at Hindcasting the April 22nd, 2011 Tornado at St. Louis' Lambert International Airport Using Experimental Equations
JP Kalb, Global Weather and Climate Center, LLC, Cupertino, CA
Abstract | Presentation
P2–94 Kansas City Area Snow Drought: The New Norm?
Linda Gilbert, National Weather Service, Marquette, MI
Abstract | Presentation
P2–95 Verification of convection-allowing ensemble forecasts for two Central U.S. banded snowfall events
Marty Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI
Abstract | Presentation
P2–96 Analysis and Warning Decision Making Associated with a Weak Short-Lived QLCS Tornado
Fred Glass, NOAA/NWS, St. Charles, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P2–97 Assessment of Crystal Characteristics and Snowfall Impact During the North Carolina Snowstorm of 17 January 2018
Gail Hartfield, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Abstract | Presentation
P2–98 Standardizing NWS Color Tables — A Grassroots Effort
Darren Van Cleave, NOAA/NWS/WFO Salt Lake City, Salt Lake City, UT
Abstract | Presentation
P2–99 An Investigation of Thundersnow Environment Differences between the Phoenix Metropolitan Area and Columbia, MO from 20-21 February 2013
Peter Speck, National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL, Davenport, IA
Abstract | Presentation
P2–100 Fight Fire with Imagery: New Multispectral Satellite Imagery Used by Alaska Fire Service
Eric Stevens, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK
Abstract | Presentation
P2–101 Bringing More 911 Dispatch Centers into the NWSChat Sphere
Mark Burchfield, NOAA/National Weather Service, Springfield, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P2–102 A Comparison of Snowfall Events on 24 December, 2004 and 7-8 December, 2017 in South and Southeast Texas
Amanda Reinhart, NWS - Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P2–103 Extreme Precipitation in Weakly Forced Environments Along the Northwest Gulf
Robert Megnia, National Weather Service WFO Lake Charles, LA, Lake Charles, LA
Abstract | Presentation
P2–104 GOES-16 ABI channel differencing used to reveal cloud-free zones of ‘precursors of convective initiation'
Lewis Grasso, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, Fort Collins, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P2–105 Profiling Radar and Snow Microphysical Properties from Extended Ground Observations in the Upper Great Lakes
David Beachler, NOAA/NWS, Marquette, MI
Abstract | Presentation
P2–106 Response Time of Pavement Temperatures during Liquid to Frozen Precipitation Events
Derrick Snyder, National Weather Service, Paducah, Kentucky
Abstract | Presentation
P2–107 Using High Resolution Mesoscale Modeling to Assess the Local Tornado Threat During Hurricane Irma
Peter Blottman, NOAA / National Weather Service, Melbourne, FL
Abstract | Presentation
P2–108 Using GOES-16 to Provide Critical Decision Support Services in the Wake of Major Hurricane Maria
Chris Birchfield, National Weather Service, Brownsville, TX
Abstract | Presentation
P2–109 On the Integration of GOES-16 Products with Current Observational Tools to Improve Messaging for a Light Snow Event
William Abeling, NOAA/NWS, Bismarck, ND
Abstract | Presentation
P2–110 To Warn or Not To Warn: The Non-Traditional Tornadic Vortex Conundrum
Sam Shamburger, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Nashville, TN
Abstract | Presentation
P2–111 A Wet Microburst Bullseye
Connor Dennhardt, National Weather Service, Santa Teresa, NM
Abstract | Presentation
P2–112 Validation and Verification of the FV3-GFS at NCEP
Geoffrey Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P2–113 The Winter Storm Severity Index – A Tool to Better Communicate Impacts During Flash Freeze and Winter Storm Events
Cathy Zapotocny, NOAA/NWS, Omaha/Valley, NE
Abstract | Presentation
P2–114 The Impact of WFO Culture on Performance: Some Thoughts on Causality
Stephan Smith, NOAA/NWS/OSTI/MDL, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P2–115 Integration of Polar-Orbiting and Geostationary Satellite Information in Forecast and Sea Ice Operations at NWS Anchorage
Michael Lawson, National Weather Service Anchorage Forecast Office, Anchorage, AK
Abstract | Presentation
P2–116 How Saying Less Can Say More: The Culture of American Sign Language
Trevor Boucher
Abstract | Presentation
P2–117 Meteorologist Expertise, Client Relationships, and Data Synthesis: How AccuWeather Meteorologists Save Lives and Protect Property in Data-sparse Regions
Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather, Wichita, KS
Abstract | Presentation

Poster Session #3 — Detailed Agenda

Thursday, August 30: 9:30 AM – 11:00 AM
P3–118 Evolution of Aviation Impact Decision Support Services for High Impact Events
Roland Nunez, NWS Center Weather Service Unit - Houston, Houston, Texas
Abstract | Presentation
P3–119 When the Gales of November Come Early: Record-Breaking Waves on Lake Superior
Brett Borchardt, NOAA / NWS, Marquette, Michigan
Abstract | Presentation
P3–120 NWS Issuance of Polygon-Based Snow Squall Warning and Dust Storm Warning and Dust Advisory for High Impact Events
Andy Horvitz, NOAA/NWS/Analyze, Forecast and Support Office, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P3–121 Hazard Services: Utilizing Recommenders to Create Hazardous Information
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–122 Building Effective Exercises through Partner Collaboration
Jennifer Laflin, NOAA National Weather Service, Pleasant Hill, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–123 An Evaluation of the Diagnostic and Prognostic Implications of Orphan Anvils
Chauncy Schultz, NOAA/NWS, Bismarck, ND
Abstract | Presentation
P3–124 A SYNOPTIC CLIMATOLOGY OF HEAVY SNOW EVENTS AFFECTING WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO
Jeffrey Vitale, NWS Lubbock, Lubbock, TX
Abstract | Presentation
P3–125 Results from Operational Assessments of GPM-derived Datasets
Anita LeRoy, NASA SPoRT / University of Alabama in Huntsville-ESSC, Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P3–126 An Analysis of the December 7-8, 2017 Snow Event in Houston, Texas
Amanda Lyles, StormGeo, Houston, TX
Abstract | Presentation
P3–127 The Central and Western Wyoming Lightning Safety Toolkit and Backcountry Lightning Safety Campaign: A Wyoming Weather-Ready Nation Project
Timothy W. Troutman, National Weather Service, Weather Forecast Office, Riverton, Wyoming
Abstract | Presentation
P3–128 The Extreme Precipitation Forecast Table
Diana Stovern, CIRES/WPC, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–129 Recent NWS Satellite Training Activities and Developments
Brian Motta, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, Colorado
Abstract | Presentation
P3–130 The Evolution of NWS Digital Aviation Services Part 1: Developing a Unified Forecast Process
Marcia Cronce, National Weather Service Milwaukee, Dousman, WI
Abstract | Presentation
P3–131 Leading a Structured Forecast Process to Help Implement the Central Region WRN Roadmap: The ForecastBuilder Program
Andrew Just, National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–132 JPSS-1 (NOAA-20) products, applications and available training resources
Jorel Torres, CIRA/CSU, Fort Collins, Colorado
Abstract | Presentation
P3–133 Upgrading the LAMP Guidance System to Meet Expanding Needs of the National Weather Service's National Blend of Models
Judy Ghirardelli, National Weather Service/Office of Science and Technology Integration/Meteorological Development Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P3–134 NOAA's Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground and Risk Reduction Program – How JPSS Program Initiatives Partnerships Ensure the Success of Operational Applications of JPSS Science and Capabilities!
Bill Sjoberg, NOAA JPSS Program, Greenbelt, Maryland
Abstract | Presentation
P3–135 The Apalachee Bay Effect: Impacts on Severe Weather in the Florida Big Bend
Andrew Lahr, National Weather Service, Tallahassee, FL
Abstract | Presentation
P3–136 Integrated Impact-based Decision Support Services and Operations for a Common Operating Picture Using Hazard Builder, Trigger Chart and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook
Andy Foster, National Weather Service, Springfield, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–137 Extreme Precipitation Events, Impacts, Trends and Projections for Indiana
Samuel Lashley, National Weather Service, Syracuse, IN
Abstract | Presentation
P3–138 An Overview of the Weather Prediction Center's Day 8-10 Forecast Experiment
Bill Lamberson, I.M. Systems Group/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P3–139 Providing Decision Support and Communicating Through Social Media Live Videos
Mike Griffin, National Weather Service, Springfield, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–140 AWIPS Program Update & Strategy
Ronla Henry, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P3–142 IDSS Template Creation Made Easy
Sean Miller, National Weather Service, Milwaukee/Sullivan, Milwaukee, WI
Abstract | Presentation
P3–143 Non-Convective Wind Climatology and Synoptic Overview for Selected Cities in the Mid Mississippi Valley
Alyssa Otten, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–144 Partnership Diversity: FEMA's National-Incident Management Assistance Teams
Michael Paddock, Ph.D., NOAA/NWS Western Region Headquarters, McClellan Park, CA
Abstract | Presentation
P3–145 Collaborative Effort to Predict Hourly Temperatures during the August 21, 2017 Total Solar Eclipse in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast
Jonathan Blaes, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Abstract | Presentation
P3–146 NWS Salt Lake City Support for the Brian Head Fire Burn Scar Debris Flows
Darren Van Cleave, NOAA/NWS/WFO Salt Lake City, Salt Lake City, UT
Abstract | Presentation
P3–147 Improving NearCasts and Removing Deficiencies using GOES-16 and JPSS
Lee Cronce, University of Wisconsin - Madison, SSEC, CIMSS, Madison, WI
Abstract | Presentation
P3–148 California Deluge: IDSS and Regional Response during the Historic Flooding in California in Early 2017
Matt Solum, NOAA/NWS Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT
Abstract | Presentation
P3–149 Innovative Ways of Providing Support During the Historic Snows and Floods of 2017 Across Southern Idaho
Vernon Preston, National Weather Service, Pocatello, Idaho
Abstract | Presentation
P3–150 Old and New Perspectives on Forecasting Rare Snowfall Events in the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas
Joshua Schroeder, NOAA/National Weather Service, Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley, TX
Abstract | Presentation
P3–151 A Study of the Inland Penetration of Sea Breezes on the Northern Gulf Coast
Mary Reeves, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P3–152 Assembling Comprehensive Storm Damage Survey Teams
Brian Schoettmer, National Weather Service, Louisville, KY
Abstract | Presentation
P3–153 A Method to Account for Surface Impermeability In Gridded Flash Flood Guidance
Brian Barjenbruch, National Weather Service Valley, NE, Elkhorn, NE
Abstract | Presentation
P3–154 The Utilization of Social Media in National Weather Service Operations during Impact Weather Events
Ashley Ravenscraft, National Weather Serivce, Paducah, Kentucky
Abstract | Presentation
P3–155 Recent Enhancements to National Digital Forecast Database Verification
Tabitha Huntemann, NWS / Meteorological Development Lab, Silver Spring, MD
Abstract | Presentation
P3–156 A climatology of convective and non-convective high-wind events in the eastern United States during 1973-2015
Josh Durkee, Meteorology Program, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY
Abstract | Presentation
P3–157 Understanding a Threat: An Operational and Decision Support Perspective of the High Plains Tornado Outbreak of 12 June 2017
Chris Hammer, NWS, Cheyenne, WY
Abstract | Presentation
P3–158 Examining Sub-flash Properties of lightning from GLM for tracking and intensification characterization of thunderstorms
Anita LeRoy, NASA SPoRT / University of Alabama in Huntsville-ESSC, Huntsville, AL
Abstract | Presentation
P3–159 The Storm Damage Survey Process: A Streamlined Approach to Pre-Survey Preparations, Collecting Damage Data, and Post-Processing including Data Transmission and Webpage Creation
Andrea Schoettmer, National Weather Service, Louisville, KY
Abstract | Presentation
P3–160 Analysis of the Shelbyville, TN Anticyclonic Tornado
Matthew Reagan, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Nashville, TN
Abstract | Presentation
P3–161 How Emergency Managers Deal With Forecast Uncertainty and Vulnerability in the Southeast U.S.
Daphne LaDue, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Abstract | Presentation
P3–162 VISIT / SHyMet training on GOES-16 imagery and products
Dan Bikos, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) / Colorado State University (CSU), Fort Collins, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–163 The Impact of the Storm Prediction Center's Convective Outlooks on Emergency Management Operational Planning
Heather Cross, NOAA/NWS WFO Little Rock, North Little Rock, AR
Abstract | Presentation
P3–164 Reduction of the summer surface warm/dry bias in the FV3GFS by improving the evaporation from the bare soil
Helin Wei, IMSG at NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, Maryland
Abstract | Presentation
P3–165 Refining Operational Understanding of Tornadic Environments at NWS WFO Milwaukee, WI
Ben Herzog, National Weather Service, Milwaukee/Sullivan, Milwaukee, WI
Abstract | Presentation
P3–166 Workforce Evolution: Diversity to achieve a Weather-Ready Nation
Michael Kochasic, NWS Sacramento General Forecaster, Sacramento, CA
Abstract | Presentation
P3–167 Leveraging Military Expertise in National Weather Service Decision Support Operations
Kari Bowen, NWS, Boulder, CO
Abstract | Presentation
P3–168 Collaborative Effort to Predict Hourly Temperatures during the August 21, 2017 Total Solar Eclipse in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast
Joshua Weiss
Abstract | Presentation
P3–169 Streamlining Access to Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) Data Products for Weather Forecasting
John Evans
Abstract | Presentation
P3–170 Today's Manufactured Homes are a Safer Shelter than You Know
Patti Boerger
Abstract | Presentation